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Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

arstechnica.com

211–220 of 581 posts

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#211

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have one question for Tesla customers who trust the company to deliver full FSD. How do you reconcile that belief with the fact that Tesla's embedded developers did not understand the extremely simple concept of write endurance? The NHTSA opened an investigation into premature HUD failures because they prevented the backup cameras from working. But the fact of the matter is, the company used a small partition of in…

> Tesla's embedded developers did not understand the extremely simple concept of write endurance Equally likely is that they do understand but just don't care. From all accounts, Tesla seems to have a culture of move fast and break things.

Hmm I don't want to defend Tesla, but I do want to push back on this a bit!

Facebook made "move fast and break things" famous, which was Zuckerberg's way of presenting a tradeoff. Everyone company says they want to move fast, but Zuckerberg made it clear that the company should care more about velocity than stability.

I don't believe that's Tesla's attitude. Rather, I think their attitude is more "move fast and ignore regulations". It's not that things won't break, but rather that the tradeoff Tesla is making is around regulation rather than things breaking.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#212
post #26

I think the FSD beta rollout is completely irresponsible from Tesla. Rolling out a clearly half-baked safety critical technology to its customers (yes, I know it's only a few beta testers) who are untrained is nothing but a tactic to generate hype and get more customers to buy that $10k FSD package. This is on top of Tesla being the least transparent company out there in reporting safety data or their testing methodo…

FSD rollout is purely driven by Elon’s ego. He’s addicted to fame and power, and that comes from image he created of himself being an Iron Man. I’m pretty sure he got to a point where he believes in it, and thinks he’s invincible and can solve any problem, because he’s so much smarter than everyone. Stock bubble making wealthiest man only helped to solidify that.

My man has the Iron Man costume on display in a glass case at spacex. And the recruiters give you a spiel about it that feels very much like you're about to join a cult.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#213

Earlier quoted context omitted.

80% as good is 1000% as dangerous. Tesla's vehicles perform just well enough to convince many users they're good enough to "self drive" and ignore while failing catastrophically in edge cases and absolutely not being ready to completely ignore. Tesla's reckless "autopilot" branding contributes to this.

My point is that it doesn’t fail in edge cases. It has very clear limitations, there are no surprises. Even if you were literally asleep at the wheel, the worst thing that would happen is it’d end up stopped in front of a traffic light, waiting for you to take over.

> the worst thing that would happen is it’d end up stopped in front of a traffic light, waiting

I get your overall point, but this particular statement is empirically false.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#214

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Tesla's embedded developers did not understand the extremely simple concept of write endurance Equally likely is that they do understand but just don't care. From all accounts, Tesla seems to have a culture of move fast and break things.

Hmm I don't want to defend Tesla, but I do want to push back on this a bit! Facebook made "move fast and break things" famous, which was Zuckerberg's way of presenting a tradeoff. Everyone company says they want to move fast, but Zuckerberg made it clear that the company should care more about velocity than stability. I don't believe that's Tesla's attitude. Rather, I think their attitude is more "move fast and ignor…

But things have literally broken.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#215

Anyone wanna bet me that Tesla will be first to full level 5 self driving? Seems to be a lot of anti-Tesla folks here, put your money where your mouth is.

Agreed. The only company with actual autonomous driving hardware at a scale of a Million+ cars on the road right now.

Agree. The key to solving the problem is data and they have it, by the bucket load. The HN crowd is pretty conservative when it comes to tech it seems.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#216
post #140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Humans, surprisingly, don’t have LiDar, yet they can drive.

Humans have general intelligence and understand what their eyes are perceiving at a far deeper level than any CV system.

For how long?

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#217

Anyone wanna bet me that Tesla will be first to full level 5 self driving? Seems to be a lot of anti-Tesla folks here, put your money where your mouth is.

What Tesla has now, Waymo had back in 2012. They literally had a FSD program they were testing with certain employees, and once they found that that people quickly get distracted and stop paying attention, they gave up on that approach and went for the new strategy of jumping straight to level 4 and skipping level 3. So either they've been doing absolutely nothing for the past 8 years until getting level 4 driverless…

lol nice way of not betting

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#218
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't know, I don't get that feeling. What makes you think that? I don't know much about Elon, but I listened to one of his interviews with Rogan, and he struck me as extremely optimistic, but also grounded and not arrogant. (I do agree partial-self-driving just seems like a terrible idea. I guess crash stats can reveal if this is true or not, but are perhaps not available.)

Elon will get into some pretty bizarre bouts on twitter. I realize this is common for celebrities, but that whole "diver is a pedophile" thing was truly wtf. https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-pedo-guy-doesnt-mean-p...

The whole thing just screamed of a man with with an issue surrounded by yesmen.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#219
post #14

He seems so obviously correct that I can’t fathom how any engineer could see things otherwise.

Musk seems more of a marketer than an engineer to me, even though he's always characterized as one.

Have you even listened to him talk? Every word that comes out of his mouth is poured over to make sure that it contains truth.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#220

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I say we do $1,000, but what did you have in mind? We will have to put the bets in escrow We need to agree to what constitutes full level 5 self driving. My interpretation of it is a car that can drive itself anywhere in the world, has been approved for commercial use in at least one country, AND recognized as the first to full self driving in at least 2 major publications. We can put a 5 year time limit on the bet.

Unless I'm reading it wrong, it sounds like you (sixQuarks) and the parent (vegannet) want the same side of the bet :-) ie you're both betting that Tesla won't achieve FSD L5 in 5 years.

> sixQuarks 2 hours ago [–]

> Anyone wanna bet me that Tesla will be first to full level 5 self driving?

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