Earlier quoted context omitted.
But will he have the balls to do anything about it? He'll have too many domestic issues in the next 4 years to deal with
All evidence points towards US foreign policy being set by an enigmatic autopilot known to us only as "the civil service."
Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
321–330 of 456 posts
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#322* more countries will attempt fascism or authoritarian type of government * more countries will have problem with clean water. Hopefully new technologies to make water purification easier or cheaper emerge * given fall guys and among us success stories, there will be many more games aimed at that gameplay. Likely one or two of those will boom * non code programming (drag drop, or similar to) will rise. Used to comple…
Solar energy is dropping in price like a rock, and desalination uses tons of energy. Desalination can run on intermittent energy, storing water in tanks for the periods without sun. So new technologies aren't required, just continuation of existing trends.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#323* Jeff Bezos will be the first person to surpass US$1Tn in net worth * Boris Johnson will resign * Tiktok becomes the most popular social media platform * Japan Olympics go ahead causing hundreds of deaths * Covid eventually fizzles out
Boris’ stock is pretty high right now, he’s just lead the country through COVID and got the brexit deal he wanted at the same time. Whether you like him or not that was no easy feat, it’s unlikely he would have any reason to resign unless something crazy happens in the next 12 months. The affects of brexit won’t be felt just yet, and I don’t see his party pushing him out unless they’ve found a reasonable successor.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#324Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#325Earlier quoted context omitted.
> bitcoin to the moon if you're assuming that printing money will inflate currency, won't every asset go to the moon (hold its value against depreciation of currency)? why would bitcoin particularly benefit?
Yes, this is true that every asset will go to the moon, especially the stock market. I hope that the mainstream cultural perception of bitcoin and blockchain will change from being purely speculative and related to dark markets to actually being used with a good intent.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#326 - BTC goes over $100k in 2021
- We will learn about Aliens more
- AR/VR will go mainstream. Something like Pokemon Go will appear & be huge.
- Fitness apps start to become mainstream. Mainly follow-along workouts like FitnessBlender on YT.
- Creator economy will be huge. We'll see more creators grabbing media spotlights like Logan Paul & Charlie D'amelio
- Elon Musk announces a new company & becomes the richest man in the world
- More unicorns come out of India
- WASM goes mainstream
- Covid Vaccine has various side-effects. There will still be a Covid billionaire.
- TikTok survives
- China tries to enter into US & India again, their biggest markets
- A new social networking platform will emerge
- Facebook is now only used by 50+ year olds
- More people start online businesses.
- Adult industry booms. OnlyFans wouldn't be just for NSFW content. Celebrities get on it as well.
- India launches Cameo & OnlyFans alternative.Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#327Right now green energy is only slightly cheaper than fossil fuel energy so it's effect has been minimal. But the price is forecasted to continue to drop the way it has over the last 50 years.
Energy is a massive component of the price of much of what we consume, from food to travel to chemicals to material.
Solar & wind energy have some troublesome characteristics, like their intermittency. But where some see problems, entrepreneurs see opportunity.
I'm not sure exactly how cheap power will transform the economy other than the obvious (fossil fuel producers are in big trouble). But I have no doubt it will.
Energy prices dropped massively and regularly between the industrial revolution and the oil price shock of the 70s. They've been relatively constant since then. It might not be an unreasonable prediction that the boom times between post-WW2 and the 70s might return.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#328Tech stocks will drop More no code platforms will emerge and grow Fiat currencies will have major moves Bitcoin will rise big and then drop sharply once people realize how useless it is Inequality will continue to grow. More controls will be put in place to keep disadvantaged in line. Surveillance, social controls, brainwashing Real estate will have volatility
>Tech stocks will drop There is no change in monetary policy globally, and every country injected even more printed money into the system for Covid relief. 2021 should see new all time highs across all equities, particularly tech. >Bitcoin Crypto will have a meteoric run up until the Coinbase IPO in February, and then people will take their profits, but I expect it to rise with the rest of the economy by the end of t…
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#329Earlier quoted context omitted.
I got the free zozosuit when it came out a while ago. It sounded really cool but it didn't have the iPhone AR at least that I can remember. Virtually trying on clothes would be cool but I don't think there's any way you could get actual tailoring, but maybe adding a few intermediate sizes from the standard s m l? My prediction for fashion change would be more towards ideas like NTWRK. I hate the false scarcity 'drops…
Virtually trying on clothing has significant social hurdles in the fashion industry, primarily due to a complete lack of trust within the industry. Design theft is one of the most major concerns, and any system attempting to enable consumers to virtually try on clothing requires the clothing designs to be released to 3rd parties before the items are in the market - and that early information release is exactly what a…
Everything can stay under the control of the designer, including 2FA of the end-user, the degree of fidelity of the rendering, rate limits for requests, timed release to selected partners, etc, etc.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#330* 50% of all US currency is printed between now and the end of 2021 * 1 Bitcoin will cost over $100k on Dec 31, 2021 * An animation tool rivaling Adobe Flash for the web will emerge * FB releases a thin virtual reality headset https://research.fb.com/blog/2020/06/holographic-optics-for-... * Austin Tx or Seattle Wa succeeds Silicon Valley as the next major tech hub. San Francisco and its century old Victorians become…
> * 1 Bitcoin will cost over $100k on Dec 31, 2021 Glad to see we are learning from the mistakes of John McAfee