Earlier quoted context omitted.
No, it's a place that's energy demands are lower, are growing at a lower rate, while offering a comparable standard of living. Why do you keep trying to make a false dichotomy? It's not a binary choice that has to be made.
Yes, the US system seems to have bad incentives and waste energy. At least, compared to Europe. >>Why do you keep trying to make a false dichotomy? I am not, you didn't read read what I argue against. :-) I started by answering a comment by "Andi" above. He/She argued against growth and technical development. Which is just stupid, since pollution and energy use gets less with better economy/technology. (E.g., not so…
Germany to be nuclear-free by 2022
191–200 of 210 posts
Re: Germany to be nuclear-free by 2022
#192Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yes, the US system seems to have bad incentives and waste energy. At least, compared to Europe. >>Why do you keep trying to make a false dichotomy? I am not, you didn't read read what I argue against. :-) I started by answering a comment by "Andi" above. He/She argued against growth and technical development. Which is just stupid, since pollution and energy use gets less with better economy/technology. (E.g., not so…
I read it a few times before I replied. Andi was making a comment about the costs of energy for us and for future generations. Andi was saying that ignoring the cost for future generations is typical behaviour of people "who see technical progress as a kind of god given fact or as the natural direction humanity must take." You are mistaking that as an argument against all future technical development. It's easy to se…
A few hundred years ago, they realised they would soon get low on trees suitable for critical parts of war ships. So they planted a lot of them. An early triumph of ecological resource awareness.
Those trees are ready about now, but won't be used for their original intent... :-)
Re nuclear waste -- it can always be made into a slurry pumped down into old oil wells. There is absolutely no connection to ground water, so it won't come back. (It is probably a bad idea, since there might be uses for it in a few decades.)
Quote I argue against: "who see technical progress as a kind of god given fact or as the natural direction humanity must take."
>>You are mistaking that as an argument against all future technical development.
It is really hard to read any other way than as a Luddite. In addition, I note that you made a claim -- but didn't present any other way of reading that sentence...
>>I disagree that pollution and energy use gets less with better economies and technology as a rule, even if there has been some progress as you mention
Go check some statistics for pollution for e.g. Northern Europe over the last 50-60 years. (Much less Mercury contaminants, waste water treatment, no low Ph rain, etc, etc.)
Less energy is used to create new units of GNP increase. Energy is used better. Some of that GNP is used to find alternative energy implementations.
Re: Germany to be nuclear-free by 2022
#193Earlier quoted context omitted.
I read it a few times before I replied. Andi was making a comment about the costs of energy for us and for future generations. Andi was saying that ignoring the cost for future generations is typical behaviour of people "who see technical progress as a kind of god given fact or as the natural direction humanity must take." You are mistaking that as an argument against all future technical development. It's easy to se…
Let me tell you a story about Sweden. A few hundred years ago, they realised they would soon get low on trees suitable for critical parts of war ships. So they planted a lot of them. An early triumph of ecological resource awareness. Those trees are ready about now, but won't be used for their original intent... :-) Re nuclear waste -- it can always be made into a slurry pumped down into old oil wells. There is absol…
Andi said that ignoring the cost for future generations was the issue. He wasn't arguing against all technical progress. It's not just that one sentence I referred to, it's his entire comment. Perhaps the quotes confused you, they were there to give context.
Pumping nuclear waste down old oil wells is not enough, what if someone nasty decides to make plutonium? Storage will need to be guarded, keeping a list of what has been stored provides an incentive for terrorists but offers the possibility of future reuse.
Noted, go check some statistics for pollution during China's booming economy over the last twenty years, much worse in many regards. I refer you back to pdf I already linked for energy consumption.
There is no rule that states pollution and energy usage reduce with better economies and technology.
Re: Germany to be nuclear-free by 2022
#194Earlier quoted context omitted.
Let me tell you a story about Sweden. A few hundred years ago, they realised they would soon get low on trees suitable for critical parts of war ships. So they planted a lot of them. An early triumph of ecological resource awareness. Those trees are ready about now, but won't be used for their original intent... :-) Re nuclear waste -- it can always be made into a slurry pumped down into old oil wells. There is absol…
I appreciate the story about Sweden. Andi said that ignoring the cost for future generations was the issue. He wasn't arguing against all technical progress. It's not just that one sentence I referred to, it's his entire comment. Perhaps the quotes confused you, they were there to give context. Pumping nuclear waste down old oil wells is not enough, what if someone nasty decides to make plutonium? Storage will need t…
AGAIN, "In addition, I note that you made a claim -- but didn't present any other way of reading that sentence".
