The fact that something is scarce doesn't make it a store of value. Scarce simply means is in short supply, but prices aren't determined by supply alone, they are determined by supply and demand. Moreover, if an asset is in fixed supply, then its price is determined entirely by the demand. This means such an asset will only be a store of value if the demand for the asset remains strong over a long period of time, whi…
> Scarce simply means is in short supply, but prices aren't determined by supply alone, they are determined by supply and demand You can't predict demand, nobody can. So all things being equal (demand being unpredictable) you are better off holding something which is in low supply. People are absulutely scared to death about inflation. It's deeply rooted in our brain and rightfully so. The first governments would dil…
You can't predict demand perfectly, but you absolutely can predict demand. In fact that's exactly what everyone is doing when they speculate.
There are also processes that help you predict floors to demand - e.g. that you must pay US taxes in US dollars.