People overestimate what can happen in a year and underestimate what can happen in a decade.
If you’ve seen the hackernews “predict next 10 years” threads you’ll see we overestimate decades too.
Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
291–300 of 456 posts
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#292Software Bill of Material (SBOM) will become more of a thing - where you must list the dependencies and their hash you used for supply-chain security and vulnerability management. New law enforcement techniques using DNS and other Intel techniques will be used to track, seize and tax cryptocurrency - which will cause increased popularity of Ethereum. A qubit will travel around the world without decohering and increas…
I hope the Bill of Materials concept spreads to more areas of software development. A bit different from your example, but a small group of us started a "Bill of Models" project for our department. We spent too much time failing to manage complexity with fancy tools. We ended up writing our own simple tool for reading custom BOMs to create and manage simulations.
Do you have anything publicly available to read about this project? Or any background on what inspired you?
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#293- At least 5 presidents of 3rd world countries will die - Much, much stronger ties between central europe and china - Chia will become top 10 crypto - DNA manipulation will become much bigger - Facebook will go into proper decline - Start of the break up of google ad business from google search business - A few small EU alternative search engines come up - Battery as a platform continues accelerating - new mobility f…
> OpenStreetMaps will become a serious-serious contender to Google Maps
Maybe not this year, but I can see this happening over the next five.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#294* 50% of all US currency is printed between now and the end of 2021 * 1 Bitcoin will cost over $100k on Dec 31, 2021 * An animation tool rivaling Adobe Flash for the web will emerge * FB releases a thin virtual reality headset https://research.fb.com/blog/2020/06/holographic-optics-for-... * Austin Tx or Seattle Wa succeeds Silicon Valley as the next major tech hub. San Francisco and its century old Victorians become…
> * 2021 will be the year of punk and rock n' roll Count me in! That would definitely make this year happy for me.
Count me in too!
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#295* Roblox has a massive IPO that values it at $20B after one week of trading. Facebook makes an offer to buy the company to boost its VR efforts, but the offer is rejected.
* The vaccine efforts work out, and travel begins to open up again after August.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#296Software Bill of Material (SBOM) will become more of a thing - where you must list the dependencies and their hash you used for supply-chain security and vulnerability management. New law enforcement techniques using DNS and other Intel techniques will be used to track, seize and tax cryptocurrency - which will cause increased popularity of Ethereum. A qubit will travel around the world without decohering and increas…
I got the free zozosuit when it came out a while ago. It sounded really cool but it didn't have the iPhone AR at least that I can remember. Virtually trying on clothes would be cool but I don't think there's any way you could get actual tailoring, but maybe adding a few intermediate sizes from the standard s m l? My prediction for fashion change would be more towards ideas like NTWRK. I hate the false scarcity 'drops…
Virtually trying on clothing has significant social hurdles in the fashion industry, primarily due to a complete lack of trust within the industry. Design theft is one of the most major concerns, and any system attempting to enable consumers to virtually try on clothing requires the clothing designs to be released to 3rd parties before the items are in the market - and that early information release is exactly what all social lessons from past interactions in their industry tell them never to allow.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#297* 50% of all US currency is printed between now and the end of 2021 * 1 Bitcoin will cost over $100k on Dec 31, 2021 * An animation tool rivaling Adobe Flash for the web will emerge * FB releases a thin virtual reality headset https://research.fb.com/blog/2020/06/holographic-optics-for-... * Austin Tx or Seattle Wa succeeds Silicon Valley as the next major tech hub. San Francisco and its century old Victorians become…
> * An animation tool rivaling Adobe Flash for the web will emerge
It's happening https://ruffle.rs/
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#298There will be a 20 % increase in Toronto Real Estate. Average house price will be well over a million $$$. Cannabis will be decriminalized at the Federal level. Covid Fatigue, no one will give a shit by summer. DOW 36k. There is no limit to the amount of stimulus.
How many years can it increase by 20%? This is getting ridiculous.
The inequality in the city has reached a point where is impossible for people to catch up.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#299A new Raspberry Pi will be released in either the "Zero" or the "A" form factor.
HN will continue to complain about the MicroSD card reliability.
The new board will sell well.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#300Bitcoin backers will continue to pretend that their hyping of one of the worst ideas in modern history has nothing to do with their significant financial stakes in it.
I'm curious - why do you think that Bitcoin is "one of the worst ideas in modern history"? It's a very bold claim, I'd like to understand your reasoning.
It's a fraud engine.