You just made another claim. If you want to show a thesis, then quote the relevant part and show it. Here is what he wrote:
>>You are stuck in a view that energy needs to be cheap and that energy must be available despite the costs of nuclear reactors for nature and future generations. This is the classical view of people who see technical progress as a kind of god given fact or as the natural direction humanity must take.
From the rest of his comments, where he seems to think that natural resources will disappear if they are used, he has no clue about anything. (Hint: People are mining scrap heaps, etc.) He was against cities -- where each individual use less land and resources than people living in the countryside (or maybe he just want to kill everyone in cities -- where are they going to go, otherwise?)
>>Pumping nuclear waste down old oil wells is not enough, what if someone nasty decides to make plutonium?
First, you changed the subject. I assume you yield on Andi's "point" about cost to future generations.
Second, nothing are going to stop e.g. Iran, Pakistan and North Korea from building nuclear power plants and getting bombs. That cat is out of the bag. So that is irrelevant.
>>There is no rule that states pollution and energy usage reduce with better economies
Afaik, western societies pollute less and less over the last 50-60 years. I gave examples. (The energy use is increasing, but less and less for each additional unit of GNP.)
>>go check some statistics for pollution during China's booming economy over the last twenty years
When the economy reaches a certain level, countries start to invest in clean technology, etc. China has already started. The dirtiest phase is industrialisation -- it is still better than what was before.
Re: Germany to be nuclear-free by 2022
#195Earlier quoted context omitted.
I appreciate the story about Sweden. Andi said that ignoring the cost for future generations was the issue. He wasn't arguing against all technical progress. It's not just that one sentence I referred to, it's his entire comment. Perhaps the quotes confused you, they were there to give context. Pumping nuclear waste down old oil wells is not enough, what if someone nasty decides to make plutonium? Storage will need t…
>>Andi said that ignoring the cost for future generations was the issue. He wasn't arguing against all technical progress. It's not just that one sentence I referred to, it's his entire comment AGAIN, " In addition, I note that you made a claim -- but didn't present any other way of reading that sentence ". You just made another claim. If you want to show a thesis, then quote the relevant part and show it. Here is wh…
To bring some focus to this discussion: you have said that I have made two separate claims. I made one single claim. The claim I continue to make is that: Andi said that ignoring the cost for future generations was the issue. He wasn't arguing against all technical progress. The second time I mentioned this, was as clarification to the claim.
Here is what he wrote:
>>You are stuck in a view that energy needs to be cheap and that energy must be available despite the costs of nuclear reactors for nature and future generations. This is the classical view of people who see technical progress as a kind of god given fact or as the natural direction humanity must take.
This does not argue against all technical progress, it argues against ignoring the cost to future generations. As I see it, that is the claim I am making, and that quote is the evidence to back up my claim. This is not a second or third claim, this is the claim I have been making all along.
If you could please, tell me what separate claims you think I am making.
I don't think you can make a rule out of the claim that western societies' pollution has decreased over the last 50-60 years. You've given an example, I've given counter examples, i.e. it is not a rule. We can get into an example war, where I can give more and more examples of pollution increase, and you can give more and more examples of pollution decrease, and there's no point in it. There is no rule that states pollution and energy usage reduce with better economies and technology.
Just because China has started to invest in clean technology (clean in some circumstances means nuclear, I assume you don't mean that), doesn't mean it's going to use it, and it doesn't mean it's pollution and energy usage will reduce. I've invested in pink socks, am I going to wear them?
I will read Andi's other comments now for better or worse. To reiterate: there is no forced binary choice to be made between living as luddites, and ignoring the cost of nuclear reactors for nature and future generations. Is that clear?
Re: Germany to be nuclear-free by 2022
#196Earlier quoted context omitted.
>>Andi said that ignoring the cost for future generations was the issue. He wasn't arguing against all technical progress. It's not just that one sentence I referred to, it's his entire comment AGAIN, " In addition, I note that you made a claim -- but didn't present any other way of reading that sentence ". You just made another claim. If you want to show a thesis, then quote the relevant part and show it. Here is wh…
Thank you for your reply. I think we need to cut down on what we are talking about here because the focus is being lost. First and foremost I will not yield on Andi's "point" about cost to future generations. Second, you brought up nuclear waste disposal in oil wells as a hand waving suggestion. I had no intention of changing the subject. I should not have responded to this disposal comment. There is quite a concerte…
(I know what Andi wrote, I quoted it in the comment above...)
