Earlier quoted context omitted.
First, you do not need to be the Russian intelligence services to pull off this attack. Given prevailing trends in the vulnerabilities market this sort of attack would cost at most $1M to pull of which puts it within the capabilities of maybe ~50,000,000 individuals worldwide let alone organizations. If the SVR is anything like the CIA they are probably running at least 1,000 programs of similar scale simultaneously,…
I'm not convinced about the arguments of cost. There are a whole lot of presumptions in that chain of reasoning. The initial vector seems to not require any high-prices vulnerabilities, but simple authorization by pass, e.g., bypassing 2FA. Which could well have been a root account. From there, get the keys that Duo depends on, then you own the whole thing. I have always argued that doing what I call "defense by pres…
It's a bit like arguing Bill Gates is a serious threat to any naval power because he can afford to buy a nuclear attack sub; there's more to it than that.