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TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks in Europe falter

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191–200 of 511 posts

Re: TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks in Europe falter

#191

its always interesting to read the comments on HN regarding China/Taiwan situation. Chinese invasion (Taiwan) threat is always there. It didn't stop when Nixon visit China and it didn't stop when American abandoned Taiwan to have a business relationship with China for more than 40 years. the threat is so old now. there are some running jokes in Taiwan like "China threatening to invade Taiwan since my grandpa is alive…

China is more able and likely to 'take over Taiwan' since probably any point in history. It's a stated strategic objective and there's no reason to think it won't happen.

Re: TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks in Europe falter

#192
post #165

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am generally on the 'wrong' side of these conversations on HN, but... > did South Korea stop everything whenever North Korea did a Nuke test? I believe the two threats are not remotely equivalent. In a world of MAD, nuclear weapons are only a credible defensive deterrent, because offensive use of them is suicide. The US would start a nuclear war, in response to a North Korean first-strike. Whereas with respect to C…

In real life, people sometimes commit suicide in what's called "suicide by cop", they attack police so the police kill them. The idea that we or China can't have a commander in chief who commits suicide by war, or otherwise behaves irresponsibly and takes the rest of us with them, strikes me as a tad optimistic.

You could say the same for the US. What checks and balances are going to protect you from a mentally unstable, delusional president who lost an election months ago, is about to be removed from power, and just this morning decided to play a game of nuclear football?

What evidence do you have that similar checks do not exist in China?

It's also worth mentioning that any nuclear submarine commander in the UK can, at any time, order the launch of their submarine's ICBMs. They do not physically require any authentication from Westminster to launch. I'm assuming the same is the case for US, and Russian submarines.

Re: TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks in Europe falter

#193

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As someone born after WW2, in Germany, I'm pretty glad that people back then didn't think like you. What's the point of defending democracy if there is nothing but a radioactive wasteland in which to set up free elections?

[flagged]

And just to be clear.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Hancock

Is an ancestor. He traded in slaves. He renounced it later. The 3/5 compromise was wrong.

620K people, 2% of the population died in the US civil war. Yet today we have George Floyd.

200 years ago you could argue shades of grey, but in 2021 you cannot not.

I stand for Taiwan because today in 2021 I know better, as should everyone.

Re: TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks in Europe falter

#194

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My point is that if you already successfully operate several seismically stable fabs and you're building a new one that's gonna cost you tens of billions of dollars anyway, there must be other factors that are higher on your requirements list.

Fabs deal with earthquakes by stopping. They'd rather not stop.

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Re: TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks in Europe falter

#195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No it is not, which is the reason it will end up in nukes. There are a ton of well researched papers on this. Taiwan is well dug in and any invasion perpetration would be seen months in advance. To be clear, if the USA defense of Taiwan leads to the extinction of the human race, so be it. We should have destroyed nazi germany in 1939. Fīat jūstitia ruat cælum. We are not worthy to survive if we do not defend democrac…

As someone born after WW2, in Germany, I'm pretty glad that people back then didn't think like you. What's the point of defending democracy if there is nothing but a radioactive wasteland in which to set up free elections?

well, typical German, claiming to be pacifist, and their dubious ethics (Germany is currently doing hard profitable business with both Russia and China)

I am glad Churchill didn't listen to types like you but decided to fight on.

Re: TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks in Europe falter

#196
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The day this is even seriously proposed, China invades Taiwan. And anyway, the vast majority of Americans wouldn't see and attack of a Taiwanese US state as a Pearl Harbor because its non sensical. Taiwan has 100 million people. Theres no way that population transfers to create the bonds necessary to make Taiwan “American” could occur. Hawaii had been a US colony for 50 years and mainland Americans had moved in displ…

> Taiwan is Chinese. Their family bonds are deep, and they share a common language and culture. The ancestor shrines for most Taiwanese (being refugees from the mainland) are in China. Taiwan and Taiwanese people don’t feel this way at all.

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Re: TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks in Europe falter

#197

its always interesting to read the comments on HN regarding China/Taiwan situation. Chinese invasion (Taiwan) threat is always there. It didn't stop when Nixon visit China and it didn't stop when American abandoned Taiwan to have a business relationship with China for more than 40 years. the threat is so old now. there are some running jokes in Taiwan like "China threatening to invade Taiwan since my grandpa is alive…

The constant "invasion, invasion, invasion" whenever Taiwan is mentioned somewhere on the internet also plays into China's hand.

Re: TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks in Europe falter

#198

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Older lithography is what European automakers need, and the same can be said for robotics. The only reason for EU to demand fabrication of leading edge chips in Europe is hubris. How many laptops and mobile phones, in percent terms relative to those respective markets, are assembled in Europe?

I've actually always wondered why automakers never try to make consumer electronics. They wouldn't even need to compete with Apple or Dell; would you consider an Audi or Toyota laptop in place of a Panasonic Toughbook? Caterpillar does it with phones[1], and their main business is heavy industry. Why not auto manufacturers? Could easier access to smaller process nodes incentivize them to branch out into new markets l…

It's not Caterpillar doing this, though. It's Bullitt Group. They are the same people behind the Kodak phone. Thier whole business model basically revolves around licensing big brands that you have heard of, and making mobile devices with that brand stamped on it.

Re: TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks in Europe falter

#199
post #129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I would argue that by the time China comes to take Taiwan (when, not if), the US will be in a position where it is unwilling/able to expend the lives and funds required to provide a prolonged defense of a piece of land firmly in China's front yard. Personally, I think we're at the point where the US would consider the costs of Taiwan's defense well beyond any potential benefits. It's too economically integrated with…

I kinda see it the exact opposite way, I don’t think China would ever dare risk a full out war which would essentially be them vs the world. Taiwan is extremely valuable but not valuable enough to risk complete devastation of their economy if not by war then by international trade. The US is routinely running freedom of navigation exercises in the south china sea between taiwan and china and has said as recently as l…

Russia did it in Crimea by barely firing a shot.

Everyone took note.

Taiwan may be 'grabbed' with little violence, and China can promise 'certain freedoms' (i.e fake democracy) so that feckless leaders around the world can 'save face' and say 'oh, we don't like it, but it's not that bad, please keep buying our crap, so we can buy your crap'.

China takes the 'long view' - long enough that it supercedes any populist cycle. Over 30 years of 'soft occupation' and incremental erosion of rights, thery'll be nothing left of Taiwan.

Elderly Gen Z-ers will look back at their tweets from childhood and wonder.

Re: TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks in Europe falter

#200

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>California is extremely entrepreneur-friendly, and have absolutely massive amounts of business compare to Arizona or Texas. I don't know if you've been following the news lately of a bunch of companies moving OUT of California to Texas. One of these people is Elon Musk. And guess what? I have a source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ez90rXhMWjE I'm not saying California is wrong. Far from it. They're right. These l…

California is one of the most economically richest places on earth, and I only say that from the point of view of a world traveler and without bias.

What I don't understand is how you think world traveler gives any credit or support for your stance. First the stronger point is made through evidence and the weaker point is made through reputation. Second of all, a "world traveler" is not really much of a reputable status that lends any additional weight to your thesis.

California is rich. But California is trending down economically. This has been increasing for a decade and accelerated due to covid. Here's the point of view from an economist without bias: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p2IVj_T6y84

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