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California population declines for first time in more than a century

wsj.com

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Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#7
post #4

or govt solution: keep raising taxes and letting violent criminals out and allowing third world quality of life

> and letting violent criminals out

Of all the problems we face, insufficiently low incarceration rates aren't one of them.

Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#8

Well...when fire's everywhere, I'd get out of dodge too... (I write this from Utah which also catches fire frequently...but what do I know, lol).

This biggest problem is lack of housing. The people leaving are those with lower incomes and less education, whereas new arrivals have high education levels and high incomes.

This is evidenced in the booming housing prices, which seemingly never stop accelerating despite being many multiples more of median income than other places.

This is a planned process, Californians have consciously chosen to become exclusionary. Does great things for the housing values, which is easily leveraged into purchasing more real estate or pretty much anything else.

Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#9
It's not fire-related:

- state income tax

- real estate prices

- threatened wealth tax and pursuit across state lines

- family court system heavily stacked against men

- policing and homeless issues in major cities

- water supply issues (half of proposed projects stalled for decades.)

It should be interesting to see how big the hole is in the state budgets over the next few years - could be breath-taking.

Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#10

I'm not sure how much I believe that. It seems likely that this census was incredibly compromised compared to past censuses, and the 0.4% decline is well within what I'd consider a plausible margin of error.

It seems very unlikely that this census is corrupted. It’s also a census so the margin of error is not within a plausible margin of error.
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