Ask HN: Predictions for 2021? • Hacker News Board

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#21

Post by AnimalMuppet » Thu, Dec 31, 2020, 8:57 PM UTC

Raed667 wrote: post #15

AnimalMuppet wrote: post #3

Covid will be the breakthrough for working from home. It will continue even after Covid is no longer a factor. Joe Biden will be inaugurated on January 20, 2021. There will be some violence on or just after January 6 (certification of electoral college votes) and January 20, but it will be minor. Trump will rage and sulk, but Twitter will cancel his account on January 21 for violation of terms of service.

> working from home I think that a lot of people worked from home for the first time, but without the required preparations. Which left a bad taste and probably turned a lot of people off. Working from home is not a universal experience, the experience varies if you live in villa or a one room apartment. Varies, if you're sharing the space. Varies, if you have had to take care of kids at the same time, etc... I see a…

Clarification: It will continue, but not necessarily at the same level.

I mean, it existed before, just not at this level. The difference is that it won't be weird or fringe. You're applying for a job, but you want to work from home? For the majority of places, that was a deal breaker before. Now it won't be.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#22

Post by psychanalyst » Thu, Dec 31, 2020, 9:05 PM UTC

archibaldJ wrote: post #20

- more psychedlic tech ipos; websites such as https://psilocybinalpha.com/ gain more tractions; I expect Compass Pathways (NASDAQ: CMPS) double in mkt cap - Terence McKenna becomes more relevant again; recordings of McKenna's talks such as https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijA5RHTJaV4 reach million views - if we look back in 2030, we'll see 2021 being the year that marks the beginning of the psychedelic renaissance - a…

Sensible predictions. ATAI Life Sciences is also expected to IPO.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#23

Post by SheinhardtWigCo » Thu, Dec 31, 2020, 9:12 PM UTC

Autonomous vehicles will be unleashed in urban environments. They will kill people in unacceptable scenarios and the industry will be forced to retreat as political and legal pressure mounts. Teleoperation won’t work. Operation of autonomous vehicles in urban environments without a trained safety driver will be severely restricted until there’s a major AGI breakthrough.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#24

Post by contingencies » Thu, Dec 31, 2020, 9:26 PM UTC

Average VC fund returns stay below Bitcoin yield on an annual basis. You have to be vaccinated to travel. Fake vaccination certificates become a thing. Contactless retail, robotics and industrial automation growth. Ecstasy decriminalization / legalization continues to gain momentum.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#25

Post by nealabq » Thu, Dec 31, 2020, 9:54 PM UTC

2021 will be one of the hottest years on record. Wildfires will rampage across the western US in the last half of the year. Oil prices will decline to $30/barrel. The Dow Jones industrial average will break 40K. Interest rates will remain low. Employment levels will be very slow to recover to pre-COVID levels. Tensions between China and USA will increase, but will decrease between USA and Russia.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#26

Post by maxerickson » Thu, Dec 31, 2020, 9:56 PM UTC

AnimalMuppet wrote: post #3

Covid will be the breakthrough for working from home. It will continue even after Covid is no longer a factor. Joe Biden will be inaugurated on January 20, 2021. There will be some violence on or just after January 6 (certification of electoral college votes) and January 20, but it will be minor. Trump will rage and sulk, but Twitter will cancel his account on January 21 for violation of terms of service.

Trump will start his 2024 campaign, protecting his Twitter as a political candidate account.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#27

Post by jlizzle30 » Thu, Dec 31, 2020, 10:17 PM UTC

The year of the coworking space:

- Substantial number of tech workers remain remote as vaccines role out

- Remote workers crave community after covid lockdowns

- Commercial real estate is cheap

If remote is the future I expect to see mega coworking spaces filled with desks, gyms, spas, bars, workshops, etc. Will have the benefit of being able to choose who you're around every day and without the gaze of your company's HR department.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#28

Post by ploika » Thu, Dec 31, 2020, 10:17 PM UTC

Speaking from Ireland.

- Car traffic will be only slightly less than 2019 levels, despite rolling lockdowns all year.

- Brexit will start to be noticed on supermarket shelves.

- The built-up stresses of 2020/2021 will turn some relatively minor issue into a genuine political crisis, in a straw-that-broke-the-camel's-back situation. It might bring down the government.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#29

Post by copperwater69 » Thu, Dec 31, 2020, 10:18 PM UTC

BITCOIN $250K

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#30

Post by sureklix » Thu, Dec 31, 2020, 10:24 PM UTC

Here are some I've been thinking about:

- Eventually the virus mutates and becomes less lethal –it needs a healthy host population to survive. Evolution, not vaccines will drive normalization.\n - Cloud gaming explodes in Q1. Just before spring we will have a killer app for VR. - Much more paid-communities... - Close to the end of Q3, Apple starts creating a buzz around AR glasses.