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Looking for Voter Fraud (In Old Elections) with Data Visualization

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Re: Looking for Voter Fraud (In Old Elections) with Data Visualization

#451

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s really really difficult to do either of those things, especially in vote by mail. In Washington, for instance, I can see who is registered, who voted in a given election, and match that to the vote totals.

I live in Washington state. There is someone registered to vote on my street who has voted, consistently, since 2012 - The year the resident by that name moved out. We have raised the issue to the Secretary of State’s office, and they have sent out a mailer for the resident to confirm their address .

That just means a different person is voting at worst. It’s not an extra vote.

Re: Looking for Voter Fraud (In Old Elections) with Data Visualization

#452

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There really couldn’t be, no. The mechanisms by which people think there could are easily falsified.

Are you saying voter fraud can't be a victimless crime? What "couldn't be"? How do you falsify me voting for my grandmother with dementia? My grandma will never know, and neither will anyone else. Look, I am more into data-driven policy than the vast majority of people. But the data saying you don't need to make a change is not the same as the data saying you shouldn't make a change.

You must be very good at forging your grandmother’s signature. Like I said, easily falsifiable.

Re: Looking for Voter Fraud (In Old Elections) with Data Visualization

#453

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are you saying voter fraud can't be a victimless crime? What "couldn't be"? How do you falsify me voting for my grandmother with dementia? My grandma will never know, and neither will anyone else. Look, I am more into data-driven policy than the vast majority of people. But the data saying you don't need to make a change is not the same as the data saying you shouldn't make a change.

> How do you falsify me voting for my grandmother with dementia? My grandma will never know, and neither will anyone else. Yes, you could absolutely do that. But you can't swing an election that way.

It’s harder than you think. Signature verification is real and works.

Re: Looking for Voter Fraud (In Old Elections) with Data Visualization

#454
post #351

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s really really difficult to do either of those things, especially in vote by mail. In Washington, for instance, I can see who is registered, who voted in a given election, and match that to the vote totals.

There's only a handful of states that actually matter in an election. Do we have these numbers for Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania?

I'm pretty sure you do, yes.

Re: Looking for Voter Fraud (In Old Elections) with Data Visualization

#455

Earlier quoted context omitted.

99% of the Democrats and 98% of the republicans including present leadership disagree with your assessment. If your position weakens any further it wont even have one seat in congress. In a democracy a position that virtually nobody cares for is dead.

Trusting the people to hold the government to the Constitution may have been the fatal flaw. I know that being a Constitutional idealist is a weak position. I feel that is very unfortunate. The Constitution was intended to protect against human natures of avarice and corruption and limit to paths to tyrannical government. Every time the Constitution is weakened the paths to corruption and tyranny are widened.

Allowing a minority of welfare states to extract the money and blood of the united states while voting in their representative to oversee the extraction literally weakens the constitutional protections afforded to everyone as we have seen in the last 20 years.

Re: Looking for Voter Fraud (In Old Elections) with Data Visualization

#456

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because state sizes are massively lopsided. Split California into 6 states and they could still each have more population than many other ones. In your system, they not have 6 times as much total power. How does THAT make sense?

Because they are 1 of 50 states. A state is a single member of a union. The influence of a state should not be determined by geographic size or population. The compromise of quantity of electoral votes was in response to your argument. I am saying that it was a poor compromise that has resulted in eroding the protections of the electoral college as populations have grown. What we have is like saying the fat guy in th…

No, it's like saying 100 people living in one house get the same say as 1 person living in another house.

You literally used people in your example!

Re: Looking for Voter Fraud (In Old Elections) with Data Visualization

#457

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Trusting the people to hold the government to the Constitution may have been the fatal flaw. I know that being a Constitutional idealist is a weak position. I feel that is very unfortunate. The Constitution was intended to protect against human natures of avarice and corruption and limit to paths to tyrannical government. Every time the Constitution is weakened the paths to corruption and tyranny are widened.

Allowing a minority of welfare states to extract the money and blood of the united states while voting in their representative to oversee the extraction literally weakens the constitutional protections afforded to everyone as we have seen in the last 20 years.

Wouldn't an appropriate response to welfare bleeding the coffers be to stop the welfare? It obviously cannot be controlled.

edit: removed "properly" as I don't think there is a proper way to control welfare.

Re: Looking for Voter Fraud (In Old Elections) with Data Visualization

#458

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think I speak for all of us when I say that nobody is going to validate that weird Twitter thread you posted, no matter what happens at SCOTUS.

Of course not, I’ve already said so. Are you being willfully ignorant?

I'm interested in discussing facts, I'm not interested in playing "Time for some game theory" on HN. Sorry.

Re: Looking for Voter Fraud (In Old Elections) with Data Visualization

#459
post #109
post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think there's two difference that make it less problematic in Australia: - The Australian Senate has significantly less influence on politics than the US President - Senate seats aren't distributed per-state on a "winner takes all basis" - rather in rough proportion to the number of votes each party gets. This means that smaller states with outsized influence are still going to be electing a mix of representatives…

> The Australian Senate has significantly less influence on politics than the US President This is true, but the non-representitive effects on the Australian senate are much higher than in the electoral college. > Senate seats aren't distributed per-state on a "winner takes all basis" - rather in rough proportion to the number of votes each party gets. No argument with this at all - I think most kinds of voting that…

> the non-representitive effects on the Australian senate are much higher than in the electoral college.

Yeah not gonna lie, I was genuinely shocked to see that Tas holds as much votes as NSW and Vic.

>I think most kinds of voting that aren't first-past-the-post

Yep, I just wish they were easier to explain!

Run-off voting is hard to justify to angry relatives who are incensed that the person who got the second (or third, god forbid!) most 1st pref votes somehow ended up winning.

Re: Looking for Voter Fraud (In Old Elections) with Data Visualization

#460

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I live in Washington state. There is someone registered to vote on my street who has voted, consistently, since 2012 - The year the resident by that name moved out. We have raised the issue to the Secretary of State’s office, and they have sent out a mailer for the resident to confirm their address .

That just means a different person is voting at worst. It’s not an extra vote.

You don't think that the person who's living at the address also has their name on the voter roll?
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