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The Battle of GameStop

paranoidenough.com

571–580 of 583 posts

Re: The Battle of GameStop

#571

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think this is a truism which doesn't always apply. Suppose that there are 1,000 basement-dwelling redditors (okay, it's a caricature). Each has their basic needs taken care of, but not much money, and not much scope to improve their lot in life. What little money they have doesn't get invested, but spent frivolously. Suppose 1,000 such people could all put in $500 and give it to a randomly selected one of them. Tha…

This is just the flip side of why people support progressive taxes. If you believe that a flat tax is unfair because the people at the lower end of the spectrum have much less free money that isn't taken up by base needs, then it follows that different amounts of money affect people in different circumstances differently. To the person with 10 million dollars, doubling their wealth is nice for them but likely won't r…

All good points, but I think most real flat tax proposals have zero tax on your “base need” income. Imagine no taxes on first $40k of income... Then a flat tax above that.

Re: The Battle of GameStop

#572

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People exist who in the past two days paid $150 for a share that most analysts think is worth about $14 — at a company with negative earnings for six of the last seven quarters, and minimal earnings growth over the past few years. I'm sure there was some bull case for the company, and it might have had a snowball's chance in hell around $14 or even $20/share. But at $60+ ? What on God's good earth is supposed to make…

There's a long term bull price target at $169: https://www.gmedd.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/GMEdd-GameS...

> We have rounded the multiple to 15.2x in honor of Tylee, Cohen’s toy poodle and Cohen’s reputation as an aggressive, entrepreneurial founder.

OK, I'll pay $300 for a stock that will be worth $169 in 4 years assuming that Ryan Cohen has 100% chance of using is legendary Ryan Cohen powers to seize digital game sale margins from all the walled gardens, because somebody on WSB bought a domain name and used orange and green highlights in a spiffy PDF.

Re: The Battle of GameStop

#573
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People exist who in the past two days paid $150 for a share that most analysts think is worth about $14 — at a company with negative earnings for six of the last seven quarters, and minimal earnings growth over the past few years. I'm sure there was some bull case for the company, and it might have had a snowball's chance in hell around $14 or even $20/share. But at $60+ ? What on God's good earth is supposed to make…

One answer is given at gmedd.com, which presents analysis suggesting that even in the “bear case”, GME could be fairly valued at about $40/share. Disclaimer: I don’t know if their analysis is any good, but would like to hear your thoughts.

Gamers is an WSB guy who made the domain to capitalize on the mania. The content is just goofy.

Re: The Battle of GameStop

#574
post #498
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

the bull thesis has been laid out in detail for months and it's a good one, this is organic interest, Ryan Cohen and others coming over from Chewy was the most recent catalyst

I'm not sure if he can do much. Gamestop has the same problem that drove other retailers like suncoast, sam goody, strawberries, and many other ones out of business; you cannot survive the digitalization of your primary products. Gamestop relies on console systems and videogames both new and used to make the core of its primary business. These are what draw people into their locations and to their web site, and allow…

If this is correct, then why did Chewy succeed against Amazon?

Granted, dogfood is waaaay different than selling digital games outside a walled garden. No one can lock you out of your dogfood.

Re: The Battle of GameStop

#575
post #7

Citadel can see 80% of retail orderflow such as Robinhood and is massively long since last Friday as can be seen from the calls they are selling. Now it is likely the steam has run out(gamma cascade) so they are placing their bets on the opposite side by taking over Melvin which is massively short without causing too much market impact.

I may be wrong, but there is an information firewall between Citadel Securities (the market maker that pays for order flow), and the Citadel LLC (the hedge fund that is bailing out Melvin Capital)

Right, and Google Search never intentionally or accidentally makes changes to help Google Ads.

Re: The Battle of GameStop

#576

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am already broke. The money I invested isn't enough to change my life, but the returns are. I can fast for a week or two, I can walk to school instead of taking the metro. I am poor af and they can't take that away from me. But you know, melvin capital is already 30% of their equity down in January. They have everything to lose. I have nothing.

As I am writing this reply, the price is >200. It is estimated that Melvin has gone bankrupt.

In your other comment you said they are doubling down. That doesn't sound like bankrupt to me. "Got $3B more investment in a week" is hardly bankrupt.

Re: The Battle of GameStop

#577
post #171

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Arguably all started in the mid-to-late 70s when leadership in the US essentially threw in the towel on trying to improve the nation and started dismantling the country for profit. Adam Curtis's Hypernormalization does a very good job of illustrating this overall trend as it was reflected in the zeitgeist.

“The children now love luxury; they have bad manners, contempt for authority; they show disrespect for elders and love chatter in place of exercise. Children are now tyrants, not the servants of their households. They no longer rise when elders enter the room." -Socrates

FWIW, that quote isn't from Socrates https://quoteinvestigator.com/2010/05/01/misbehave/

Re: The Battle of GameStop

#578
post #266

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How much a single share costs really isn't interesting or important.

Tell that to the investors holding >$200 GME shares right now

I don't think you understand the point I was trying to make. The point wasn't that share price is completely meaningless, the point was that it's meaningless without more information.

A share of AAPL now costs $139, a share of GOOG costs $1860. How would you compare the two companies based on that? How does the price of a single share relate to whether or not the company has positive or negative earnings?

Re: The Battle of GameStop

#579
post #492

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your friends are lying through their teeth. Do you honestly believe these people aren't motivated by profit, when they are clearly entering long positions with the intention of driving up GME's price? It's straight up doublespeak.

A $1000 ticket to punch a 0.1% right in the balls is a worthy trade for many. People donate to political parties just to fuck the other party.

Except its not just a $1000 ticket to punch a 0.1%. They also believe the ticket will be worth $10,000 afterwards.
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