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Rents for the rich are going down, rents for the poor are going up. Why?

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101–110 of 257 posts

Re: Rents for the rich are going down, rents for the poor are going up. Why?

#101

It is a huge risk right now to take on someone that is poor as a renter because of the moratorium. It is completely unsurprising to me that landlords have priced this risk factor in.

Interestingly, if landlords were allowed to use larger security deposits, some would choose to do this instead of raising the monthly rent. My friend is looking to rent out an ADU, and the first idea was to have a sizable security deposit in order to filter applicants who fully intended on paying rent from those who would be more likely to use the eviction moratorium. But apparently California tightened the rules aro…

How is prepaying rent different from a larger security deposit?

Re: Rents for the rich are going down, rents for the poor are going up. Why?

#102

While the article is interesting, there is one dynamic it missed: tech debt. Starting around 1975, housing supply stopped keeping up with the growth of housing demand. It picked back up fifteen years later, around 1990: https://www.brookings.edu/research/the-goldilocks-problem-of... (But that is on a national level: in the West, in comparison, housing growth hasn't been sufficient to house the new households formed a…

> Starting around 1975

Guess what happened in October 1974: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Equal_Credit_Opportunity_Act

Re: Rents for the rich are going down, rents for the poor are going up. Why?

#103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can't get the same leverage nearly as safely or as easily in the stock market, which is why so many people start to play landlord with second, third, etc, properties that they finance. What changed in the last year is that people want a lot more space which is pulling them out of the "expensive apartment" market and into the "house" market, while also being less concerned about commute distance. So the expensive…

Even with the leverage, it is in most cases still not a good investment. There are a lot of calculator out there that shows you the break even point between renting and buying. You forget all the horrible fees that come with owning a place (HOA, maintenance, property taxes, 6% lost to agents at every transaction)

Buying is a near perfectly good investment (sadly). Selling is almost the only way to lose money in real estate.

Re: Rents for the rich are going down, rents for the poor are going up. Why?

#104

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Interestingly, if landlords were allowed to use larger security deposits, some would choose to do this instead of raising the monthly rent. My friend is looking to rent out an ADU, and the first idea was to have a sizable security deposit in order to filter applicants who fully intended on paying rent from those who would be more likely to use the eviction moratorium. But apparently California tightened the rules aro…

How is prepaying rent different from a larger security deposit?

It has a similar signaling effect, but someone could prepay 6 months rent and then just stop paying. With a security deposit, you have that as a buffer until the person leaves.

Perhaps the best way to accomplish this without having the landlord perpetually hang onto large amounts of tenant cash is to have a large deposit that slowly decreases over time, as trust increases. So perhaps it would be 5 or 6 months of deposit that is used to offset every 3rd month of rent during the first year.

Re: Rents for the rich are going down, rents for the poor are going up. Why?

#105

While the article is interesting, there is one dynamic it missed: tech debt. Starting around 1975, housing supply stopped keeping up with the growth of housing demand. It picked back up fifteen years later, around 1990: https://www.brookings.edu/research/the-goldilocks-problem-of... (But that is on a national level: in the West, in comparison, housing growth hasn't been sufficient to house the new households formed a…

If cheap housing is expensive housing built 30-100 years ago, we should have had decades and decades of delapidating housing stock left to go before hitting a shortage. Not to mention your example of housing in Boston built at the turn of the 20th century. A laissez faire policy that makes the poor wait 120 years for housing is hardly any policy at all.

And many cities did, which is why the trend has been getting slowly worse.

I didn't talk about any "laissez faire" policy, and as far as I know no city in the US is pursuing a laissez faire policy. I also don't know why you think it is bad to have housing stock that lasts; having lived in a number of those turn of the century homes, they were better and cheaper than the "affordable" new apartment options. They were well-built luxury homes that are comfortable to live in, but didn't have the modern status symbols the new luxury apartments had. It isn't a universal thing, either; it was specifically because the luxury housing from the time was _nice_. I looked at cheap apartments in 1970s cement bunkers and always went back to living in a beautiful Victorian with vaulted ceilings, even if they were dustier & colder.