He talks about future generations -- and against technological progress being important; he is arguing against cities and some back-to-nature garbage. A confused Luddite.
He is of course welcome to go back to being too poor for education and having 30% child mortality. But he'll have to kill off most of the population that can't survive in his world, Khmer style.
Which was what I rested my case on before. You could have asked for links to his comments, instead of ignoring them in your answer.
(I meant that you repeated your claim again, without any support. Like here. Not made a new one. Sorry for any confusion.)
>>It should not be made easier for people to develop nuclear weapons grade plutonium.
So the West should close down a large part of the energy production -- because radioactive materials might, in ten years time, end up with dictators. The really unpleasant dictators already have nuclear reactors (and bombs, in at least two of the three cases mentioned). (I know that Pakistan isn't formally a dictatorship right now.)
That is just not coherent.
(The point about oil wells was more of a proof of principle which I've seen geologists argue -- it is not popular locally, because political parties has married another solution. We can get rid of radioactive materials, if we absolutely have to. It is not a good idea, yet.)
>>Just because China has started to invest in clean technology ... doesn't mean it's going to use it
Sigh... And China might also stop growing food?
China has to implement clean tech -- since the economy will grow multiple times the coming decades and there are already bad environmental problems.
It is just too expensive not to do it. (Popular unrest, public health and destruction of farming land.)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12595872
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_water_crisis
And why isn't nuclear clean? Check how many people coal kills in China/year...
And so on, I'll probably not check if this is answered.
Re: Germany to be nuclear-free by 2022
#197Earlier quoted context omitted.
Thank you for your reply. I think we need to cut down on what we are talking about here because the focus is being lost. First and foremost I will not yield on Andi's "point" about cost to future generations. Second, you brought up nuclear waste disposal in oil wells as a hand waving suggestion. I had no intention of changing the subject. I should not have responded to this disposal comment. There is quite a concerte…
>>This does not argue against all technical progress, it argues against ignoring the cost to future generations. (I know what Andi wrote, I quoted it in the comment above...) He talks about future generations -- and against technological progress being important; he is arguing against cities and some back-to-nature garbage. A confused Luddite. He is of course welcome to go back to being too poor for education and hav…
You seem to have some narrative built up of how the world will progress. e.g. pollution and energy use, what China is going to do, what would happen if they don't, what happens if nuclear power is abandoned, how China's economy will develop over the next few decades. And if you don't mind me saying so, you cannot see into the future, you are far too sure of yourself. Coal can be a lot cleaner than it is in China. However that country's disregard for its miners and workers, betrays a certain level of contempt for human life. Do you think that China will operate nuclear reactors as clean and as well as the rest of the world? Nuclear is not clean, clean is a classical propaganda term for nuclear, like pro choice and pro life camps in an American abortion debate. There is no rule that states pollution and energy usage reduce with better economies and technology, not for China, any of the countries you mentioned, not for anywhere.
I will de-construct Andi's comment that is so contentious for you: Here is what he wrote:
>>You are stuck in a view that energy needs to be cheap and that energy must be available despite the costs of nuclear reactors for nature and future generations.
The crucial words here are 'stuck in a view' and 'despite the costs of nuclear reactors for nature and future generations.' It the phrase 'stuck in a view' links this sentence to the following one:
>>This is the classical view of people who see technical progress as a kind of god given fact or as the natural direction humanity must take.
Here he states that people 'stuck in this view' this 'classical view' see 'technical progress as a kind of god given fact or as the natural direction humanity must take' and this is the crucial link back to the first sentence, because people are stuck in this view 'despite the costs of nuclear reactors for nature and future generations.' 'technical progress' here is dependent on the nuclear reactors of the first sentence.
This does not argue against all technical progress, it argues against ignoring the cost to future generations.
to be more specific: This does not argue against all technical progress, it argues against ignoring the cost of nuclear reactors for future generations.
It's really telling that you berate me for ignoring Andi's comments while I go to look at them, when at the same time saying my claims have no support(in what way - you never said what part is unsupported?) and then informing me that you are probably going to leave the conversation altogether, and ignore my reply to you completely.
To reiterate: there is no forced binary choice to be made between living as luddites, and ignoring the cost of nuclear reactors for nature and future generations. Do you disagree with this statement?
