221–230 of 286 posts
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Unless the big guys are convinced that they are right and have the money to not worry about a margin call. In that case they should be shorting more. If GameStop is really worthless then they win when the company finally files bankruptcy.
Not if their short positions expire before the price falls.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
These situations tend to blow Up both sides, more or less. A few lucky Redditors will get out with profits. Most of the late entries are going to take steep losses. Those losing Redditors will be paying the winning Redditors. The narrative that this is hedge funds losing to Redditors isn’t fully accurate.
You're assuming that people on r/wallstreetbets are exactly the same as people on wall street who literally only care about money. The redditors buying don't want to make money, they just want to kill the hedge fund. By wasting a few hundred dollars they are making a larger dent in wall street than congress has made for the last few decades.
Fair warning. Buying stocks with high short interest is, over the long run, a terrible investment strategy. Mountains of academic research has consistently found the most heavily shorted stocks to significantly underperform the market[1] (to the order of 10% per year). Heavily shorted stocks tend to be the companies with the most negative cash flow shocks[2], low quality earnings statements[3], negative earnings revi…
"Past performance does not guarantee future returns", and vice-versa.
That's a somewhat trite statement (albeit technically true), but it's particularly relevant here where people are betting on disruption. The "concept" behind this movement is that one can influence stock performance through collective action by taking decisions that would not have been taken in the past (for very obvious industry reasons, like those given in your comment).
It's a high-risk bet for some, but noone is going into this hoping for a return based on traditional market performance.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Works until it doesn't. Exhibit TSLA.
'Fundamentals' and all that is a bs excuse used to scapegoat driving stocks they or their friends don't like to the ground. Let me ask this. How in the world can an 'analyst' know more about tech than the people that work all their lives in bleeding edge research and technology? They don't. They don't know more than Jim Keller whose primary task was development of Zen architecture at AMD - which traded at $5 before h…
You say short sellers are using fundamentals as an ‘excuse’ to short stocks ‘they don’t like’. If not from careful analysis of the business, where should the opinions come from?
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“Our goal is, and I feel pretty good about this goal, that we’ll be able to do a demonstration drive of full autonomy all the way from LA to New York, from home in LA to let’s say dropping you off in Time Square in New York, and then having the car go park itself, by the end of next year,” [Musk] said on a press call [in October 2016]. “Without the need for a single touch, including the charger.” How much did you nee…
Consider the following, everyone claimed reusing rockets was physically impossible. Well here we are now. Sure 'end of next year' may be impossible, but doing it at some point is not necessarily impossible given certain conditions. Nothing to do with targets, everything to do with values. And a company is more than what it produces, it is also the patents they own and the brains they wield. PS: I do research in ML.
A valuation of 20 times revenue - and thousands of times earnings - is not justified by saying "a company is more than what it produces".
Edit: put otherwise, how does your comment relate to the fact that Tesla was trading at 5-10% of the current price in 2019? Aren't the patents and brains the same? Why are Tesla's patents and brains worth now almost as much as those of Apple or Microsoft?
Wayback machine from Jan 30, 2020: https://web.archive.org/web/20191031110812/http://www.highsh... Some things don't change.
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This was one scenario were the shorts really did have it wrong. GameStop's financials were and are pretty solid. There was no reason to short the stock so heavily, which is why they're in the trouble that they're in right now. You should watch Roaring Kitty's video from June 2019 I believe (maybe its 2020?) on YouTube about this. He goes into great detail, with something like an hour of analysis on why $GME is a reas…
BlackRock own a large position in basically every US equity. The reason is that their funds generally want to be exposed to the entire market or some large subsets of it. They aren’t stating some opinion about the value of GameStop by owning 10% of it as they own about 10% of the entire stock market. If you see regularly someone’s name on the front page of the New York Times you might infer something about them. If y…
Earlier quoted context omitted.
“Our goal is, and I feel pretty good about this goal, that we’ll be able to do a demonstration drive of full autonomy all the way from LA to New York, from home in LA to let’s say dropping you off in Time Square in New York, and then having the car go park itself, by the end of next year,” [Musk] said on a press call [in October 2016]. “Without the need for a single touch, including the charger.” How much did you nee…
Consider the following, everyone claimed reusing rockets was physically impossible. Well here we are now. Sure 'end of next year' may be impossible, but doing it at some point is not necessarily impossible given certain conditions. Nothing to do with targets, everything to do with values. And a company is more than what it produces, it is also the patents they own and the brains they wield. PS: I do research in ML.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
These situations tend to blow Up both sides, more or less. A few lucky Redditors will get out with profits. Most of the late entries are going to take steep losses. Those losing Redditors will be paying the winning Redditors. The narrative that this is hedge funds losing to Redditors isn’t fully accurate.
You're assuming that people on r/wallstreetbets are exactly the same as people on wall street who literally only care about money. The redditors buying don't want to make money, they just want to kill the hedge fund. By wasting a few hundred dollars they are making a larger dent in wall street than congress has made for the last few decades.