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Electricity over $900/MWh in most of Western US now

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Re: Electricity over $900/MWh in most of Western US now

#331
post #79
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not directly. In Texas and other deregulated markets, you can be on either a fixed rate for n months or on a variable rate. If you're on a variable rate, the rate will be much higher than normal for the next few months. If you're on a fixed rate you're fine for now, but keep an eye on when your fixed rate expires. This assumes that your supplier is still in business after the next few months (many suppliers will go b…

> If you are in a regulated market or are using the regulated utilities like ConEd in NYC, you'll see limited rate increases to deal with the increased cost to supply. These rate increases need to be approved by the state's Public Utility Commission. If deregulated suppliers are having to raise prices to cover costs, wouldn't that apply to regulated suppliers as well? Unless they have enough cash on hand to ride it o…

Regulated suppliers operate somewhat differently than deregulated suppliers. 1. Regulated suppliers have rules around how much a rate can change, and those rate changes have to be approved by their respective PUC. This limits the sticker shock. 2. Regulated suppliers do this in exchange for a guaranteed profit for their distribution side (they have a government approved local monopoly). They also tend to be the biggest supplier since they are usually the default supplier. Because of this, these companies have both more cash on hand and more ability to borrow in case of a cash crunch caused by issues like this. They also have a tendency to be better about hedging for circumstances like this.

Basically the regulated suppliers will probably see some rate increases but they will be more gradual and certainly won't be as wild as rate increases by deregulated suppliers.

PS deregulated supplier is a bit of a misnomer. They are still regulated by the state Public Utility Commission, but they are less regulated than the utilities that also do distribution.

Re: Electricity over $900/MWh in most of Western US now

#332
post #79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If you are in a regulated market or are using the regulated utilities like ConEd in NYC, you'll see limited rate increases to deal with the increased cost to supply. These rate increases need to be approved by the state's Public Utility Commission. If deregulated suppliers are having to raise prices to cover costs, wouldn't that apply to regulated suppliers as well? Unless they have enough cash on hand to ride it o…

For the most part, regulated utilities factor in cost spikes into their rates, so they’ll have some reserve built in to cover. They may not make as much profit this quarter, but they won’t go bankrupt. Additionally, keep in mind that a lot of regulated utility companies own their own generating plants. In that case, the cost of power on the open market is basically irrelevant. Heck, they may even be SELLING power int…

Small quibble here. I'm pretty sure that most regulated companies do NOT own their own generating plants, since for a long time they were legally not allowed to be in both the distribution business and the generator business. I _think_ this was from the Public Utility Holding Company Act (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_Utility_Holding_Company...) but it was ~ 15 years ago when I toured an Entergy power plant and heard the explanation so I may be wrong. I suspect that this still holds true for regulated utilities since the conflict of interest is pretty high.

What has been a recent trend is generator companies purchasing supplier companies (for example Calpine purchased Champion Energy and Noble Solutions)

Re: Electricity over $900/MWh in most of Western US now

#333

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Most existing buildings can be retrofitted: https://www.rockefellerfoundation.org/report/united-states-b...

At eye-watering expense and with long lead times. Both of those are largely self-inflicted wounds. As with everything, if it were cheaper and faster to do, we'd probably be doing more of it. We'd do well to shorten timelines and costs by removing permitting requirements for most types of work and loosening control over building. We also need to reduce costs of living so a broader occupational dynamic range of people…

It’s expensive up front, but it should pay for itself if done right. This is not a trivial finance problem, though. It’s very challenging fund projects with decades-long payoffs.

Re: Electricity over $900/MWh in most of Western US now

#334
post #313

Earlier quoted context omitted.

90c per kwh in crunch time is still comparably cheap in comparison with much of the world. I've been in countries where cooking 1 dish on electric oven will cost you $1. Much of Europe has price hovering in between 30c to 50c during day hours normal usage, and easily more than double of that during extreme peaks like ones you have in Texas now.

Having lived in UK, France and Spain, I know that there aren't daily variations in consumer electricity prices, as there are in places like California. I don't have data if offices are priced differently. Which countries in Europe charge their electricity to consumers based on 'extreme peaks' at between 60 to 100 cents? https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php...

