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Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

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11–20 of 456 posts

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#11
Quantum computing will start making inroads to the mainstream. Large corporations will start using quantum computers and run quantum suitable algorithms such as quantum optimization ones.

More software libraries develop that use quantum algorithms in the backend.

One of the major company among IBM, Nvidia, Intel, Apple and AMD will release a prototype minimal viable Quantum Processing Unit (QPU) alongside CPU similar to GPUs.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#14
"AI" will become more democratized, regular developers will be able to `npm install` a dependency and benefit from per-trained models, GPT etc...

JavaScript frameworks will feel a lot faster with more accessible implementations of SSR and React finally shipping concurrent-mode.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#15

Covid will be the breakthrough for working from home. It will continue even after Covid is no longer a factor. Joe Biden will be inaugurated on January 20, 2021. There will be some violence on or just after January 6 (certification of electoral college votes) and January 20, but it will be minor. Trump will rage and sulk, but Twitter will cancel his account on January 21 for violation of terms of service.

> working from home

I think that a lot of people worked from home for the first time, but without the required preparations. Which left a bad taste and probably turned a lot of people off.

Working from home is not a universal experience, the experience varies if you live in villa or a one room apartment. Varies, if you're sharing the space. Varies, if you have had to take care of kids at the same time, etc...

I see a lot of people who couldn't wait to get back to the office even if it meant they had to wear a mask all day.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#16
post #14

"AI" will become more democratized, regular developers will be able to `npm install` a dependency and benefit from per-trained models, GPT etc... JavaScript frameworks will feel a lot faster with more accessible implementations of SSR and React finally shipping concurrent-mode.

You can already ‘pip install’ quite a bit (gensim being a prime example), but it takes some knowledge of how/why the general resource was trained to apply it to a business problem.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#17
post #14

"AI" will become more democratized, regular developers will be able to `npm install` a dependency and benefit from per-trained models, GPT etc... JavaScript frameworks will feel a lot faster with more accessible implementations of SSR and React finally shipping concurrent-mode.

You can already ‘pip install’ quite a bit (gensim being a prime example), but it takes some knowledge of how/why the general resource was trained to apply it to a business problem.

I think the big leap will happen when a "regular" developer (as in doesn't need to have any specific know-how), when they can just call simple APIs that hide all the complexity, Same way we don't need to know how a GPU works to render a red square in a browser window.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#18
A restructuring of commercial office real estate around coworking spaces, etc instead of offices dedicated to a company. In the short term this will be disastrous for traditional office real estate.

People still wear masks quite a bit.

Parents of children in closed school systems in the suburban US will get even more outraged as schools stay closed into 2021, with dramatic political consequences.

Finally the US succeeds at anti trust for some big tech, though not for more beloved brands like Apple

Post COVID, Massive explosion of travel and restaurant visiting causes tons of demand that the waning industry can’t meet.

Major industrialized countries have better surveillance for potential pandemics. It’s taken much more seriously.

The major issue shifts to something completely unexpected (not Covid) by years end

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#19
post #15

Covid will be the breakthrough for working from home. It will continue even after Covid is no longer a factor. Joe Biden will be inaugurated on January 20, 2021. There will be some violence on or just after January 6 (certification of electoral college votes) and January 20, but it will be minor. Trump will rage and sulk, but Twitter will cancel his account on January 21 for violation of terms of service.

> working from home I think that a lot of people worked from home for the first time, but without the required preparations. Which left a bad taste and probably turned a lot of people off. Working from home is not a universal experience, the experience varies if you live in villa or a one room apartment. Varies, if you're sharing the space. Varies, if you have had to take care of kids at the same time, etc... I see a…

Maybe. At the start of this year, my company was offering big bonuses to engineers who were willing to relocate to the newly-declared headquarters. Now they've decided that we are "remote first." I wonder how common this shift in attitude will be. Of course, it's possible that the executives will change their minds again once an office becomes a real possibility. But at the moment, they seem to love the idea of not having to pay for office rent in an expensive city anymore.

In any case, I think that what the executives and CEO want will trump what the individual workers prefer.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#20
- more psychedlic tech ipos; websites such as https://psilocybinalpha.com/ gain more tractions; I expect Compass Pathways (NASDAQ: CMPS) double in mkt cap

- Terence McKenna becomes more relevant again; recordings of McKenna's talks such as https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijA5RHTJaV4 reach million views

- if we look back in 2030, we'll see 2021 being the year that marks the beginning of the psychedelic renaissance

- as a consequnce of this, more VC money will be poured into BCI research & meditation tech; I expect headspace to ipo

- not optimistic about neuralink's consumer debut though

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