1. Commercial real estate nose dives, karaoke bars expand exponentially in the free space
2. Vaccines take a long time to roll out (~3 yrs) so international travel enacts mandatory screening - meaning giving your swab samples to nation states just to enter the country.. like how the US takes your fingerprint - privacy erosion gets worse to the point of mass protests but won’t be fixed for decades
3. Routine dr appointments where youre diagnosed with a cold or flu result in mandatory tests for mutliple viruses rather than being told to go home and take paracetamol.. this becomes a new standard test
4. eSports Go main stream
5. Startups in waste management begin weighing up ejecting junk into space
6. JavaScript developers jump on the Rust bandwagon to survive the next decade
Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
111–120 of 456 posts
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#112Trump will send all the pedosatanists to guantanamo
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#113Doordash for weed Tech companies will close offices and have most employees work from home Google will finally make a smart watch on par with the Apple wacth
Isn't Ease already DoorDash for Weed?
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#1141. Commercial real estate nose dives, karaoke bars expand exponentially in the free space 2. Vaccines take a long time to roll out (~3 yrs) so international travel enacts mandatory screening - meaning giving your swab samples to nation states just to enter the country.. like how the US takes your fingerprint - privacy erosion gets worse to the point of mass protests but won’t be fixed for decades 3. Routine dr appoin…
Oh also, sex dolls with AI GPT-3 startup and human relationships are forever changed
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#115[deleted]
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#116Speaking from Ireland. - Car traffic will be only slightly less than 2019 levels, despite rolling lockdowns all year. - Brexit will start to be noticed on supermarket shelves. - The built-up stresses of 2020/2021 will turn some relatively minor issue into a genuine political crisis, in a straw-that-broke-the-camel's-back situation. It might bring down the government.
Do you think Brexit reaching a conclusion could spur reunification between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland (a “United Ireland”)?
(Lived in UK and Ireland, and various other EU countries)
NI is now effectively separated from the rest of the UK, so will rely on Ireland a lot more for trade. For sure there will be more cooperation between the two countries, but in the last survey only 20% of NI residents favoured a united Ireland. [0] I doubt Brexit has shifted that number too much. I'd more expect NI to become an independent country, but Scotland will be first.
In terms of Ireland I think this is good for them, as it'll give them more opportunity to be more independent. At least when I was there (nearly 10 years ago, in Dublin), it felt like 'the UK but slightly different', i.e. very different from the rest of Europe. Online retailers often didn't have an IE store, but most UK retailers would ship to IE for extra shipping.
Now it will probably be the other way, IE retailers will ship to NI for a little extra. The combined markets have a population of nearly 7m people, so it's bigger than a lot of European countries.
As OP says it might be painful to begin with (for NI and IE) as they adjust to the new position. Ireland drives on the same side of the road as the UK, and uses UK plugs, so cars and consumer goods will most likely become more expensive too.
[0] https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/56/Northern...
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#117Prolonged lockdowns and new habits kill 75% of small businesses and greatly increase inequality as the richest 10% stay at home saving/investing instead of spending. This will trigger an economic collapse which will bring down the eurozone. Germany will want country rated euros to avoid having to bail Italy. House prices in Europe will drop to a rent / value rate similar to the USA, as property owners scrap for money…
inflation will start being a problem If that happens then interest rates will rise, which will be very, very bad for both businesses and home owners. If it happened quickly enough it'd make 2008 look like a walk in the park.
Why would interest rates rise? They're completely manipulated. If interest rates rising would kill businesses, then they will be manipulated not to rise.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#118BABIES! So many COVID-induced lockdown babies! I've had so many people, many who were either done with having children, and those who weren't planning to for a while yet, announce their pregnancies.
Wonder if there are any companies I can invest in to cash in on this?
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#119Earlier quoted context omitted.
inflation will start being a problem If that happens then interest rates will rise, which will be very, very bad for both businesses and home owners. If it happened quickly enough it'd make 2008 look like a walk in the park.
Why would interest rates rise? They're completely manipulated. If interest rates rising would kill businesses, then they will be manipulated not to rise.
Because the choice will be interest rates or inflation
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#120Earlier quoted context omitted.
You can already ‘pip install’ quite a bit (gensim being a prime example), but it takes some knowledge of how/why the general resource was trained to apply it to a business problem.
I think the big leap will happen when a "regular" developer (as in doesn't need to have any specific know-how), when they can just call simple APIs that hide all the complexity, Same way we don't need to know how a GPU works to render a red square in a browser window.
grandparent comment is saying that you _have_ to be able to apply the data and training techniques to a use case. what you're describing is the nocode fantasy where non-developers will be able to name complex apps, but applied to ml