Re: Germany to be nuclear-free by 2022
#198Earlier quoted context omitted.
>>This does not argue against all technical progress, it argues against ignoring the cost to future generations. (I know what Andi wrote, I quoted it in the comment above...) He talks about future generations -- and against technological progress being important; he is arguing against cities and some back-to-nature garbage. A confused Luddite. He is of course welcome to go back to being too poor for education and hav…
I read his comments, you should go and visit some truly bad cities to appreciate why someone might argue against them. His other comments are not relevant to the claim I am making, now that I've read them. On weapons grade plutonium, you are trying to put words into my mouth - I can make my own points thank you. You seem to have some narrative built up of how the world will progress. e.g. pollution and energy use, wh…
Creative way of reading Andi's comment. Congratulations. I can see how someone could formulate a position like that, given that he/she is used to argue with people with certain opinions.
The problem, as I noted twice above, is that the other comments shows that Andi is a crazy Luddite which argues against cities. No facts, no references -- lots of claims. (There is a lower environmental impact with half the population in cities than if you spread them out all over the countryside. At leasts without doing a Green Khmer reorg...)
Here is a link:
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2601330
Now I have repeated that point three(?) times. You have acknowledged it without touching it twice. I've given a link. Enough.
And yes, it is theoretically possible that the Chinese commit a country-wide economic suicide by not starting to clean up e.g. pollution from coal. But stupidity is not the common sin of the Chinese leaders... (Strip mining and destroying inner Mongolia is another matter.)
Or are you claiming it is economically efficient to not clean up and accept health problems for a large part of the work force? Sure, the Chinese leadership is competent and would be cynical enough... That would be interesting -- do you have references?
Re: Germany to be nuclear-free by 2022
#199Earlier quoted context omitted.
I read his comments, you should go and visit some truly bad cities to appreciate why someone might argue against them. His other comments are not relevant to the claim I am making, now that I've read them. On weapons grade plutonium, you are trying to put words into my mouth - I can make my own points thank you. You seem to have some narrative built up of how the world will progress. e.g. pollution and energy use, wh…
>>This does not argue against all technical progress, it argues against ignoring the cost to future generations. Creative way of reading Andi's comment. Congratulations. I can see how someone could formulate a position like that, given that he/she is used to argue with people with certain opinions. The problem, as I noted twice above, is that the other comments shows that Andi is a crazy Luddite which argues against…
Andi did not argue against all technical progress, he argues against ignoring the cost of nuclear reactors for future generations.
One more time: there is no forced binary choice to be made between living as luddites, and ignoring the cost of nuclear reactors for nature and future generations. Do you agree with this statement or not?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Chinese_Famine I can get a lot more references, more recent but that just about sums it up!
Re: Germany to be nuclear-free by 2022
#200Earlier quoted context omitted.
>>This does not argue against all technical progress, it argues against ignoring the cost to future generations. Creative way of reading Andi's comment. Congratulations. I can see how someone could formulate a position like that, given that he/she is used to argue with people with certain opinions. The problem, as I noted twice above, is that the other comments shows that Andi is a crazy Luddite which argues against…
Thanks for your reply. I spell out in no uncertain terms how the comment proves what I'm claiming, and you think I'm getting creative? At what point do you think I got creative? How well do you score in reading comprehension? I have a feeling we would get along just fine if we were communicating on the same level, or as native speakers of the same language. Andi's other comments don't show anything of the sort, and a…
Here is another weird Andi comment, which relates to his original claim -- and show you to be wrong.
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2601341
>>This kind of technical view is religious but is usually not called religion.
So you are wrong -- Andi really meant what he said.
So much for your claim of proof.
(I accept that, given enough strange people to argue with, a reasonable person -- a non-Luddite/-econazi -- might have written what "Andi" wrote. Even if it seems unlikely. But "Andi" is not reasonable...)
>> Andi's other comments don't show anything of the sort, and are irrelevant
See above -- Andi is just plain weird, your guess is very unlikely. Also, you made that claim without touching that I've commented on his weird comments three times, even gave a link.
My troll detector isn't sensitive enough.
>> ignoring the cost of nuclear reactors for nature and future generations
And for nuclear power -- you haven't show that there is a net cost to future generations (not just creation of useful materials for their accelerator reactors).
Note also that the present humanity do research and infrastructure now, which will make future generations' lives better. (Which certainly is a religious view, according to Andi.)
(Also, there are lots of radioactive materials in nature. See my proof-of-principle solution.)