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Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

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Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#281

Post by throwaway2245 »

toomuchtodo wrote: post #47
ploika wrote: post #28

Speaking from Ireland. - Car traffic will be only slightly less than 2019 levels, despite rolling lockdowns all year. - Brexit will start to be noticed on supermarket shelves. - The built-up stresses of 2020/2021 will turn some relatively minor issue into a genuine political crisis, in a straw-that-broke-the-camel's-back situation. It might bring down the government.

Do you think Brexit reaching a conclusion could spur reunification between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland (a “United Ireland”)?

Yes -

If Northern Ireland is following the Republic of Ireland/EU commercial regulatory framework, and not the rest of the UK's as that quickly diverges, there will be a new pragmatic argument for Northern Ireland to leave the UK.

I'd give it at least 5 years, though.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#283

Post by perlgeek »

blackrock wrote: post #200

1. Remote work is here to stay. Because covid vaccines will fail to reach herd immunity. Because the mRNA vaccines are too complicated to manufacture and deploy. 2. China will eradicate the virus within their borders, because their vaccine is easier to manufacture and deploy. And is probably safer, since it uses the traditional inactivated virus technique. So less side effects for most people. 3. Housings prices will…

> Because the mRNA vaccines are too complicated to manufacture and deploy.

Don't you think some of the other vaccines (like AstraZeneca's, or maybe Novavax or the Russian one) will be deployed at a large scale?

It might take the EU and US regulators a month or two to approve them, but then things should move pretty quickly...

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#284

Post by type0 »

kart23 wrote: post #139

Daft Punk comes back, releases a single with album forthcoming. The political divide continues to grow in the US. Terrorist acts are attributed to alt-right ideology, and government starts to remove particularly egregious examples of online hate websites. Only a third of the country will be vaccinated by the end of Q2 2021.

My prediction is that Hate Speech definition on social media becomes so watered down that no one would agree what we are talking about. Every day people with anti-mainstream thoughts will get so used to be canceled all the time that they will start to hate the internet and themselves.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#285

Post by dgudkov »

* Facebook will enter a downward spiral and start declining

* A security breach bigger than SolarWinds will be discovered and will severely affect market position of a major cloud provider

* Google will make its biggest acquisition ever

* Inequality, censorship, and polarization will continue to increase

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#286

Post by mszcz »

imposterr wrote: post #118

BABIES! So many COVID-induced lockdown babies! I've had so many people, many who were either done with having children, and those who weren't planning to for a while yet, announce their pregnancies. Wonder if there are any companies I can invest in to cash in on this?

I wonder if the fact of making babies by couples in lockdown will not be offset by singles in lockdown unable to go out and meet people for baby-making purposes.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#287

Post by shaolinspirit »

learnstats2 wrote: post #264
shaolinspirit wrote: post #228

* Baizuo gestapo * The DJ mix fades slowly from Covid to climatechange * Bill Gates does geoengineering * Trillions of dollars printed -> effect -> bitcoin to the moon * People will say that internet in 2020 had freedom * Migration of taxpayers to other countries

> bitcoin to the moon if you're assuming that printing money will inflate currency, won't every asset go to the moon (hold its value against depreciation of currency)? why would bitcoin particularly benefit?

Yes, this is true that every asset will go to the moon, especially the stock market. I hope that the mainstream cultural perception of bitcoin and blockchain will change from being purely speculative and related to dark markets to actually being used with a good intent.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#288

Post by type0 »

Microsoft and Apple get more egregious on that you don't own your device, some people will complain but eventually the Stockholm syndrome will take over so that Apples and Bananas will make even more money. General purpose computing becomes even more of a niche thing.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#289

Post by himujjal »

This is very specific.

Either Flutter Desktop or Sciter will be the defacto mode of cross-platform app development replacing ElectronJS and QT.

If Flutter desktop will be a thing at the end of 2021, Sciter will be abandoned.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#290

Post by [deleted] »

learnstats2 wrote: post #264
shaolinspirit wrote: post #228

* Baizuo gestapo * The DJ mix fades slowly from Covid to climatechange * Bill Gates does geoengineering * Trillions of dollars printed -> effect -> bitcoin to the moon * People will say that internet in 2020 had freedom * Migration of taxpayers to other countries

> bitcoin to the moon if you're assuming that printing money will inflate currency, won't every asset go to the moon (hold its value against depreciation of currency)? why would bitcoin particularly benefit?

[deleted]
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