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There’s no such thing as “a startup within a big company”

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Re: There’s no such thing as “a startup within a big company”

#261

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The stock market is zero sum as well... When one person wins, another loses. Are people buying Google, Facebook and Amazon stock suckers as well?

Stocks have dividends. The value of a stock is the present value of all future dividends. Otherwise you're hoping to find a greater fool.

More and more companies are moving away from dividends to buy backs so for many stocks you have to sell to realize profits.

Re: There’s no such thing as “a startup within a big company”

#262
post #77

When I was at PowerBI in Microsoft, all the execs hailed it as Startup within Microsoft. Come work here instead of Uber. I worked like a dog, sometimes till 2am in morning. My manager would routinely ask us to come on weekends. I was naive, I thought we are growing customer base, this is what a startup looks like. The ultimate realization was in a startup you have equity, a decent amount in a good startup. At Microso…

Off topic, but were you involved in PowerQuery/PowerPivot as well? I have moved away from Excel, but was one of the first users of PQ/PP, it was a great step forward and my understanding is PowerBI was an extension of that. Congrats because everybody I know loves PowerBI! Well done, even if the rewards may not have been commiserate.

Was involved in early PowerQuery while it was still part of Excel. PowerBI was fun to work on. I got to learn angular (the good and bad parts).

Re: There’s no such thing as “a startup within a big company”

#263

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The stock market is zero sum as well... When one person wins, another loses. Are people buying Google, Facebook and Amazon stock suckers as well?

The stock market is certainly not zero sum. Bitcoin provides very little value outside speculation, not zero, but very little. That is the difference.

Crypto provides global access to a decentralized, permissionless, censorship resistant financial system. Bitcoin provides a savings vehicle that has a completely predictable and transparent supply. That's very valuable.

Re: There’s no such thing as “a startup within a big company”

#264
post #77

When I was at PowerBI in Microsoft, all the execs hailed it as Startup within Microsoft. Come work here instead of Uber. I worked like a dog, sometimes till 2am in morning. My manager would routinely ask us to come on weekends. I was naive, I thought we are growing customer base, this is what a startup looks like. The ultimate realization was in a startup you have equity, a decent amount in a good startup. At Microso…

I worked as a contractor for a sort of startup inside a big company, so the pay was good and immediate.

The problem is when we got successful everyone tried to pin us down with the existing bureaucracy, and everything that made us great was a reason we should be stopped. Autoimmune response.

Re: There’s no such thing as “a startup within a big company”

#265
post #91

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Equity is what builds wealth. In exceptional circumstances, yes. In most circumstances equity in a startup ends up being worthless, even in the event of exit. Starting your own startup, or joining a startup as a very early employee can make you rich; anything else and you might as well be buying lottery tickets. That's not to denigrate startups in any way . Working in a startup is amazing. It's just not how you get r…

Even when they’re not worthless, most startup options end up being worth less than the salary that one could’ve gotten at a non-startup. Last time I looked into it, and it was a while ago, the median startup option package was exercised for a profit of $30k, not nothing but far less than what one could’ve gotten at a large company like ... Microsoft. Arguably the existence of several different types of stock options…

If you include wear and tear in that calculation, then it’s definitely true. A couple years of austerity and socking a bigger salary into investments is less stressful and a surer bet, even if it pays off less some of the time.

Re: There’s no such thing as “a startup within a big company”

#266
post #77

When I was at PowerBI in Microsoft, all the execs hailed it as Startup within Microsoft. Come work here instead of Uber. I worked like a dog, sometimes till 2am in morning. My manager would routinely ask us to come on weekends. I was naive, I thought we are growing customer base, this is what a startup looks like. The ultimate realization was in a startup you have equity, a decent amount in a good startup. At Microso…

>The ultimate realization was in a startup you have equity, a decent amount in a good startup. At Microsoft it was a base salary and set amount of stock. I joined a startup in 1999. There were 3 founders and I was employee #2 after that. I received a ton of options (this was before RSUs became popular). We had a great product and a great team, but 18 months later ran out of money and unfortunately it was right after…

I don't know if it's that black and white. The risk calculus changes based on stage of the startup for example. Joining doordash pre IPO is still more risky than google, but I there's some reasonable confidence it'll be of some value soon.

Re: There’s no such thing as “a startup within a big company”

#267
post #77

When I was at PowerBI in Microsoft, all the execs hailed it as Startup within Microsoft. Come work here instead of Uber. I worked like a dog, sometimes till 2am in morning. My manager would routinely ask us to come on weekends. I was naive, I thought we are growing customer base, this is what a startup looks like. The ultimate realization was in a startup you have equity, a decent amount in a good startup. At Microso…

PowerBI is pretty cool though, so thanks for that

Re: There’s no such thing as “a startup within a big company”

#268
It can be it just entirely depends.

Some people here arguing about equity - that's fine - but some people actually like to work on new stuff as well.

Stuck doing integration in 25 year old windows code? Now you can go to XBox and work on totally new and different stuff? Might be fun.

The key is I think expectations.

Re: There’s no such thing as “a startup within a big company”

#269

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The stock market is certainly not zero sum. Bitcoin provides very little value outside speculation, not zero, but very little. That is the difference.

Crypto provides global access to a decentralized, permissionless, censorship resistant financial system. Bitcoin provides a savings vehicle that has a completely predictable and transparent supply. That's very valuable.

Why do you care so much about predictable supply if the price is anything but predictable? How is such high volatility commodity a good storage of value? It might be a good speculation vehicle, but people looking to store value typically look for something more stable.

It remains to be seen how resistant Bitcoin is if powerful governments really decide to take it down.

Bitcoin and Blockchain is an interesting project but 1 BTC > 50k USD... Yeah, sure...

Re: There’s no such thing as “a startup within a big company”

#270
post #195
post #164

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The thing most people forget about options & RSU is that one is taking away a big chunk of the TC and delay it to a future year. Even when you hate your job, you will be hesitant to leave the company because of FOMO and sunk cost fallacy That said, anecdotally, every one of my close circle of friends made decent amount money from equity (one of the many companies they worked at did very well) - far higher than the 10…

Let's be careful here and not conflate options and RSUs, especially comparing between startups and public companies. Options in a startup are extremely likely to be worth nothing, ever. Not only does the company need some sort of liquidity or exit event, but the valuation then also has to be higher than the strike price on your options. And options usually have punishing exercise-or-lose-them requirements if you leav…

It’s still possible to lose money on rsus if the company value plummets bc they are taxed on liquidity event (assuming double trigger vest)
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