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Danish study finds face masks provide limited protection to wearer

reuters.com

51–60 of 74 posts

Re: Danish study finds face masks provide limited protection to wearer

#51
I am going to disagree with the study based upon (1) the study didn't perform a proper experiment and are misinterpreting their results... and (2) basic particle/aerosol science. Finally I give a "close to home" ancedotal story.

(1) It only takes one non-masked, close-contact exposure to coronavirus to become infected... that it, mostly. how it is spreading. The study does not control for the exposure risk profile of the sample populations so... there you go. This study is next to worthless...

(2) There have already been numerous studies, recently, that cloth masks are effective at filtering out particles, even down to 1-5 microns in some cases. Most cloth face masks are very effective and filtering larger particles (50-250 microns). Particle mass/volume scale with the particle diameter to the third power (i.e. V=1.33PIR^3 or 0.166PID^3). So a 100 micron particle contains 1000 times more mass/volume or viral load than an 10 micron particle and a million times more than a 1 micron particle. Thus is most important to filter the big particles in reducing viral load expelled by infected individual and breathed in by others. Cloth face masks, and surgical masks are pretty good at doing this. N95 and KN95 are already well tested in this area. So while masks can't filter out all virus... they are pretty good a significantly reducing the viral load which is important.

(3) I know people at work who became infected at a party and came to work for days while they were unknowingly infected. But thus far, there have been no "at work" coronavirus transmission cases because we wear good masks. Thus far this is true at our other sites as well. I know a local state epidemiologist who remarked to me that the overall rate of transmission in the workplace, for places with good mask protocols, is remarkably low.

Re: Danish study finds face masks provide limited protection to wearer

#52
post #33

I guess I could say I'm "mask skeptical" even though I do wear one to conform to social pressure. I wish the conversation would move on from "do masks work?" to "do they work well enough to be worth the cost?" Because I think the costs are being significantly underestimated. We are social creatures. All of the joy has been taken out of routine daily activities. Putting on a mask at the supermarket entrance as if you'…

There's plenty of evidence mask campaigns slow transmission. It's not fun but I see it as a minuscule sacrifice for me to wear a mask to the grocery store if it saves even one person a trip to the hospital. The sad reality is the grocery store _is_ a contaminated danger zone, and will be until we get this thing under control.

The sliver of good news is that lowering the growth rate just slightly from above 1.0 to below will cause the epidemic to shrink dramatically. It's not like we need to reduce transmission by 100%.

Not that you asked for it but my advice to you is to find more sources of joy in your daily life that aren't so affected. If you're bored shoot me an e-mail, I have plenty of extra projects :)

Re: Danish study finds face masks provide limited protection to wearer

#53
post #33

I guess I could say I'm "mask skeptical" even though I do wear one to conform to social pressure. I wish the conversation would move on from "do masks work?" to "do they work well enough to be worth the cost?" Because I think the costs are being significantly underestimated. We are social creatures. All of the joy has been taken out of routine daily activities. Putting on a mask at the supermarket entrance as if you'…

Ignoring the people who are obviously just complaining about masks for ideological/"Karen" reasons, I have to say I've been totally caught off guard during this pandemic by the existence of people like you (not in a critical way). I can relate to it feeling a little awkward at first wearing a mask in public in a culture that doesn't usually do that, but, despite being a social person and sympathizing with the social…

This might make you even more surprised about my existence, but I'm not entirely unsympathetic to the "ideological" types.

Let me put it another way: why weren't you wearing a mask during flu season every year? Or, given that Covid will probably exist in some form for many years to come (even with a vaccine), when will you stop wearing one?

Because you could make a case for mandatory mask wearing at all times, forever, using the same logic that's currently being employed: "it's only a minor inconvenience and if it saves even one life, it's worth it".

Presumably you won't wear a mask forever: you'll make a personal decision, based on data or gut feeling, that the "effect size" of mask wearing is no longer worth the inconvenience. You were already making that calculation, implicitly, when you chose not to wear a mask during flu season last year.

That calculation will be different for every individual. Which is why I don't think any of us is really in a position to judge another person when the parameters of the calculation are different for them. Ultimately, the differing parameters of that calculation are what we call "ideology".

To return to my original point, it's also why we vitally need an open discussion on the "effect size" of wearing a mask. If it's large (I suspect it is not), then it gives more weight to the idea that all the Karens should just shut up and wear one. If it's small, there's a lot more room for personal choice.

Re: Danish study finds face masks provide limited protection to wearer

#54
post #33

I guess I could say I'm "mask skeptical" even though I do wear one to conform to social pressure. I wish the conversation would move on from "do masks work?" to "do they work well enough to be worth the cost?" Because I think the costs are being significantly underestimated. We are social creatures. All of the joy has been taken out of routine daily activities. Putting on a mask at the supermarket entrance as if you'…

There's plenty of evidence mask campaigns slow transmission. It's not fun but I see it as a minuscule sacrifice for me to wear a mask to the grocery store if it saves even one person a trip to the hospital. The sad reality is the grocery store _is_ a contaminated danger zone, and will be until we get this thing under control. The sliver of good news is that lowering the growth rate just slightly from above 1.0 to bel…

> There's plenty of evidence mask campaigns slow transmission

By how much do they slow transmission?

