Objectively, Covid-19 was a preventable disaster. From all around the world, the issue was governmental competence. Almost every government in the world did not treat the issue with the due amount of urgency. Almost every government in the world screwed up on airborne transmission for a good while. Almost every government downright minimized the issued and wasted precious months of time that could have been used to r…
> Why is it that governments are so competent when it comes to mass surveillance and repression $ 7,919,196,000 – CDC FY 2020 total funding $13,316,000,000 – CVN-78, USS Gerald R. Ford $62,000,000,000 – National Intelligence Program FY 2020
Covid-19 Was 'A Preventable Disaster,' WHO-Ordered Report Says
151–160 of 173 posts
Re: Covid-19 Was 'A Preventable Disaster,' WHO-Ordered Report Says
#152Earlier quoted context omitted.
China was warning about the virus pretty early on. When you compare the timescales that China is being criticized on with the timescales for the US or Europe to react, it's laughable. People criticize China for taking days to release information when it took weeks if not months for most of the developed world to do absolutely anything. I was in China in early-mid january, there were warnings about the Wuhan virus all…
That's very interesting. Thanks for sharing. Out of curiosity, did they actually call it the "Wuhan virus" in the warnings you are referencing? How do you reconcile the transparency you saw on the ground with the fact that early reports were suppressed or downplayed ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_misinformation_by_Chi... ), or that a journalist was arrested and sentenced to years of jail for reporting on CO…
The warnings were definitely addressed to travelers from Wuhan, and mentioned a virus or pneumonia, I don't think they called it the "Wuhan virus" however.
Look, I think responding to a lot of these reports will make me seem like a China apologist, and to the extent that I think that China's early failures were less the cause of the outbreak in the US than the US' failure to react quickly once information was public, I guess I am. That said, of course all of this is in the context of China being a repressive, authoritarian state, which is obviously bad.
We know that there was a period of 5 days where Chinese leaders knew (or should have known) that the virus was airborne yet did not release this information publicly. I am not claiming they were fully transparent, it's clear that they weren't. But this was a delay on the order of days, it took weeks-month for the United States to mount anything that looked even remotely like a real policy response after they learned it was airborne. I do not think that those 5 days would have made a substantive difference to US policy.
Now onto your points:
1. Your wikipedia article about Covid-19 misinformation hits on the point about the 5 day delay, absolutely. Many of the other misinformation efforts cited are by individual politicians or smaller government apparatus, not necessarily the central government's stance. You can see similar misinformation promulgated in the United States among top politicians. I certainly buy, as per the wiki page, that somewhere like the 'Economic and Commercial Office of the Chinese Embassy in Kazakhstan' tweeted out misinformation about coronavirus, I am somewhat more skeptical that that had a serious impact on the coronavirus response.
2. Zhang Zhan arrived in Wuhan in February and was highly critical of lockdowns. While reprehensible, I do not think her arrest had a serious impact on people being aware of the reality of the virus, which was already public knowledge by then. Much more impactful in my view was the early suppression of reports from doctors in December conducted by the local (not central) government. So early in the pandemic, this could have had a size-able impact.
Governments like to save face. In Florida, state authorities fired and then arrested someone for revealing that true death counts were higher than reported.
3. I had not heard of this report. I've tried to do a bit more research on these claims, but haven't really been able to find much. I think it is important to note that, at the time, we were in the midst of a trade war with China, so there was a general decline in exports. I would like to hear more about this though.
> Is it possible that China was trying to walk a fine line by being transparent in those settings where it would be futile to lie, while acting differently in other settings to serve their own interests as much as possible?
Definitely, at least to some extent. If they were exclusively serving their interests, they probably didn't need to notify the WHO when they did and they probably could have suppressed a little longer, but it's clear they were manipulating the informational landscape for their own benefit. Really, my only claim is that the root of the pandemic in most of the West falls more on failure in Western nations to respond forcefully and less in the 5 day delay between knowledge of spread and disclosure.
Re: Covid-19 Was 'A Preventable Disaster,' WHO-Ordered Report Says
#153Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Why is it that governments are so competent when it comes to mass surveillance and repression $ 7,919,196,000 – CDC FY 2020 total funding $13,316,000,000 – CVN-78, USS Gerald R. Ford $62,000,000,000 – National Intelligence Program FY 2020
Yes, let's give more funding to the CDC for Gain-of-Function research. Since it's been proven without a doubt that COVID originated naturally..../s
Re: Covid-19 Was 'A Preventable Disaster,' WHO-Ordered Report Says
#154Earlier quoted context omitted.
Without any pretext you came up with this projection: " This seems to be very upsetting to you for some reason. " This is trying to play a psychological game with other posters. No point continuing any argument after that, as evidently you have no good intention of having a respectful and balanced discussion, as later posts clearly indicate. Just because we have different opinions, there's no need for such cheap tric…
> Just because we have different opinions, there's no need for such cheap tricks. You shouldn't have been the one to start using them then.
Anyhow, have a good day!
