Earlier quoted context omitted.
No, it's not extremely likely. Given that most browser exploits utilize some sort of a heap spray, a growing memory usage is almost standard pattern for a browser vuln.
The delay? The scroll bars? There is evidence that this is Flash. However, since everyone seems to want to attack individual parts of that evidence without applying Occam's Razor, I concede it could be something other than Flash. It could be Java, too. It could be a "standard browser exploit" too, whatever that is. Could be cosmic rays too. The tendency to look for ways to prove me wrong with an alternate theory (whi…
Let's apply Occam's razor: a) There is no reason why Flash (or another plugin) needs to take up a large amount of space on the page. If I were to write a flash exploit, it'd be a 1x1 object with whatever ActionScript that triggers the vulnerability, no need for a large area. b) VUPEN is a bunch of extremely talented folks and I believe they have little to gain by posting a fabricated exploit video. c) The delay can also be caused by a rather advanced heap-grooming technique, it can be JS garbage collection invoked many times, it can literally be them trying the payload numerous times. Implying it's probably flash is just as speculative as we're being.
Relax man, no one's disagreeing with you to be an asshole, no one's trying to argue with you, we're all just speculating.