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Smart Folk Often Full of Crap, Study Finds

themultidisciplinarian.com

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Re: Smart Folk Often Full of Crap, Study Finds

#13
post #3

Given that people had a bimodal distribution of confidence, I would assume that means a lot of the perceived overconfidence come from people answering a question wrong that they thought was easy. I wonder if the test takers would say “that was a trick question”.

Yeah I'm going through https://www.congap.com/ and I see quite a few questions where the correct answer is often the one that goes against intuition. Thus, low information responders might make a reasoned guess and assign somewhat greater than 50% confidence when in reality they have a less than 50% chance of getting it right.

Incidentally, I pretty quickly learned to guess the most unusual answer for questions I have no direct information about.

Re: Smart Folk Often Full of Crap, Study Finds

#14

Smart is how well your brain works. Education is the things your brain knows. Wisdom is the combination. Smart does not imply having knowledge.

You can be smart, intelligent, and educated without being wise. In fact, it’s the norm.

I agree. I would say intelligence is what you have naturally, education is what you acquire in school, and wisdom is what you acquire through experience. These are not interchangeable.

Re: Smart Folk Often Full of Crap, Study Finds

#15
post #13
post #3

Given that people had a bimodal distribution of confidence, I would assume that means a lot of the perceived overconfidence come from people answering a question wrong that they thought was easy. I wonder if the test takers would say “that was a trick question”.

Yeah I'm going through https://www.congap.com/ and I see quite a few questions where the correct answer is often the one that goes against intuition. Thus, low information responders might make a reasoned guess and assign somewhat greater than 50% confidence when in reality they have a less than 50% chance of getting it right. Incidentally, I pretty quickly learned to guess the most unusual answer for questions I hav…

> Incidentally, I pretty quickly learned to guess the most unusual answer for questions I have no direct information about.

I suspect that's a strategy many people who are both educated and intelligent would pick up on.

Re: Smart Folk Often Full of Crap, Study Finds

#16
post #4

I am not completely sure I believe that Black Magin Woman was first performed by Feetwood Mac [sic]. And I confess I have no idea what a stop side is. But apparently I was correct to guess that it does not have six sides. And I remain dubious that the Mona Lisa was painted by someone other than Leonardo.

I assumed it was a typo of "stop sign".

Re: Smart Folk Often Full of Crap, Study Finds

#18
post #4

I am not completely sure I believe that Black Magin Woman was first performed by Feetwood Mac [sic]. And I confess I have no idea what a stop side is. But apparently I was correct to guess that it does not have six sides. And I remain dubious that the Mona Lisa was painted by someone other than Leonardo.

The stop sign question almost got me, though I was pretty sure it wasn’t six even before I glanced out the window at one.

Re: Smart Folk Often Full of Crap, Study Finds

#19
I think anyone who has inhabited planet earth for more than 25-30 years or so starts to realize that most of people are either:

1. “Geniuses” of speculation and every topic under the sun (overconfident braggarts that make sweeping claims that are difficult to criticize because they are so general; such dreamers talk big but really have little expertise) 2. People that actually are “deep-knowledge” experts, but only in one particular, very specialized domain and can otherwise barely tie their shoelaces

And that the 1. Kind of people make visionary, ridiculous claims that are then tempered and shored up by the 2. Kind of people behind the scenes that actually do the work so as not to cause horrific catastrophes and that true genius is rare and hardly ever recognizable as such within the genius’s own lifetime.

If you have no knowledge but boundless confidence and a good sense for what kind of statements you can make without actually resulting in direct (i.e. traceable to your statements) physical or financial injury to other people you can get pretty far in life.

I’m aware of the irony that the claims in this post put me in the 1. category.

Re: Smart Folk Often Full of Crap, Study Finds

#20
post #4

I am not completely sure I believe that Black Magin Woman was first performed by Feetwood Mac [sic]. And I confess I have no idea what a stop side is. But apparently I was correct to guess that it does not have six sides. And I remain dubious that the Mona Lisa was painted by someone other than Leonardo.

I did not know that about Black Magic Woman, but (give or take an "l") it's true: https://secondhandsongs.com/work/12143/versions#nav-entity

Taking an "l" and a "c", it's very definitely false.
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