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Launch HN: Alinea (YC W21) – Invest in stocks you believe in

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Re: Launch HN: Alinea (YC W21) – Invest in stocks you believe in

#52
Alinea is also a three-Michelin star restaurant in Chicago. I don't think names need to be 100% unique, but in the case of targeting wealthy investors - I'd assume they're one of the most likely groups of people to already think of "Alinea" as a restaurant. Plus, Alinea is involved heavily involved in tech via Tock.

Re: Launch HN: Alinea (YC W21) – Invest in stocks you believe in

#53
post #11

Would you give more details on how you guys evaluate companies' environmental impact ?

Spot on! I'm looking forward for the day money/value will based on not only on what you provide/create but also on how much that impacts all the connected things to make that happen.

Controversial opinion on here but these are already directly related.

ESG investing is investing. There is no difference. ISS reports or whatever ESG ranking de jure actually hinders that process because it tries to quantify and simplify something that is inherently complex (and btw, ISS do this with their other products, their proxy service exists because ETFs don't want to actually do hard work and think about how they should vote their shares...it is anti-capitalism, rewarding sloth). It is like China's "social score" system...it is identical.

I worked in this area, I met many fund managers (and worked in equity research myself). When people talk about fund managers not doing ESG work, that is because some fund managers just don't bother doing any research at all. ESG was a critical component of investing before the term ESG existed, it isn't possible to value a company without considering the value that company generates for customers, workers, suppliers, the communities in which they operate.

Also, one of the key points on this actual subject is that impact is ambigious. There are competing notions of impact and good. The number of companies that openly embrace criminality is, thankfully, quite small. In every other case, you have a company that is providing a service, someone else pays for it and you have to make a judgement, there is no magic formula...often, these conclusions are counter-intuitive. As an example, bookies...gambling is awful, you hear lots of poor people do it and waste money...where I am, we have public health, and the only people funding gambling addiction are bookies. In countries where gambling is illegal, there is no funding, and the addiction isn't recognised or treated. Sometimes you have a gambling govt monopoly, like HK, which drives people into illegal forms of gambling. So it is unclear that impact is negative (the issue is that gambling addiction actually exists, and ppl will gamble whether it is illegal or not) without actually doing research, beyond a simple: gambling = work of Satan (btw, this applies generally...the growth in ESG investing is correlated to a growth in moral Puritanism).

Honestly, it is a little unfortunate that people have gone so deep into ETFs and ESG ETFs...active funds do this work, they won't necessarily align with your own system of ethics but it is a totally and complete fiction that investors do not consider impact beyond profits, and that some ESG/quant approach is the solution. I have never come across a manager who doesn't consider impact when doing research. And any quant approach I have seen is totally and completely deficient (there is no incentive to do the work properly) if you actually care about values.

Re: Launch HN: Alinea (YC W21) – Invest in stocks you believe in

#54

I think the premise of it is awesome, but it can only be wrong. I'd like some data that proves that the retail investors of your platform end up beating S&P for a start. Companies themselves struggle to even understand their own balance sheet. There are plenty of services which offer aggregated data about balance sheets with typical market formulas. Basically there's a huge industry of sell side analysts that often c…

all true, but does it even matter anymore? Tesla has a P/E of over 1,000, for example.

increasingly people invest based on the story and the ebb and flow of social media. does the balance sheet play into this? it doesn't appear so...

Re: Launch HN: Alinea (YC W21) – Invest in stocks you believe in

#55
I think the coming of companies like this signals the end of the bull market, the bubble is close to bursting. Every milkman is trying to get rich on the stock market. It was like this in 99. It was like this in 08. And before the german mark fell.

"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared … demoralization … crept over the common people … from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich … Almost any kind of business could make money … The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection … Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany’s wealth, became one of its largest activities … Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market."

Dying of Money: Lessons of the Great German and American Inflations

Re: Launch HN: Alinea (YC W21) – Invest in stocks you believe in

#56

I assume you are leaning heavily on some kind of natural language processing to automatically extract this information from SEC filings and earnings reports. That's a great idea. I just hope that you're being very very careful about the generalizability of your models & their performance over time. Obviously 99% of the work in buidling such a system is just getting access to all the data and setting up the ETL pipeli…

Currently, we are seeing that retail investors aren't doing any research at all, especially young people are relying on social media and memes to make investment choices which can be dangerous. EBITDA is important and it's a hard concept to understand for those who aren't familiar with finance - that's why we offer digestible insights to make it accessible. Analyst reports are very long to sift through and most peopl…

Is it possible you're training your users to become even more susceptible to other investment scams?

