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German man loses 400k GBP about $500k in Twitter Bitcoin scam

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Re: German man loses 400k GBP about $500k in Twitter Bitcoin scam

#101
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's the same situation. You don't have $500k - you have an opportunity to get $500k if you do things right. If it's kept as BTC, there's a number of things that could bring the value to $0 without the scam.

I think this is a pointless distinction. A 500k bank balance is just an "opportunity" to withdraw 500k of cash. There are a number of things that could bring your bank balance to $0 without the scam. 500k of cash is just an "opportunity" to extract 500k of value. etc.

A bank balance is different. The value of $500k in $ doesn't change. There's regulation which dictates what banks can do with that money. There's industry enforced insurance which means even if the bank goes under, you can still recover a decent chunk of that money. Putting money into a basic bank account is by law not gambling, speculation, or investment.

You don't have opportunity to withdraw it - you've got the right to do it.

Re: German man loses 400k GBP about $500k in Twitter Bitcoin scam

#102
I'm not on Twitter much but I've seen plenty of livestreams coming up in my YouTube feed. What I find striking about some of them is just how creative the scammers have gotten and the production values involved. During the last Starship launch there were several fake livestreams purporting to be from SpaceX. They had custom graphics and gauges and were all soliciting Bitcoin in order to "fill the tank" ahead of launch. There were literally hundreds of people on some of them and it's unlikely they were all bots. What's particularly brazen about these schemes is that the normal reporting mechanisms don't work. When YouTube looks into it hours later the damage has already been done.

Re: German man loses 400k GBP about $500k in Twitter Bitcoin scam

#103
post #49

> The 42-year-old says he first invested $40,000 in Bitcoin in 2017, and quickly made his money back as the value of the coins rose on the open market. He cashed out and got his initial money back, but then watched excitedly over the years as the 10 coins grew to be worth nearly 500,000 euros. Fortunately this sounds like he didn't lose anything, just never realised extra gains. I know it's slightly nitpicking, but l…

No. This is a common way to think about it, but it's wrong imho. Because that money is real and it buys you real stuff. If you have that money one day and it is gone the next, you effectively lost that money. It doesn't matter where it came from. Think about it: You inherit $500k. You lose it through a scam or a bet or gambling. Do you think it doesn't matter? I mean, you didn't earn that money yourself, right? There…

Easy come, easy go. I was never planning on a $500k inheritance, it was just a good bonus.

Re: German man loses 400k GBP about $500k in Twitter Bitcoin scam

#104
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No. This is a common way to think about it, but it's wrong imho. Because that money is real and it buys you real stuff. If you have that money one day and it is gone the next, you effectively lost that money. It doesn't matter where it came from. Think about it: You inherit $500k. You lose it through a scam or a bet or gambling. Do you think it doesn't matter? I mean, you didn't earn that money yourself, right? There…

But it's not real money, it's an asset! I think you have a wrong understanding of what unrealized gains are. It's not about whether you earned it yourself - it's about whether it's liquid cash or just an asset. Only once you sell your asset do you realize your gains.

As I asked in the other part of this thread: Would you feel differently if he sold the bitcoins and then immediately bought them again before participating in the scam? Of course not. Even though that would make them "realized", that has no impact on the situation

Re: German man loses 400k GBP about $500k in Twitter Bitcoin scam

#105
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think this is a pointless distinction. A 500k bank balance is just an "opportunity" to withdraw 500k of cash. There are a number of things that could bring your bank balance to $0 without the scam. 500k of cash is just an "opportunity" to extract 500k of value. etc.

A bank balance is different. The value of $500k in $ doesn't change. There's regulation which dictates what banks can do with that money. There's industry enforced insurance which means even if the bank goes under, you can still recover a decent chunk of that money. Putting money into a basic bank account is by law not gambling, speculation, or investment. You don't have opportunity to withdraw it - you've got the ri…

OK, sure. Those things are all true, but it doesn't change my point: He could have "realized" the gains any time he wanted and it wouldn't have affected the outcome of this scam. For all we know he actually did "realize" them at some point and just bought the coins again to send them to the scammer. It makes no difference in this situation.

