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Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

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Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#151
post #110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It seems oddly philosophical to suggest that a crime hasn't been committed until its would-be committor has been convicted... Regardless of what you want to call it in the time between the event later deemed criminal, and the sentencing, surely you see that that's what GP was referring to? That there may be differences in demography of 'who is involved in these events'.

It's not philosophical, it's the law. And GP dismisses the overwhelmingly higher rates of arrests for non whites as not being a systemic racism issue and assumes that white people commit fewer crimes with no data to back it up. > If we are overly fixated Sorry but that is gaslighting and victim blaming. Tell the parent of a black teenager to not be overly fixated on police reform.

> It's not philosophical, it's the law.

All of these are considered crimes in all jurisdictions I know of in the USA: theft/burglary/robbery, violence or threat thereof, and reckless endangerment. If you commit one of those acts, you have definitionally committed a crime, even if you are not convicted in a court of law.

> dismisses the overwhelmingly higher rates of arrests for non whites as not being a systemic racism issue

I encourage you to re-read what I wrote, because that isn't what I said.

My post raises a question of causality. There are several common proposals for why arrest rates for blacks are disproportionately high:

1. Police are racist, so they arrest black people at higher rates than other people, regardless of criminality.

2. Criminal law is written specifically to target black people.

3. Black people, due to systemic racism elsewhere in society, end up committing more acts-that-are-legally-defined-as-crimes, and this eventually leads to a greater number of arrests.

4. Actual racist ideology, which is generally vile and I will not repeat it here.

The reality is probably a combination of explanations 1-3, and there is surely mutual causality among them.

Any serious attempt to understand the problem must attempt to disentangle these explanations from each other.

> assumes that white people commit fewer crimes with no data to back it up

I said that we specifically don't have good data, but it's not safe to assume that all demographics commit crimes at the same rate. See above.

> Sorry but that is gaslighting and victim blaming. Tell the parent of a black teenager to not be overly fixated on police reform.

This is a bad faith misrepresentation of what I wrote.

If anything, the media getting stuff kinda-wrong but still raising awareness is a net positive.

Also it should be obvious that police reform is necessary, and obviously people will care the most about the issues that affect them personally.

Moreover, nothing ever seems to get done without single-minded people focusing intently on a single problem. We need people working on all aspects of the racism issue, including racism in policing and law.

But you simply cannot look at the arrest numbers and assume that the discrepancy is definitely and entirely because of police racism. It would be fallacious to do so, and if you intend to put forth policy based on data then you should try to avoid logical fallacies in the process.

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#152

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've read the entire study many times. Perhaps you can point out how explicitly how they adjust for shifts of how definitions like "consistently liberal" shift over time? Even the fact that "liberal" means left now is a function of how far to the right the democrats have gone, the Third Way Democrats having cemented their hold on the party. Additionally being "fiscally right wing" is an overall right wing position. B…

> Perhaps you can point out how explicitly how they adjust for shifts of how definitions like "consistently liberal" shift over time? Once again, the questions are just policy questions. They don't mention anything about "liberal" or "conservative". They ask policy questions, which is exactly what you seem to have wanted initially. If you've read the study methodology, then you should be aware of exactly what the sur…

> Once again, the questions are just policy questions. They don't mention anything about "liberal" or "conservative". They ask policy questions, which is exactly what you seem to have wanted initially. If you read the study methodology, then you should be aware of exactly what the survey respondants are asked.

Then you should be able to list one policy qustion they asked in 2014 and 1994 that doesn't use the word "liberal" or "conservative"?

> If you believe that, then the coming years are going to be a big surprise to you. The GOP of Reagan is on its way out. People like Hawley, who are happy to work with Bernie Sanders on certain fiscal policies, are on their way in. You may well still hate them because they are populists, but they have a different outlook on multinational corporations and the ultrawealthy than the old GOP.

I'm not sure why you started thinking I hate people for being populists, or that you think Hawley has even a modicum of support from the Republican party as whole (both voters and politicians).

