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Compare voice recognition in 2001 to 2021.
To be honest with you, if you look at the technology as a whole, I prefer what we had in 2001. Back then it was completely unusable (as opposed to now, where it's only borderline unusable), but at least it wasn't shoved down your throat by smartphone manufacturers and Google.
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Well, that's the point. If they're getting their goods from a robot, their needs are being met. If they're not, they could trade with person B.
But why are we assuming that they have needs that are not being met by the robots?
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To be honest with you, if you look at the technology as a whole, I prefer what we had in 2001. Back then it was completely unusable (as opposed to now, where it's only borderline unusable), but at least it wasn't shoved down your throat by smartphone manufacturers and Google.
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Not everything is following Moore's law. The R&D efficiency in pharma is exponentially _declining_. See Eroom's law, for example: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eroom%27s_law
[disclosure: I do some comms work for them]
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I'm assuming you're a non-native speaker? The definite article "the" indicates that I'm talking specifically about voice recognition technology. Of course other areas have improved peoples' lives in meaningful ways, such as C++11 and video streaming (although I'd argue Zoom is worse than the telephone in almost every instance it's deployed).
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Horses aren't the center of the economy, though. It's fundamentally different. Horses might always want more and more things no matter how much they get. But they don't create demand in our economy, so we'll never know. No matter how much humans get, they'll always want more. And other humans will have to come up with ways to meet that demand. Sure - if we ever reach a time where the entire human race says "this is e…
I can't get myself to agree with this. Indeed, it's true, horses don't create demand, but neither do unemployed humans. Our economy isn't centred around humans, it's centred around capital. Unemployable humans are as useless to it as horses, as they can't exchange their labour with capital owners (or become capital owners themselves). Unemployable people might want more, but will they get more? No, they won't.
> We will discover new jobs–we always do after a technological revolution CGP grey put this well > Imagine a pair of horses in the early 1900s talking about technology. One worries all these new mechanical muscles (cars etc) will make horses unnecessary. The other horse reminds him that everything so far has made their lives easier - remember all that farm work? Remember running coast-to-coast delivering mail? Rememb…
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This is a very misleading metaphor. Horses were not workers. The were tools workers used. Farmers used horses to plow the fields. Transport workers used them to transport goods and people. As those workers got better tools to plow and transport, productivity increased, society got richer. There are also millions of old telegraphs, slide rules, and rotary phones "unemployed" across the world. The fate of these no long…
Guess what, 90% of humans are also tools that a small percentage of other humans use to accomplish their goals. Few people would argue that the job of “Amazon warehouse worker” is anything other than a tool for Jeff Bezos to become richer and more powerful. The person who has that job, from when they clock in to when they clock out, is functionally equivalent to a horse. Amazon software engineers are the same, they j…
Unfortunately I don't see price of healthcare coming down, just more doctors out of work. AI in healthcare will be highly regulated, probably monopolized, and tons of artificial barriers to entry created by corporate lobbyists. The AI quality won't make much of a difference: the winners will be the stodgy bureaucratic companies with political influence and just enough "AI" to be useful. WebMD will probably go offline…
WebMD may go offline, but countercultureMD will come online in its place, and it will be more data driven. I don't know whether that's good for medical care; maybe it is.