Re: German man loses 400k GBP about $500k in Twitter Bitcoin scam

#107
post #10

This is a terrible scam, but I am astonished by the frivolity with which people would move life-changing amounts of money into something with absolutely no due diligence. When I took on a financial advisor I verified their identity with the govt regulator, verified their written bank details over the phone, and then verified those details with my bank before I even considered sending a single penny. Even then I sent…

It was just bitcoin money. He never worked an hour on them. He lost $40k which was his initial bitcoin investment in 2017.

Actually, no. He didn’t even lost his initial 40k.

> He cashed out and got his initial money back, but then watched excitedly over the years as the 10 coins grew to be worth nearly 500,000 euros.

Re: German man loses 400k GBP about $500k in Twitter Bitcoin scam

#108
post #105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A bank balance is different. The value of $500k in $ doesn't change. There's regulation which dictates what banks can do with that money. There's industry enforced insurance which means even if the bank goes under, you can still recover a decent chunk of that money. Putting money into a basic bank account is by law not gambling, speculation, or investment. You don't have opportunity to withdraw it - you've got the ri…

OK, sure. Those things are all true, but it doesn't change my point: He could have "realized" the gains any time he wanted and it wouldn't have affected the outcome of this scam. For all we know he actually did "realize" them at some point and just bought the coins again to send them to the scammer. It makes no difference in this situation.

> For all we know he actually did "realize" them at some point and just bought the coins again to send them to the scammer. It makes no difference in this situation.

I think it makes a big difference. "I'll gamble my 10 BTC" and "I'll exchange my actual $500k to gamble as BTC" would have a very different threshold for action. I suspect he wouldn't do that with real money.

Same reason F2P games get you to exchange money into tokens (some even twice) to make you lose connection to the real value.

Re: German man loses 400k GBP about $500k in Twitter Bitcoin scam

#109
post #105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

OK, sure. Those things are all true, but it doesn't change my point: He could have "realized" the gains any time he wanted and it wouldn't have affected the outcome of this scam. For all we know he actually did "realize" them at some point and just bought the coins again to send them to the scammer. It makes no difference in this situation.

> For all we know he actually did "realize" them at some point and just bought the coins again to send them to the scammer. It makes no difference in this situation. I think it makes a big difference. "I'll gamble my 10 BTC" and "I'll exchange my actual $500k to gamble as BTC" would have a very different threshold for action. I suspect he wouldn't do that with real money. Same reason F2P games get you to exchange mon…

F2P game tokens are a much different situation because they are not a liquid asset (you can only buy them)

> "I'll gamble my 10 BTC" and "I'll exchange my actual $500k to gamble as BTC" would have a very different threshold for action

For a rational investor, they shouldn't.

Re: German man loses 400k GBP about $500k in Twitter Bitcoin scam

#110
post #49

> The 42-year-old says he first invested $40,000 in Bitcoin in 2017, and quickly made his money back as the value of the coins rose on the open market. He cashed out and got his initial money back, but then watched excitedly over the years as the 10 coins grew to be worth nearly 500,000 euros. Fortunately this sounds like he didn't lose anything, just never realised extra gains. I know it's slightly nitpicking, but l…

No. This is a common way to think about it, but it's wrong imho. Because that money is real and it buys you real stuff. If you have that money one day and it is gone the next, you effectively lost that money. It doesn't matter where it came from. Think about it: You inherit $500k. You lose it through a scam or a bet or gambling. Do you think it doesn't matter? I mean, you didn't earn that money yourself, right? There…

For tax purposes, in the U.S., what he had at the time was an unrealized gain. So if he later went to convert that Bitcoin into U.S. dollars, he would have a taxable event (i.e., if he cashed out the whole thing, he would owe taxes on the difference between his basis and the value at the time).

I don't know how it works in Germany though.

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