At the end of the day, the fact is that securities analysis and investing savvy is a sophisticated skill requiring many years of study before any kind of +ev outcome can be expected.

In a way, this is one of the biggest reasons I think the move from private pensions to 401ks and the like has been a gigantic disaster.

I mean, I remember working at Google and a dozen or so of us on my team would go through some fairly deep analyses and discussions regarding 401k allocations, mega-backdoor contributions, tax implications of same, HSAs, HD healthcare plans, etc.

My brother's a carpenter. My dad works in a factory.

They are both forced to make these same decisions, except with basically zero background whatsoever in any kind of financial education. They don't know the very basics about the fees their funds are taking, they aren't too interested in figuring the exact tax-efficient pathway to retirement.

And why the hell should they be?

Forcing commoners into market participation was a mistake.

Your app is well-intentioned. Seems pretty great, to be quite honest.

But you're training your users to become used to coyote-behaviour (that is, Hey Investing Can Be Quite Simple!), whereas we should train all regular existing "market-participants": Anybody who wants to get you to invest directly in markets, whether it's your RRSP organizer, your 401k, whatever, they in general are not operating with your best interests in mind.

401ks and the like were a huge boon to wallstreet and huge hit on the working class. WallStreet basically forced every Tom, Dick, and Harry into their arena. Guess who's gonna win?

Re: Launch HN: Alinea (YC W21) – Invest in stocks you believe in

#57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hi -- I'm the co-owner of Alinea... the restaurant and group. While they are in different industries, I owned a derivatives trading group for years, run a tech startup (Tock), and am getting a bunch of emails from folks thinking I started this or am affiliated in some way. So... while I dislike conflict, I really don't like be associated with something I have no control over. There will be an incoming email shortly.

Very interesting background, what made you move from finance to restaurants to tech?

Nick wrote an epic piece about what motivated his company to create what eventually became Tock:

https://web.archive.org/web/20190407042116/https://www.aline...

(good to see you here, Nick. big fan!)

Re: Launch HN: Alinea (YC W21) – Invest in stocks you believe in

#58

I think the premise of it is awesome, but it can only be wrong. I'd like some data that proves that the retail investors of your platform end up beating S&P for a start. Companies themselves struggle to even understand their own balance sheet. There are plenty of services which offer aggregated data about balance sheets with typical market formulas. Basically there's a huge industry of sell side analysts that often c…

I am not quite clear on what your question is. We simplify hard to find research into bite-sized formats so people don't have to sift through 100 page SEC filings and complex earnings reports. Currently, there's no way of having this information be readily accessible, especially for young people.

I like the idea of making this stuff easier to digest, but I'm curious in what way are SEC filings and earning reports less accessible for young people vs old people?

Re: Launch HN: Alinea (YC W21) – Invest in stocks you believe in

#59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am not quite clear on what your question is. We simplify hard to find research into bite-sized formats so people don't have to sift through 100 page SEC filings and complex earnings reports. Currently, there's no way of having this information be readily accessible, especially for young people.

I love it, don't listen to this person. You guys are exactly what I need. Keep it up please.

I believe they should listen to this person, not because he's right nor wrong, but because he's made valid arguments about Alinea's value proposition.

Entrepreneurs should always be open to criticism, distil it and take what they consider useful, even if it doesn't come in a constructive form.

Re: Launch HN: Alinea (YC W21) – Invest in stocks you believe in

#60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hi -- I'm the co-owner of Alinea... the restaurant and group. While they are in different industries, I owned a derivatives trading group for years, run a tech startup (Tock), and am getting a bunch of emails from folks thinking I started this or am affiliated in some way. So... while I dislike conflict, I really don't like be associated with something I have no control over. There will be an incoming email shortly.

Very interesting background, what made you move from finance to restaurants to tech?

Great interview with Nick about this and other topics:

https://www.joincolossus.com/episodes/20135760/kokonas-know-...

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