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Hertz, the original meme stock, is turning out to be worthless

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61–70 of 326 posts

Re: Hertz, the original meme stock, is turning out to be worthless

#61

I want us to get back to reality and fundamentals. These days it feels like the entire fabric of society is falling apart.

ironic writing this right before $2 trillion is about to get distributed to the people by Congress, while the Federal Reserve is still buying corporate bonds across the entire curve and mortgages using money created at the time of transaction.

Re: Hertz, the original meme stock, is turning out to be worthless

#62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

All this retail interest in meme stocks is gambling, plain and simple. More people entering the market creates a Ponzi effect where new entrants pay for the gains of holders, but by definition this is unsustainable. You can see this basically everywhere in the economy but the meme stocks are the most obvious. Not financial advice, I thought Tesla was laughably over valued at $40 a share, never bet more than you’re wi…

Investing in any stock is gambling, plain and simple. The only difference is your risk tolerance. Remember when it was impossible for real estate investments to lose money 15 years ago?

Gambling is when you take big risks with hope for a big payoff. It’s possible to invest in the stock market and limit risk by diversifying and hedging positions, but how many meme stock investors are doing that? It’s much more likely to see people yoloing their life savings on Tesla or GME and hoping to retire from the windfall. Not going to be pretty if stocks ever go down again.

Re: Hertz, the original meme stock, is turning out to be worthless

#63

It's not worth discussing BTC, TSLA, GME, or HTZ. That is missing the forest for the trees. The degradation of even the appearance of an orderly market is the story. The money movement (volume of excess trades X magnitude of price change) seems out of reach of unleveraged retail. Faith in private and public institutions is justifiably poor, but also under organized attack. This is going to end badly for everyone, exc…

I think in regards to finance, the only thing that's under attack is the idea of "stock market as source of knowledge about value." But I'm not sure that the stock market has actually served that purpose for decades.

IMO, it's good that people are beginning to see the stock market as a casino. If people want to "invest," they'll figure out more pro-social ways to do it than the stock market, and if they want to gamble, well, there's always the stock market.

Re: Hertz, the original meme stock, is turning out to be worthless

#64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree that TSLA is irrational, and I think that this is true regardless of whether you think there are more gains to come. My impression of TSLA investors is that many of them just want to be a part of the future, and many others are trying to make money off the volatility & irrationality.

I think the cult of personality plays a part in it, too. Tesla makes cool, futuristic cars and has a rabid user base (and even a rabid fan base of people who can’t afford to be users) but even still I don’t think the valuation would be anywhere near where it is today without all of the Musk super fans & Musk initially fanning the flames with his war against short-sellers.

Yes. Weird effects in the stock market just reflect consumer interest in the stock market. If you think Michael Jordan is cool, you express that by buying his shoes. If you think Elon Musk is cool, you express that by buying his stock. But that's not a comment on the value of the stock. It's branding.

Re: Hertz, the original meme stock, is turning out to be worthless

#65
post #2

I think TSLA and AMD were the original meme stocks.

The South Sea Company was the original meme stock.

That's kind of misrepresenting what the South Sea Bubble was, with meme stocks the public are at least in on the joke, the South Sea Bubble was a private conspiracy/social phenomenon of a different fashion.

Re: Hertz, the original meme stock, is turning out to be worthless

#66

I want us to get back to reality and fundamentals. These days it feels like the entire fabric of society is falling apart.

"In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine." https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/831517-in-the-short-run-the...

But... “the markets will remain irrational longer than you will remain solvent”

Re: Hertz, the original meme stock, is turning out to be worthless

#67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s all gambling. People need to stop expecting to strike it rich and just build wealth incrementally. Central banks have made that hard to do though with historically low interest rates and rising risks of inflation.

Sounds like advice for a previous generation. Then, it contradicts itself by say why it won't work (correctly). Maybe its time to rethink those half-century-old memes like 'build wealth incrementally'.

“This time it’s different”

Nothing has changed except central bank policy encouraging rampant speculation. The bull market won’t last forever and every generation thinks the fundamentals don’t matter anymore, until suddenly they do. To be fair it is extremely hard to build wealth incrementally these days because of central bank policy, but it’s way better than yoloing life savings.

Re: Hertz, the original meme stock, is turning out to be worthless

#68
post #18
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Those at least had a growth story. HRTZ and GME are pure plays on the other hand.

Where did you get this about GME? It literally skyrocketed once Chewy team started to take over and transform company.

OK, what does that even mean?

They are a physical store that sells physical games.

Physical stores are in dire straits.

Some new game consoles don’t even use physical games, namely the base PlayStation and Xbox.

What do you even transform into? A dedicated amiibo shop? The future is pretty obviously download-only for games.

Re: Hertz, the original meme stock, is turning out to be worthless

#69
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Like most stocks BTC's value depends on the buyers hope of a rise of the value. Buy low and sell high. For the original function of stocks, support a company and get a share of the profit, you are right about BTC.

That’s not really an accurate comparison. Stocks are ownership in a company, which is still subject to all of the realities of operating a company. We can’t simply continue trading Hertz stock as a speculative gamble when the company goes under. Yes, cycles of hype and supply and demand do distort stock prices, but it’s still a capital allocation market. GameStop can choose to sell shares into the hot market, much as…

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Re: Hertz, the original meme stock, is turning out to be worthless

#70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That seems like a bit of a simplistic view spurred on by people who don’t know what Chapter 11 is. It’s not “we don’t have any more money” or “we aren’t making any money”, it’s “we need a little court-mandated breathing room (from our creditors) to change x, y, and z, and then we’ll be ok”.

"and then we'll be ok" More like: "and then we'll pay back as much as we can to our creditors, and then if there's still money left at the end we might be ok"

Well, in this case perhaps. The shareholders may be screwed, but at least it gives them (Hertz as well as shareholders) a fighting chance, rather than just saying “yep, we had a good run” and washing their hands of everything.
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