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Could we reboot a modern civilization without fossil fuels? (2016)

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Re: Could we reboot a modern civilization without fossil fuels? (2016)

#81
I've seen no mention of the myriad other uses we make from petroleum other than transport uses. There's 144 (out of 6000) listed here. https://www.ranken-energy.com/index.php/products-made-from-p...

It would be a pretty bleak society without many of these never mind all of the various medicinal stuff such as antiseptics, antihistamines, vitamin capsules, cortisone, glycerin, asparin

Re: Could we reboot a modern civilization without fossil fuels? (2016)

#82

My impression is that the big road block to unlocking something like the industrial revolution is the precision of your tools. During the industrial revolution there were big advances in metal tools. Maudslay's development of a metal lathe that could be used to make metal tools was a huge step forward. I think if you can reach this point of development you should be able to make continued progress using non-fossil fu…

Charcoal is technically an unlimited renewable resource.

It won't go away baring climate shift but you're limited to 2 watts per square meter of forest cover, though, and that's forest you'll be tempted to turn into agricultural land.

Re: Could we reboot a modern civilization without fossil fuels? (2016)

#83

It's easy for me to end up existentially depressed if I go too far down this line of thinking. But, frankly, we are fucked here on Earth. We're consuming resources at an exponential rate with a population way, way outside what the planet can support sustainably. And we won't fix it before it's too late, because our base human nature wants more, bigger, better at the expense of all else. I'm with Musk on this, the onl…

If you can build a viable Mars colony, to say nothing of a working O’Neil cylinder, then you can make domes habitats on Earth, and much more cheaply and easily than either of the prior two options, right?

Re: Could we reboot a modern civilization without fossil fuels? (2016)

#84
post #29

Ringworld goes into this topic quite a bit, so it was interesting to me to see that the author is an astrobiologist who wrote "The Knowledge", about restarting civilization from scratch. Niven (who wrote Ringworld) also co-wrote "Lucifer's Hammer" with Jerry Pournelle, which was like a fun book version of a big-cast disaster movie, about a comet colliding with the earth in the mid-1970s. Lucifer's Hammer had some fai…

Add to this. With many of works of sci-fi and really really old species I wonder what is the realistic from stellar formation standpoint. So how long ago was there first planet with sufficient amount of metals to form an advanced civilisation? Or even hypothetical species living in space. It does take some time for stars to form go through life cycle and the release the heavier elements.

Re: Could we reboot a modern civilization without fossil fuels? (2016)

#85
post #70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How do you think they made iron before the industrial revolution? Hint: charcoal.

Going back to just pig iron would be pretty terrible. The Old World cleared nearly all of its forests getting to that point.

True, it wouldn't support anything close to the scale of steel production today.

But it could be a step in a bootstrap process. Build some hydro/nuclear/wind power plants, then you can start looking into hydrogen reduction for steel production.

Re: Could we reboot a modern civilization without fossil fuels? (2016)

#86

Rebooting with the current knowledge base, possibly. Booting from scratch with no fossil fuels, doubtful. I have long suspected that one of the Great Filters is the propensity of a planet to generate fossil energy. You will really only find large quantities of oil in a narrow range of circumstances, depending on specific levels of tectonic activity, duration and abundance of life, sedimentation patterns due to rainfa…

Imagine if Earth is entirely water. The poor fish can develop mega brains but they would still be more or less stuck under water with no real viable technologies.

I mean, aren't dolphins, whales and orcas already have pretty much close to human-level intelligence?

Re: Could we reboot a modern civilization without fossil fuels? (2016)

#87
post #70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How do you think they made iron before the industrial revolution? Hint: charcoal.

Going back to just pig iron would be pretty terrible. The Old World cleared nearly all of its forests getting to that point.

Enough people know that Wootz steel is possible through mixing wrought and cast iron in the right sort of vessel that we'd have at least some steel with decent carbon content. Or pattern welding will be fine for most things.

Re: Could we reboot a modern civilization without fossil fuels? (2016)

#88
post #58

My impression is that the big road block to unlocking something like the industrial revolution is the precision of your tools. During the industrial revolution there were big advances in metal tools. Maudslay's development of a metal lathe that could be used to make metal tools was a huge step forward. I think if you can reach this point of development you should be able to make continued progress using non-fossil fu…

What is the use of a precision tool without the metallurgy to go with them?

I think there might be some confusion here. Let me restate my argument to see if it clears things up.

I believe that if you can achieve precision tools you can use those tools to meet societies ongoing energy needs using renewable energy sources. This means that if you have non-fossil fuel energy sources available to advance metallurgy and toolmaking to the point you can make precision tools then you can reboot civilization without fossil fuels. I also think it is very likely that humans could do this but it might take longer than it did with fossil fuels.

Re: Could we reboot a modern civilization without fossil fuels? (2016)

#89
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can make coal from biomass, mainly wood (I'm not sure if some other plants could be used), but I guess it is antieconomical if you need lots of coal for high furnaces to make iron and/or steel.

it was economical in the middle ages for hundreds of years! But, having decent steel for your knights' armaments was also an existential concern for most power centers, a more peaceful society might deal with different economics.

For the demand of middle ages. Which wouldn't be nearly enough to even low level of industrialisation. For weapons and individual components and tools yes. But we can forget railways, ships, complex concrete structures. Basically most things large scale.

Re: Could we reboot a modern civilization without fossil fuels? (2016)

#90

I've seen no mention of the myriad other uses we make from petroleum other than transport uses. There's 144 (out of 6000) listed here. https://www.ranken-energy.com/index.php/products-made-from-p... It would be a pretty bleak society without many of these never mind all of the various medicinal stuff such as antiseptics, antihistamines, vitamin capsules, cortisone, glycerin, asparin

Not to downplay the importance of petroleum, but surely a lot of those things can be made without it as well. Aspirin for example?
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