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Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

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251–260 of 456 posts

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#253

Kamala Harris will be President by July.

This is a ballsy prediction, but exactly the kind I came here for. No point in making conservative predictions when the stakes are so low.

(Obligatory "I wish only the best for the president-elect and his family", in case that was unclear)

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#254

It is 2021 and ... I can't believe we are still using raw plaintext for these kind of threads. Wouldn't it be wonderful: * To be able to vote predictions * To filter, sort, search, group, slice and dice predictions Same goes for HN:Jobs and other threads like that. We need just a bit more structure.

I disagree. To me and much of HN, this is a feature and not a bug. See: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20854214

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#255
post #196

* 50% of all US currency is printed between now and the end of 2021 * 1 Bitcoin will cost over $100k on Dec 31, 2021 * An animation tool rivaling Adobe Flash for the web will emerge * FB releases a thin virtual reality headset https://research.fb.com/blog/2020/06/holographic-optics-for-... * Austin Tx or Seattle Wa succeeds Silicon Valley as the next major tech hub. San Francisco and its century old Victorians become…

>A Reddit competitor emerges and wins majority marketshare

So many have tried and failed already. I would really wish that to happen though.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#256

* more countries will attempt fascism or authoritarian type of government * more countries will have problem with clean water. Hopefully new technologies to make water purification easier or cheaper emerge * given fall guys and among us success stories, there will be many more games aimed at that gameplay. Likely one or two of those will boom * non code programming (drag drop, or similar to) will rise. Used to comple…

>PWA or similar web-based app / installer will rise, while having more opposition from apple and google.

Google is the one pushing it, actually. And wasn't there a recent post on HN that Firefox devs are planning to remove PWA support?

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#257
post #196

* 50% of all US currency is printed between now and the end of 2021 * 1 Bitcoin will cost over $100k on Dec 31, 2021 * An animation tool rivaling Adobe Flash for the web will emerge * FB releases a thin virtual reality headset https://research.fb.com/blog/2020/06/holographic-optics-for-... * Austin Tx or Seattle Wa succeeds Silicon Valley as the next major tech hub. San Francisco and its century old Victorians become…

VR headset: how would this be different from what vuzix offers today?

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#258
post #28

Speaking from Ireland. - Car traffic will be only slightly less than 2019 levels, despite rolling lockdowns all year. - Brexit will start to be noticed on supermarket shelves. - The built-up stresses of 2020/2021 will turn some relatively minor issue into a genuine political crisis, in a straw-that-broke-the-camel's-back situation. It might bring down the government.

Do you think Brexit reaching a conclusion could spur reunification between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland (a “United Ireland”)?

Maybe "spur" might be putting it a bit strong, but I do think it will make it more likely in subtle, marginal ways. It will be an extra push factor in an already complicated dynamic. In any case, I think a referendum on unity is still decades rather than years away.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#259
post #63

Tech stocks will drop More no code platforms will emerge and grow Fiat currencies will have major moves Bitcoin will rise big and then drop sharply once people realize how useless it is Inequality will continue to grow. More controls will be put in place to keep disadvantaged in line. Surveillance, social controls, brainwashing Real estate will have volatility

Tech stocks could decline because they are way overvalued. The digitalization will stick with us. Online commerce will increase because traditional shops will accept that they have to adapt. Virtualization, remote work, and video conferencing will stay with us.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#260

The economy will bifurcate into two sections: a corporate economy that builds platforms, and an individualist economy that uses those platform for creative purposes. Think YouTube + video creators, Spotify + artists, Netflix + more long tail video content, Substack + writers, TikTok + influencers, Doordash + indie chefs, Apple + indie developers. I believe this will feel like visible people are losing jobs and making…

Damn I never thought about indie chefs! I heard about ghost kitchens which I think is brilliant but building and promoting your individuality as a chef unlocks a whole new world of possibilities.
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