Earlier quoted context omitted.
2% efficient, at best. 1000J in, 20J worth of wood and leaves out. Burning it, you get back only a fraction of that, with much of it carried away in the smoke.
That sounds about right. It takes a whole lot of energy to reverse entropy at the margins. Then again life exists basically at the margins of the massive energy output of the sun. But still, I'm not holding out that any such human created sunlight to chemical energy storage process is going to best the 20% conversion efficiency of solar panels * 95% round trip efficiency of modern batteries any time soon. I know ther…
The prices of extracted petroleum and CH4 will plummet as carbon taxes increase and demand decreases, until only the absolute cheapest extractors remain, and those products will be used only where the carbon tax can be afforded: mainly aircraft, and then only until the much more cost-effective LH2-powered airframes ground them. (Those will be fueled with LH2 generated on the spot at airports using regional solar.)
Solar-powered CO2 capture projects will bid for carbon tax credits. Only the cheapest processes will win bids, so will not produce fuel. Probably they will blow it underground, in places where the ground is porous, and let it react with rocks down there. Turning it into fuel and selling it will not qualify as reclaiming, because the carbon doesn't stay claimed.