Affordable housing will always compromise on something, and personally I preferred finding roommates & buying space heaters to living in a shoebox.

As someone below noted, these dynamics vary dramatically by local. California, much less San Francisco, is a whole different kettle of fish. But because we stopped building housing for a while, we are at best going to face a period of catch-up, no matter what we do.

Re: Rents for the rich are going down, rents for the poor are going up. Why?

#106

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Interestingly, if landlords were allowed to use larger security deposits, some would choose to do this instead of raising the monthly rent. My friend is looking to rent out an ADU, and the first idea was to have a sizable security deposit in order to filter applicants who fully intended on paying rent from those who would be more likely to use the eviction moratorium. But apparently California tightened the rules aro…

This comment is spot on. Rent premiums are often not greed, but just a risk premium and buffer-collection for a catch all of issues from future non-payment to other BS.

Prices are negotiated. Two parties must agree on the price. If there is a "greedy" landlord overcharging people there must also be a person "willing" to pay the overpriced rent. Of course there are cases of vacant properties but I don't think this is a problem for most rental markets.

Re: Rents for the rich are going down, rents for the poor are going up. Why?

#107
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That, however, reduces their chance in getting tenants so it becomes a vicious self-feeding closed circuit process?

It's probably because of speculation. If there is a chance that the moratorium will end in July it's better to not have any tenants for a few months than bad ones you cannot evict and will trash your place. Also, unoccupied properties are always more valuable.

Is it really speculation if the government turns tenants into net negative customers?

Re: Rents for the rich are going down, rents for the poor are going up. Why?

#108
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's horrible to hear, I was only able to get my first apartment in California since I could offer a double deposit. Chicago on the other hand has fantastic housing supply and so many rules on security deposits, most buildings just don't do it. Access to housing permeates every aspect of a culture, people are significantly nicer when they can afford a place to live. Has your friend been able to get out of Californi…

Chicago does have a large supply of housing and land that can be converted into housing. This helps keep the cost of housing closer to the cost required to construct units. In CA, the cost of a home has almost nothing to do with the input costs other than land. There are areas that could be built up (tons of land just west of 280), but which is protected by environmental laws or restrictions. Full development of this…

San Francisco also has 26 skyscrapers to Chicago's 130. 80% of the Bay Area is zoned exclusive for single family, to Chicago's 41.1%.

It's not landscape and it's not rocket science: it's zoning. San Francisco could build up, letting people live closer to their work & be much better for the environment than encouraging sprawl, but chooses not to. Y'all decided to make housing expensive, so it is.

Re: Rents for the rich are going down, rents for the poor are going up. Why?

#109

It is a huge risk right now to take on someone that is poor as a renter because of the moratorium. It is completely unsurprising to me that landlords have priced this risk factor in.

It's crazy that we live in an economy where you have to pay just to live somewhere, but when the eviction moratorium ends, there's going to be a huge financial reckoning as there's no way anyone is paying all that back rent. Biden is going to have to either bail out tenants or landlords and banks. I'll be taking bets on which one he does.

It's crazy that we live in an economy where all you have to do to live until 80 years is pay to live somewhere. We don't even have to hunt our own food.

Re: Rents for the rich are going down, rents for the poor are going up. Why?

#110
post #102

While the article is interesting, there is one dynamic it missed: tech debt. Starting around 1975, housing supply stopped keeping up with the growth of housing demand. It picked back up fifteen years later, around 1990: https://www.brookings.edu/research/the-goldilocks-problem-of... (But that is on a national level: in the West, in comparison, housing growth hasn't been sufficient to house the new households formed a…

> Starting around 1975 Guess what happened in October 1974: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Equal_Credit_Opportunity_Act

Can you explain the significance of this correlation?
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