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#153

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You must be referring to the crack/cocaine sentencing distinction. That policy was rectified many years ago. Besides that, you're incorrect that black and white Americans consume "different drugs". I would argue that your argument is also "decades old". And the way in which you suggest that issues of race and crime in America are settled, or that we've "learned" the right answer, suggests that you believe people on t…

I listed a few examples; there are many others that are well known and easy to learn about. If you want to provide evidence, address the issues, and advance our knowledge, please do! > you suggest that issues of race and crime in America are settled, or that we've "learned" the right answer, suggests that you believe people on the other side of this issue are somehow remedial. Surely you see how this can be an obstac…

I'd be happy to. A good place to start is the excellent, nuanced commentary on this topic from black professors Glenn Loury and John McWhorter:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0H4M5uP_y8

One thing they reference during this podcast but don't talk about in much detail is the case of Tony Timpa. Many of the things many claim only happen to black Americans are in fact more general issues of police brutality, poor training, or hard realities of policing. And that means yes, it happens to white Americans too.

The last thing I want to do is distract from the issues. I want us to move past these surface level discussions that we are inundated with in both the professional and social media realms. Please watch the Glenn and John episode above for more on what I mean.

Edit: Apologies. To be clear, Tony Timpa was a white man killed by a police officer in Dallas a few years ago via knee on neck. No media attention or mass protests.

Edit 2: For those more textually inclined, here is McWhorter's most recent post on the topic https://johnmcwhorter.substack.com/p/the-victorians-had-to-a...

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#154

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Perhaps you can point out how explicitly how they adjust for shifts of how definitions like "consistently liberal" shift over time? Once again, the questions are just policy questions. They don't mention anything about "liberal" or "conservative". They ask policy questions, which is exactly what you seem to have wanted initially. If you've read the study methodology, then you should be aware of exactly what the sur…

> Once again, the questions are just policy questions. They don't mention anything about "liberal" or "conservative". They ask policy questions, which is exactly what you seem to have wanted initially. If you read the study methodology, then you should be aware of exactly what the survey respondants are asked. Then you should be able to list one policy qustion they asked in 2014 and 1994 that doesn't use the word "li…

> Then you should be able to list one policy qustion they asked in 2014 and 1994 that doesn't use the word "liberal" or "conservative"?

Read them all here:

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/wp-content/uploads/site...

Those are the actual questions they ask. They "grade" them as liberal or conservative as shown in the columns (they mention that in the methodology section).

Also, it's not just 1994 and 2014. They've done it at 3-5 year intervals since 1994 up to 2017. Look at 2017 in particular, since that explains a lot about where we find ourselves today.

Personally, I'm glad there are people like Hawley. GOP has been in the pocket of big business for far too long. And now the Democratic party is thoroughly embedded there, too. There is a strong grassroots contigent with more reasonable fiscal views (read: much less plutocratic) coming up in the local and state GOP (unfortunately, some of them are also conspiracists, which is very bad). They may lose in the end, but there will be a fight for the party between the old wing and the new wing.

Edit: Those have been the questions all along. I've followed this poll for a decade. I'd pull up evidence of that, but I suspect you'd put some new requirement in for being convinced. I mean, you thought that the questions included "liberal" and "conservative" in them initially. And I'm really not interested in continuing a debate with someone who feels the need to ask me to "stay on task" with how he feels the discussion should proceeed (Hawley came up because you said right == fiscally conservative and he's a counterexample). So I'm out.

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#155
Why is this such a rarity these days?

My grandfather was an AP (MP) for decades and never shot at anyone, despite handling uncountable hairy/critical situations with individuals trained in killing.

Shoot first and ask questions never? Deescalation and self-control should be job #1 along with verbal/social skills to solve problems before jumping to the nuclear option out of fear.

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#156

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You must be referring to the crack/cocaine sentencing distinction. That policy was rectified many years ago. Besides that, you're incorrect that black and white Americans consume "different drugs". I would argue that your argument is also "decades old". And the way in which you suggest that issues of race and crime in America are settled, or that we've "learned" the right answer, suggests that you believe people on t…

>That policy was rectified many years ago. You're half right - the 2010 Fair Sentencing Act reformed the punishment ratio from 100:1 to about 18:1, and later in 2018 Congress made this change retroactive. This certainly improved the issue, but lawmakers continue to discuss whether it should be eliminated entirely. Source: https://www.vox.com/2021/3/19/22336224/equal-act-cocaine-sen...