> It's not fun but I see it as a minuscule sacrifice for me to wear a mask to the grocery store if it saves even one person a trip to the hospital

People go to hospital with flu every year. You or I might have unknowingly spread it around and caused someone to go to hospital before. Will you wear a mask every flu season, forever? It's worth it if it saves even one person a trip to the hospital, right?

Re: Danish study finds face masks provide limited protection to wearer

#55
post #4

>In the study, which was carried out in April and May when Danish authorities did not recommend wearing face masks, 6,024 adults were divided into two groups, one wearing face masks and one control group. >After one month, 1.8% of the people wearing masks had been infected, while 2.1% of the people in the control group had tested positive, Copenhagen University Hospital said in a press release. >The study does not co…

0.3% better chance for wearing a piece of cloth over a face - for a mild inconvenience. I'll take it anytime still.

I've seen accounts of maraton runners not able to run a 1K months after recovering.

I'll take 0.3% over nothing, thanks.

Also noteworthy, that is 10% less of a chance of getting infected. If you were to get infected.

Re: Danish study finds face masks provide limited protection to wearer

#57
post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Only 6% of the subjects in that study were asymptomatic by their definition. I think this is a confusion of asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic: most cases will have a few days of pre-symptomatic infection regardless of the symptoms they have later.

I think it might be a good point but I’m not quite understanding. Why does 6% matter if the statistical significance works out? Also I can’t seem to see how you’re saying the study has asymptomatic and presymptomatic confused. (I don’t have a great background in all this so I could def be missing this.)

The study is fine, but the way it's using the word "asymptomatic" is not consistent with the conclusion you drew from it, and the 6% shows why. A case which is "asymptomatic" in the study has no noticeable symptoms through the whole course of infection. If you know in advance that you're that kind of case, then you're less likely to spread the disease. But 94% of cases are not that kind of case, and no test except waiting a couple of weeks can distinguish asymptomatic from pre-symptomatic. Information that's not available until 14 days from now can't be used to determine who should wear a mask today.

https://www.who.int/news-room/q-a-detail/coronavirus-disease...

"What is the difference between people who are asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic? Don’t they both mean someone without symptoms?"

"Both terms refer to people who do not have symptoms. The difference is that ‘asymptomatic’ refers to people who are infected but never develop any symptoms, while ‘pre-symptomatic’ refers to infected people who have not yet developed symptoms but go on to develop symptoms later."

Re: Danish study finds face masks provide limited protection to wearer

#58

I thought that it was accepted that the main benefit was in protecting other people. I wear a mask and a transparent face shield together. I believe that this combination offers me some protection and a lot of protection for people near me, so it seems like an obvious thing to do. BTW, I find cloth masks not so comfortable, but the plastic face shield is no real additional discomfort at all.

I can't find a source right now but I remember reading that people were more likely to wear a mask if they think it protects themselves rather than those around you, so there's some humanitarian value in pushing that narrative even if it's not technically true.

A more honest narrative is to shame people not wearing masks as selfish irresponsible dunces.

Re: Danish study finds face masks provide limited protection to wearer

#59
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's plenty of evidence mask campaigns slow transmission. It's not fun but I see it as a minuscule sacrifice for me to wear a mask to the grocery store if it saves even one person a trip to the hospital. The sad reality is the grocery store _is_ a contaminated danger zone, and will be until we get this thing under control. The sliver of good news is that lowering the growth rate just slightly from above 1.0 to bel…

> There's plenty of evidence mask campaigns slow transmission By how much do they slow transmission? > It's not fun but I see it as a minuscule sacrifice for me to wear a mask to the grocery store if it saves even one person a trip to the hospital People go to hospital with flu every year. You or I might have unknowingly spread it around and caused someone to go to hospital before. Will you wear a mask every flu seas…

I would have no problem with mask to be adopted as a thing that people do.

Try changing this argument from 'wearing masks' to 'washing hands' or wearing seatbelt.

Re: Danish study finds face masks provide limited protection to wearer

#60
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I appreciate the intention, but this is the sort of approach that leads to a long-term distrust of what 'the scientists' say - if we let politicians dictate the scientific message and consensus, then there's no room to criticize when the scientific message gets politicized and ignored.

In comparison with conspiracy theories, populism, outrage culture, and people getting their news from facebook, I'm pretty sure this is a drop in the ocean when it comes to distrust of scientists. Also, let's assume the facts are that masks are 5-10% effective in protecting the wearer. The phrases "masks can protect you" or "masks have little effect in protecting you" are both true from a scientific point of view, ag…

You mean the first phrasing, not the latter, do you?
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