>...one of the standard steps is to shift traffic off of one of the redundant routers in the primary EBS network to allow the upgrade to happen. The traffic shift was executed incorrectly... This supports the theory that between 50%-80% of outages are caused by human error, regardless of the resilience of the underlying infrastructure.
Not quite - in this case, a single human error then triggered a series of latent and undiscovered bugs in the system itself. It's a confluence of small events that makes for a large-scale problem like this.