Thank you. I was not aware of this.

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#157
post #138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Question? Absolutely. I encourage respectful questioning and refuting. Flagging and censoring? (cdot2 had been flagged into invisibility until he was unflagged) "paradox of tolerance"[1]? Nope 1. People should read _Open Society and Its Enemies_ before making that argument, because how they're applying it is not what Popper argued.

I don't see why the HN community has to honor/uphold/tolerate/defend the opinion of a throwaway account posting inaccurate information its own cited source refutes. These alternative viewpoints need to have some level of credibility to them, we should not defend every rando's opinion blindly. I don't think an "open society" has ever actually existed or is even possible. All freedoms are measured in degrees based on t…

> I don't see why the HN community has to honor/uphold/tolerate/defend

Those are all very different words. And you do the same below when you mix up "tolerate" and "legitimize". Are you trying to confuse the debate? To be clear, I'm solely arguing for tolerate and not censor, not any of the other things. And wow, looking at that comment that was flagged, I can't comprehend how you would believe it's so repugnant that it's worthy of censoring and suppression.

> Soros is often viewed as a liberal mouthpiece propagandist

He's the target of unfortunate conspiracy theories, but I want to get this straight: you don't believe Soros is a liberal propagandist? Do you also not think the Koch brothers are libertarian propagandists? Of course, they all are!

But yeah, I strongly disagree. I think censoring people who disagree, combined with the power and income inequality that was created by the plutocrats, will together kill our country. I don't want to give away my identity since I'm aware there are lots of people who would try to get me fired for disagreeing with them, but I've seen ethnic conflict up close and see every sign that the US is heading in that direction.

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#158

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> if There is a lot of evidence, that is easy to find, that laws criminalize African-Americans (e.g., drugs abused by poor African-Americans are criminal and result in prison; those abused by wealthy white people are sicknesses and result in treatment); that police harass and are brutal toward them (e.g., driving while black, predictive policing, and all the well-documented brutality and racism), and that prosecutors…

You must be referring to the crack/cocaine sentencing distinction. That policy was rectified many years ago. Besides that, you're incorrect that black and white Americans consume "different drugs". I would argue that your argument is also "decades old". And the way in which you suggest that issues of race and crime in America are settled, or that we've "learned" the right answer, suggests that you believe people on t…

If black Americans smoke weed rather than alcohol then yes, they take different drugs. Weed is criminalised far in excess of any justification based on personal or social harms. It just seems normal to drink, in a rational drug policy it would be more controlled than many other drugs.

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#159
post #6
post #3

While the crime rate has been going down since 2013, Newark still has a murder rate of 57 per 100,000 while the US average is 5 per 100,000. Perhaps their policing model should not be copied. http://www.city-data.com/crime/crime-Newark-New-Jersey.html#

Instead of comparing the murder rate to the entire U.S. it’s more telling to compare Newark’s current murder rate to it’s historic rate [1]. In 2019 it was at a 6 decade minimum. https://abc7ny.com/newark-crime-rate-murders-city-of-new-jer...

In a discussion about new police techniques, I agree that it's far more appropriate to compare Newark's current homocide rate with its historic rate.

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#160

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I listed a few examples; there are many others that are well known and easy to learn about. If you want to provide evidence, address the issues, and advance our knowledge, please do! > you suggest that issues of race and crime in America are settled, or that we've "learned" the right answer, suggests that you believe people on the other side of this issue are somehow remedial. Surely you see how this can be an obstac…

I'd be happy to. A good place to start is the excellent, nuanced commentary on this topic from black professors Glenn Loury and John McWhorter: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0H4M5uP_y8 One thing they reference during this podcast but don't talk about in much detail is the case of Tony Timpa. Many of the things many claim only happen to black Americans are in fact more general issues of police brutality, poor train…

The thing is, it can be true that the police are both generally brutal and racist. In fact that seems the most likely thing given my limited observations of US policing.
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