[deleted]

Re: Electricity over $900/MWh in most of Western US now

#335

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At eye-watering expense and with long lead times. Both of those are largely self-inflicted wounds. As with everything, if it were cheaper and faster to do, we'd probably be doing more of it. We'd do well to shorten timelines and costs by removing permitting requirements for most types of work and loosening control over building. We also need to reduce costs of living so a broader occupational dynamic range of people…

It’s expensive up front, but it should pay for itself if done right. This is not a trivial finance problem, though. It’s very challenging fund projects with decades-long payoffs.

That's probably true in places with sensible construction costs and timelines. But around here it's going to cost me $250k to fix the envelope of my house. If it reduced my energy usage to zero it would take only 70 years to pay for itself. But it won't do that and I won't live that long, so...

Re: Electricity over $900/MWh in most of Western US now

#336
post #330
post #267

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Much higher than that in higher cost states. My PG&E bill for last summer (summer pricing is higher) shows 62.4c per kWh afternoons & evening to midnight.

You would have to be on one of the EV/battery storage plans for prices that high - which have off peak prices of 15-17c.

EV rate, yes. Off peak price is 22.2c/kWh in the winter (cheaper), it's higher in the summer.

Re: Electricity over $900/MWh in most of Western US now

#337

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Only if they aren't making progress towards the goals, but they do seem to be making progress.

The progress could be just from the world changing around them (cost competitive renewables). Doing something would mean putting some skin in the climate change fight.

How would that differ from simply gradually shifting to renewables?

Re: Electricity over $900/MWh in most of Western US now

#338

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s expensive up front, but it should pay for itself if done right. This is not a trivial finance problem, though. It’s very challenging fund projects with decades-long payoffs.

That's probably true in places with sensible construction costs and timelines. But around here it's going to cost me $250k to fix the envelope of my house. If it reduced my energy usage to zero it would take only 70 years to pay for itself. But it won't do that and I won't live that long, so...

Yep, you nailed the biggest problem. No single person can individually make decisions on those time scales. Future energy costs, interest rates, climate trends, technological changes, and urban planning all need to be factored in.

There needs to be a financing system that packages all this together and offers homeowners a simple low-interest construction loan that is cheaper than their energy bills.

Re: Electricity over $900/MWh in most of Western US now

#339

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Solar photovoltaic and wind are much older technologies than nuclear, to be fair on the "modern" quip. To be completely fair, the development of nuclear power took governments and would have been impossible otherwise. Solar and wind, not so much. The problem with nuclear is only cost, not NIMBY and before it is said so, it certainly is not the regulations jacking the cost of nuclear so high. If nuclear power was ec…

The German government spent like $500B buying expensive solar PV which was instrumental in allowing the manufacturing efficiencies to reduce prices to what we see today in solar. Similarly, we know that serial construction of standard nuclear is cost effective from the examples cited.

Germany spent closer to $26B on Solar since 2016. Meanwhile, the US alone expects to spend $36B on storing nuclear waste. Half of the first generation of nuclear power plants being constructed were abandoned because of insurmountable costs.

If nuclear power was economically viable, no one could stop it. But investors do not want to pay for plant construction without massive subsidies that are now absent, nor for the decommissioning, nor for the storage of spent fuel; they just want to sell electricity and keep the money without any overhead. Where are the private investors! Bring them on and get it done! They're simply not interested. "Electricity too cheap to meter" never materialized. Renewable energy is a far better return, and today, nuclear power can not compete against renewables. Consider that if a tiny portion of the investment in R&D for nuclear energy had instead been invested in renewables, nuclear energy would have died in the 1960's.

Re: Electricity over $900/MWh in most of Western US now

#340
post #336
post #330

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You would have to be on one of the EV/battery storage plans for prices that high - which have off peak prices of 15-17c.

EV rate, yes. Off peak price is 22.2c/kWh in the winter (cheaper), it's higher in the summer.

Are you doing some sort of clean power thing?

https://www.pge.com/tariffs/assets/pdf/tariffbook/ELEC_SCHED...

https://www.pge.com/tariffs/assets/pdf/tariffbook/ELEC_SCHED...

I see 17 and 15c off peak. Part peak is 23 for EV-B.

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