Re: Covid-19 Was 'A Preventable Disaster,' WHO-Ordered Report Says
#155Earlier quoted context omitted.
The "if" changes the meaning of his statement significantly.
Innumerably many valid statements of the form 'if P then Q' can be generated. But dissemination of one by a govt. scientist in a prominent medical journal, however, indicates that they think it likely enough to be true.
Re: Covid-19 Was 'A Preventable Disaster,' WHO-Ordered Report Says
#156Earlier quoted context omitted.
WHO is an NGO and have absolutely no authority. I agree we shouldn't trust reports from China.
No authority does not imply they have to bend over and parrot governments' messages. WHO could have simply requested permission to send an early investigation team, and if refused, warn the rest of the world that investigations were refused. They could have been the canary in the coal mine and let other governments, who do have power, pressure the one that refuses to cooperate.
Re: Covid-19 Was 'A Preventable Disaster,' WHO-Ordered Report Says
#157Earlier quoted context omitted.
WHO is an NGO and have absolutely no authority. I agree we shouldn't trust reports from China.
And by the way, the WHO is not an NGO. Its membership is open to all nation states, but exclusively for nation states, similarly to UN. https://www.who.int/sidcer/links/en/ " World Health Organization An inter-governmental organisation whose objective is the attainment by all peoples of the highest possible level of health."
Re: Covid-19 Was 'A Preventable Disaster,' WHO-Ordered Report Says
#158Earlier quoted context omitted.
I’m not who you’re asking but I wish we had learned that a robust debate is necessary and we shouldn’t just assume tha Anthony Fauci has read the latest research. https://www.econlib.org/great-moments-in-epidemiology/ He did enormous damage in 1983 by speculating about casual transmission of HIV within households even though he admitted to not having read the paper. He was slow to get up to speed on aerosol transmiss…
This goes to all politicians and "experts" and journalists. The slavish subservience to authority and desperate clamor to lick boot sickens me. I mean, Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, the gun running and drug smuggling and interventions in South and Central America, banking corruption and laundering, the subprime crash, the Panama Papers, Congressional insider trading, corporations paying no taxes while politician…
Have you considered that the "desperate clamor" might just be a clamor to do the best thing ? And just how would we do that?
Your entire attitude seems to be predicated on the idea that nobody actually knows anything, there's no point listening to "experts" (even putting the quotes around the word is intended to be dismissive), and there's no way to spend time learning more about something.
I thoroughly reject that POV.
Look, you've provided a great list of terrible things that the US (and other) governments have done (though it's necessarily incomplete and mostly rather recent). But in the context of your point, so what?
What about the experts that know how to build bridges properly? What about the governmental policies that actually result in positive changes? What about the doctors, engineers, designers, architects, farmers who actually do have a better understanding of their fields than an average person?
I don't disagree with you about the lamentable actions of our government and the processes/structures that allow them to happen. But I reject the implication that this requires me to just be infinitely cynical about everything.
Re: Covid-19 Was 'A Preventable Disaster,' WHO-Ordered Report Says
#159Earlier quoted context omitted.
> The US had the expertise, technological capacity, and economic investment capacity And incompetent leadership that foundered an opportunity to be the heroes of a generation.
You mean bring multiple vaccines to market in less than 12 months?
"According to data from the Department of Veteran's Affairs, approximately 405,000 Americans died in the Second World War while 36,000 lost their lives in the Korean War. The Vietnam War resulted in another 58,000 deaths with the collective toll of all three conflicts coming in at around half a million. As of February 23, 2021, the Johns Hopkins University lists 500,310 Americans as having died from Covid-19. If a minute of silence was held for every death during the pandemic, it would take nearly a year - 347 days - to honor all the people the U.S. has lost."
https://www.statista.com/chart/amp/24252/us-covid-19-deaths-...
Re: Covid-19 Was 'A Preventable Disaster,' WHO-Ordered Report Says
#160Earlier quoted context omitted.
From what I understand, HIV is fairly difficult to transmit, requiring an exchange of infected body fluids. This makes it deeply traumatic because the people you're most likely to infect will be people extremely close to you. To some extent this is true of almost any transmissable disease, but HIV added the twist that infection is very, very unlikely to happen between two individuals that are not physically intimate…
I’m not who you’re asking but I wish we had learned that a robust debate is necessary and we shouldn’t just assume tha Anthony Fauci has read the latest research. https://www.econlib.org/great-moments-in-epidemiology/ He did enormous damage in 1983 by speculating about casual transmission of HIV within households even though he admitted to not having read the paper. He was slow to get up to speed on aerosol transmiss…
I don't hear or read people saying "we should follow what Dr. Fauci says". I hear and read saying "we should follow the science", and that necessarily means (for a novel disease, whether that's HIV or COVID-19) entering into a process in which things are not certain, opinions differ, new information emerges. "The science" isn't a single, fixed answer for any situation, and even less so for a novel disease. Pretending that "the science" can essentially be identified with a single person is tremendously foolish, both for those who want to believe that person and those who want to tear them down.