Excess mortality from March to December of 2020

Post by TaupeRanger » Sat, Dec 05, 2020, 4:13 AM UTC

centimeter wrote: post #21

TaupeRanger wrote: post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What do you mean? Those things will still be recorded normally.

I mean people will point to all-cause excess mortality as a justification to say "Coronavirus killed X million people" even if half of those were lockdown deaths.

Post by melolife » Sat, Dec 05, 2020, 4:50 AM UTC

vitiral wrote: post #28

I'm very confounded by the "Excess mortality by age group" data in the US. It _appears_ as if the mortality increase is _almost the same for all age groups_, especially at the beginning and after the initial hump. 15-64 yr olds had a 32% higher chance of dying at the hump and stayed above 11% for most of the year. Wow. All the previous findings were that COVID is _extremely unlikely_ to kill you if you are under 50,…

Post by culopatin » Sat, Dec 05, 2020, 4:59 AM UTC

just-juan-post wrote: post #8

Any purpose to this post other than scaring people? How about you compare things to previous years instead.

Post by [deleted] » Sat, Dec 05, 2020, 5:36 AM UTC

fred_is_fred wrote: post #12

hinkley wrote: post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know at least one person who’s having problems exacerbated by lack of mobility. Atrophy in old people can be a big problem. I would not go so far as to support anyone claiming this is why we should be breaking quarantine, but can’t quite support racking them all up as COVID deaths either. Reality is somewhere between the two (but close to “most” than “few”)

I am confused by this. Either this person is only mobile in indoor spaces for some reason or this person lives somewhere they were doing police checkpoints if you leave your house (like Bangalore). I've spent at least 2x more hours outside, walking, riding bikes, hiking, hitting golf balls, etc. There's nothing else to do but be outside. The fact that I don't have to go into the office and no longer can or want to vi…

Post by [deleted] » Sat, Dec 05, 2020, 5:48 AM UTC

eyelidlessness wrote: post #22

hinkley wrote: post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know at least one person who’s having problems exacerbated by lack of mobility. Atrophy in old people can be a big problem. I would not go so far as to support anyone claiming this is why we should be breaking quarantine, but can’t quite support racking them all up as COVID deaths either. Reality is somewhere between the two (but close to “most” than “few”)

There are quite a few risk increases associated with general shutdown. This is one with large impact. Another large impact is mental illness, in particular presenting in suicide and substance abuse. On the other side, many other common risks are reduced: workplace injury, other transmissible ailments. If the purpose of the analysis is to determine whether the preventive measure is effective and not overwrought, an ex…