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Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

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Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#211

Post by drawfloat »

dnautics wrote: post #46
jokethrowaway wrote: post #34

Prolonged lockdowns and new habits kill 75% of small businesses and greatly increase inequality as the richest 10% stay at home saving/investing instead of spending. This will trigger an economic collapse which will bring down the eurozone. Germany will want country rated euros to avoid having to bail Italy. House prices in Europe will drop to a rent / value rate similar to the USA, as property owners scrap for money…

I think eurozone collapse will begin in germany, centered around the collapse of deutsche bank. No other scenario will make sense. Although it will still be bad, the uk will have dodged a bigger bullet with brexit.

As the UK didn't use the euro anyway, I don't think it will change how much the country would be impacted by a Eurozone collapse (ie: still seriously impacted)

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#212

Post by CodeGlitch »

dt123 wrote: post #204

* Jeff Bezos will be the first person to surpass US$1Tn in net worth * Boris Johnson will resign * Tiktok becomes the most popular social media platform * Japan Olympics go ahead causing hundreds of deaths * Covid eventually fizzles out

So Boris Johnson just got the trade deal he was hoping for and the UK is leading in a vaccination programme, so I'm not sure he'll want to resign unless the last year has been too stressful for him and he has some kind of breakdown?

Although aliens might invade or some other crazy s*t.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#214

Post by austinjp »

Dirak wrote: post #196

* 50% of all US currency is printed between now and the end of 2021 * 1 Bitcoin will cost over $100k on Dec 31, 2021 * An animation tool rivaling Adobe Flash for the web will emerge * FB releases a thin virtual reality headset https://research.fb.com/blog/2020/06/holographic-optics-for-... * Austin Tx or Seattle Wa succeeds Silicon Valley as the next major tech hub. San Francisco and its century old Victorians become…

> React competitor that compiles to WASM

Those who are better informed than me, who are the main movers here?

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#215

Post by fendy3002 »

Dirak wrote: post #196

* 50% of all US currency is printed between now and the end of 2021 * 1 Bitcoin will cost over $100k on Dec 31, 2021 * An animation tool rivaling Adobe Flash for the web will emerge * FB releases a thin virtual reality headset https://research.fb.com/blog/2020/06/holographic-optics-for-... * Austin Tx or Seattle Wa succeeds Silicon Valley as the next major tech hub. San Francisco and its century old Victorians become…

> * A React competitor that compiles to WASM with promises of perf and space gains will emerge

Or from react itself that compiles into WASM, similar with react native.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#218

Post by mnd999 »

CodeGlitch wrote: post #212
dt123 wrote: post #204

* Jeff Bezos will be the first person to surpass US$1Tn in net worth * Boris Johnson will resign * Tiktok becomes the most popular social media platform * Japan Olympics go ahead causing hundreds of deaths * Covid eventually fizzles out

So Boris Johnson just got the trade deal he was hoping for and the UK is leading in a vaccination programme, so I'm not sure he'll want to resign unless the last year has been too stressful for him and he has some kind of breakdown? Although aliens might invade or some other crazy s *t.

He will be scapegoated for the Brexit fallout and the awful Covid response by others in his party who want his job.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#219

Post by jayflux »

dt123 wrote: post #204

* Jeff Bezos will be the first person to surpass US$1Tn in net worth * Boris Johnson will resign * Tiktok becomes the most popular social media platform * Japan Olympics go ahead causing hundreds of deaths * Covid eventually fizzles out

Boris’ stock is pretty high right now, he’s just lead the country through COVID and got the brexit deal he wanted at the same time. Whether you like him or not that was no easy feat, it’s unlikely he would have any reason to resign unless something crazy happens in the next 12 months.

The affects of brexit won’t be felt just yet, and I don’t see his party pushing him out unless they’ve found a reasonable successor.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#220

Post by mnd999 »

markessien wrote: post #150

- At least 5 presidents of 3rd world countries will die - Much, much stronger ties between central europe and china - Chia will become top 10 crypto - DNA manipulation will become much bigger - Facebook will go into proper decline - Start of the break up of google ad business from google search business - A few small EU alternative search engines come up - Battery as a platform continues accelerating - new mobility f…

- Google search results will start becoming way better and super personalised as their data efforts start results.

I can believe they’ll do this but it won’t make the results better. Google search would go the way of YouTube.

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