I recently came across this comment by Philip Greenspun: “if you bought an asset for $10,000 in 2000, for example, the BLS says you spent $15,700 in today’s mini-dollars; if you sell it for $15,000 in 2021 you’ve actually suffered a loss, but will owe capital gains tax nonetheless” ( https://philip.greenspun.com/blog/2021/04/29/economic-wisdom... ). I’m not a finance person, and this had never occurred to me. Does he…
He has a point. Imagine capital gains in a sustained high inflation period. Even if your investment exactly tracked inflation you’d end up with a very substantial nominal gain, and LTCG uses the nominal value.
Washington state approves capital gains tax
121–130 of 292 posts
Re: Washington state approves capital gains tax
#122Re: Washington state approves capital gains tax
#123Earlier quoted context omitted.
It would be great for the taxpayer if you could do that but the government would lose out on so much revenue. So I think any such proposal is dead on arrival.
I think it’s important to recognize that taxes are not primarily about revenue. The government can just create/inflate as much money into existence as it wants. All taxes are about behavior control and signaling. We’re either trying to discourage a behavior or signal we’re sticking it to some group or other who is getting taxed. Once you see the world through this lens all of these tax laws make much more sense.
Re: Washington state approves capital gains tax
#124As a Washington resident, I think this is great. WA has one of the most regressive tax systems in the country, and this is a move in the right direction. It's crafted to have a very narrow impact. It is capital gains, but essentially only for stock sales, and only for stocks sales over a quarter million dollars. If someone sells half a million dollars worth of stock, it seems very fair the state gets some cut of that…
I also question the rationale behind giving our city and state more money... they haven't exactly exhibited forthright stewardship of existing tax resources. I have doubts that taking more capital gains taxes will be a net positive. This will in all likelihood negatively impact the region's yearly charitable donations. It will be interesting if someone does a before/after comparison of the net effect of this new tax.
Re: Washington state approves capital gains tax
#125Earlier quoted context omitted.
When I lived there a few years ago, there was an increasing amount of tech companies from Seattle opening up offices in Portland.
It has changed a lot with antifa having free reign for the last year. Lots of businesses boarded up and leaving. Even the Apple store was just set on fire again .
Re: Washington state approves capital gains tax
#126For those that support this, I have a question: Combined with the federal tax changes, this may increase LTCG rates for Washington residents to more than 60%. I can see folks wanting this for people that regularly make more than a million a year, but what about the situation more common amongst this community where you take below-market pay in exchange for a potential lump payout in one year. For example, say a start…
* first 200k: 15%
* 200k-250k: 15% + 3.8% (ACA Medicare Tax)
* 250k-441k: 15% + 3.8% + 7% (New state Tax)
* 441k-1m: 20% + 3.8% + 7% (Federal capital gain tax increase to 20%)
* 1m-1.2m: 39.6% + 3.8% + 7% (New capital gain tax increase to 39.6%)
The tax rate wouldn't be 60% even at the highest marginal rate, which is 50.4%.
The average tax rate is about 30%.
Re: Washington state approves capital gains tax
#127Earlier quoted context omitted.
Real estate has a powerful lobby and many property owners are well-connected themselves. A lot of people own property and don't see it as free money. They empathize with property owners. Though it's easier money if you're politically connected and/or already wealthy. Stocks are held by rich people and techbros, in the minds of the public. Whether something is valuable or not valuable depends on who you empathize with…
> Really you should just tax income at high rates and investment at near-0%. Does this address taxes lost from people being paid in stock units?
Re: Washington state approves capital gains tax
#128Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don’t think you understand how capital gains work... If you invest a dollar today and get ten dollars tomorrow you’ve gained 9 dollars. When were you taxed for that?
I think his point was the initial dollar you invested was at some point subject to income tax to get it.
There is no double taxation here.
There is a more nuanced question as to whether or not inflation should be incorporated into the calculations, but there are pros and cons there also.
Re: Washington state approves capital gains tax
#129I recently came across this comment by Philip Greenspun: “if you bought an asset for $10,000 in 2000, for example, the BLS says you spent $15,700 in today’s mini-dollars; if you sell it for $15,000 in 2021 you’ve actually suffered a loss, but will owe capital gains tax nonetheless” ( https://philip.greenspun.com/blog/2021/04/29/economic-wisdom... ). I’m not a finance person, and this had never occurred to me. Does he…
And as reduced down, it essentially gives the Fed the ability to seize 20% (soon to be 40%) of all property in the name of the IRS, by printing arbitrary amounts of money (which the Fed board can do independently of congress) to blow up the nominal "capital gains" on any asset, triggering capital gains tax. It hasn't been an issue historically, in an era of hawkish fed leadership, but this year... we'll see.
Re: Washington state approves capital gains tax
#130For those that support this, I have a question: Combined with the federal tax changes, this may increase LTCG rates for Washington residents to more than 60%. I can see folks wanting this for people that regularly make more than a million a year, but what about the situation more common amongst this community where you take below-market pay in exchange for a potential lump payout in one year. For example, say a start…
Not sure how you arrived at 60% - aren't federal capital gains topped off at 20%, and this bill only 7% for gains over $250,000? Even if it is 60%, I think that's reasonable. In your case, why is the employee selling all of their stock in one year? If they sell over multiple years, they could get gains of up to $250,000 without paying any state tax, which is plenty. I'd also be in favor of a state income tax, since t…
They are this year, but the Biden proposal wants to raise tax for any income over $1m (LTCG included) to the top marginal rate of 39.6%. Add that to the proposals to increase SS to 12% for income over $400k, ~3% medicare tax, etc.
> why is the employee selling all of their stock in one year?
Because having all of your net worth in one company is a huge risk, and anyone wanting to mitigate risk would want to diversify as soon as possible.