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Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

news.ycombinator.com

91–100 of 456 posts

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#91
post #80

I predict that we'll see a sharp drop in real estate prices and rents in major cities. They are way beyond reasonable at the moment; my presumption is that the decline of small businesses will open up at lot of space. Given this and the radical shift to work from home, I presume that the cities will attract far less people (especially in high paid jobs) and therefore the apartment searching madness we see right now w…

I'm assuming this is from a US perspective. Do people in other places with high rents around the world feel the same?

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#92
post #76

Doordash for weed Tech companies will close offices and have most employees work from home Google will finally make a smart watch on par with the Apple wacth

Google will finally make a smart watch

I highly doubt that. They've managed to ruin even the amazing Pixel phones with poor hardware and poor decisions on pricing and availability. I have a Pixel 2XL and desperately want to upgrade but I can't because both Pixel 4 and Pixel 5 are not available in India! I've been waiting to buy a good non-Apple smartwatch for years now but I can't wait anymore. I prefer Android over iOS, but the current affair of things is making me give up and just go for iPhone and Apple Watch.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#93

Democrats will win the GA runoffs Off the back of that, stimulus and other popular liberal policies will be enacted. And they'll be successful and well-liked.

Nothing better than a guy who openly hates that money grubbing race of people. Looking forward to cleansing and sending the undesired to camps to rinse from their evil thoughts.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#94
post #63

Tech stocks will drop More no code platforms will emerge and grow Fiat currencies will have major moves Bitcoin will rise big and then drop sharply once people realize how useless it is Inequality will continue to grow. More controls will be put in place to keep disadvantaged in line. Surveillance, social controls, brainwashing Real estate will have volatility

> Bitcoin will rise big and then drop sharply once people realize how useless it is

or when the liquidity catches up to the prices on exchanges, like every bitcoin rally ever and people keep building on it regardless? it isn't controversial for commodities to have cyclical trading patterns.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#95
post #10

Historical 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16007988 2017: none? 2016: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10809767 2015: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8822723 2014: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370 2013: none? 2012: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3395201 2011: https://news.ycomb…

Funny how optimistic and tech oriented the previous ones are compared to 2021 - mostly politics, inequality and authoritarianism.

be the change you want to see

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#96
post #63

Tech stocks will drop More no code platforms will emerge and grow Fiat currencies will have major moves Bitcoin will rise big and then drop sharply once people realize how useless it is Inequality will continue to grow. More controls will be put in place to keep disadvantaged in line. Surveillance, social controls, brainwashing Real estate will have volatility

> Tech stocks will drop

As a vaccine roles out, one would expect these online services to die back down again to roughly where they were, if a little elevated due to some good exposure.

> Fiat currencies will have major moves

I see a few large movers now trying to push micro-transactions which could be interesting. I know for example China are pushing Alipay very hard.

> Bitcoin will rise big and then drop sharply once people realize how useless it is

I think of Bitcoin essentially as a pyramid scheme, it has zero real world value. I think banks made a major mistake in trading in it.

I always thought it would be more interesting (if not more illegal) if it was used for solving computationally hard problems, where people post bounties for their completion and it can be proved the computation was done correctly. For example cracking a strong key pair or website certificate, or doing some computation for research like protein folding.

> Inequality will continue to grow. More controls will be put in place to keep disadvantaged in line. Surveillance, social controls, brainwashing

See the point about micro-transactions. Cash-in-hand agreements grease the palms of the working man, if they can make that digital then they can tax it.

> Real estate will have volatility

After the protests/riots in the US and the COVID situation in all major cities, I think many people are looking to move out to more rural areas. In New York I hear the markets are in a very bad way.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#97
HBM3 is released sending GDDR6 into an identity crisis

Apple's processor series has an upgrade and has an unexpected name

Apple gets tired of Qualcomm and starts making radios as well (Qualcomm's has not released adequate drivers to allow 5g in a multi-SIM environment, delaying Apple's ability to offer it)

A Camera manufacturer implements "Live Photos" in the RAW format with key frame selection

A cooler running version of the Raspberri Pi is released

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#98

Apple Fitness+ will be their fastest growing service, and Apple Watch Series 7 will have non-invasive glucose monitoring.

A reliable non-invasive glucose monitoring device is going to be revolutionary. That’s essentially a holy grail for diabetes.

The least invasive we seem to have in development right now is EasyGlucose[0] which monitors glucose levels from a photo of your iris, but it seems like nothing has come out since the initial press in 2019.

Similar is Google detecting heart disease from photos of the back of the eye, whatever happened with that? [1]

[0] https://techcrunch.com/2019/05/08/non-invasive-glucose-monit...

[1] https://www.theverge.com/2018/2/19/17027902/google-verily-ai...

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#100

Prolonged lockdowns and new habits kill 75% of small businesses and greatly increase inequality as the richest 10% stay at home saving/investing instead of spending. This will trigger an economic collapse which will bring down the eurozone. Germany will want country rated euros to avoid having to bail Italy. House prices in Europe will drop to a rent / value rate similar to the USA, as property owners scrap for money…

inflation will start being a problem

If that happens then interest rates will rise, which will be very, very bad for both businesses and home owners. If it happened quickly enough it'd make 2008 look like a walk in the park.

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