> It's clear that 2020 [...] has arguably completely changed everyone's lives for the long term.
I don't think there is much to argue about this. Every year changes everyone's life for the long term.
Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
201–210 of 456 posts
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#202* 50% of all US currency is printed between now and the end of 2021 * 1 Bitcoin will cost over $100k on Dec 31, 2021 * An animation tool rivaling Adobe Flash for the web will emerge * FB releases a thin virtual reality headset https://research.fb.com/blog/2020/06/holographic-optics-for-... * Austin Tx or Seattle Wa succeeds Silicon Valley as the next major tech hub. San Francisco and its century old Victorians become…
> * 2021 will be the year of punk and rock n' roll
Count me in! That would definitely make this year happy for me.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#203Apple Fitness+ will be their fastest growing service, and Apple Watch Series 7 will have non-invasive glucose monitoring.
Apple has never "made" anything that others haven't perfected first. So, even if someone came with a non-invasive glucose monitor, it won't be Apple. If someone does come out and it works well and if multiple companies copy it... we may see it on Apple watch around 2025 or later.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#204* Jeff Bezos will be the first person to surpass US$1Tn in net worth
* Boris Johnson will resign
* Tiktok becomes the most popular social media platform
* Japan Olympics go ahead causing hundreds of deaths
* Covid eventually fizzles out
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#205Earlier quoted context omitted.
Do you think Brexit reaching a conclusion could spur reunification between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland (a “United Ireland”)?
(Lived in UK and Ireland, and various other EU countries) NI is now effectively separated from the rest of the UK, so will rely on Ireland a lot more for trade. For sure there will be more cooperation between the two countries, but in the last survey only 20% of NI residents favoured a united Ireland. [0] I doubt Brexit has shifted that number too much. I'd more expect NI to become an independent country, but Scotlan…
Other polls seem to range from 29% [1] to 80% [2]. I think it depends who's asked!
[1] https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-nireland-poll/poll...
[2] https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/election-2020-we-want-uni...
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#206I’m hoping people will start realising our technology stacks are too complex and start looking at simplifications.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#207India’s Hindu populism will go further right. As the vaccine rolls out in the U.S., we should slowly see at least a short term economic boost as spending increases, potentially increasing inflation. Housing prices will continue to rise with less and less inventory, especially for single family homes.
Looking at religious problems that are being faced by India and west, blatant news manipulation... It's good that India will turn further right.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#208I'll be an optimist and predict that Patrick Rothfuss will publish Doors of Stone and the fourth Evangelion Rebuild movie will be released.
(I just checked on the latter and apparently it's scheduled to be released on the 23rd of January, so I guess that's pretty solid at this point. You never know, though; last attempt at release was postponed due to Covid, and it could happen again. If we're really lucky there'll be a US release in 2021.)
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#209* EU-based SaaS will become more popular due increased difficulty in working with US-based SaaS companies in a privacy compliant way
* Remote work will stay mainstream in tech, with most employees working at least a few days remote per month
* HN will get a dark mode
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#210My predictions:
- Pandemic won't go away or show any signs of going away at the end of the next year. Multiple new strains will be around at the end of next year, some of which will not be protected by the vaccines. Many more countries, specially those under the Chinese influence (which there will be more of), will not shut down or have travel bans or vaccines or have any measures against the virus.
- The vaccines will kill people at a higher rate than the pandemic, mostly by other diseases than COVID (because the immune system is a very efficient adaptive model, if you bias it to be effective against one thing, it will be at a cost of losing effectiveness against most of everything else), and vaccines will be considered very successful.
- Bitcoin will have lowest value in the year around Christmas time next year, but it will still be around the lowest value this year. It may reach much higher before it drops.
- Most American big tech companies will lose significant value. At the same time, a few like Microsoft and Tesla will be completely unaffected.