Earlier quoted context omitted.
In 1978 California passed the ill-conceived Proposition 13 which encourages people to keep houses rather than sell them through lower tax rates for longer ownership. California has almost 40M residents and Oregon has a bit over 4M, even a fraction of those 40M going north to Oregon is going to overload the housing market there.
> even a fraction of those 40M going north to Oregon is going to overload the housing market there. Oregon just needs to build more housing.
Tech Workers Take to the Mountains, Bringing Silicon Valley with Them
131–140 of 294 posts
Re: Tech Workers Take to the Mountains, Bringing Silicon Valley with Them
#132People have been talking about this on HN for a few months now, and I never took it seriously since these threads are always filled with people quoting numbers saying it's not happening. That was until last month, when two tech workers from San Francisco moved into the neighborhood. Both have the same story: Their company went work-from-home when the pandemic started, then made it permanent, so the company employees…
That's what makes it appealing to a lot of people who have been living around millions of other people. Soon many of these places will no longer be cheap and far away from other people. It'll be interesting to see how today's cultural conflicts play out when the more left-leaning, urban remote workers move en masse to smaller, more right-leaning, less urban places.
SV had become a total thought bubble, with the average tech worker having either no conception or a very negative conception of how most of the country lives outside of the large urban areas.
Moving into areas with lots of moderates or conservatives will be a good learning experience. I don't expect people to change their ideology, but I do expect much more tolerance from them than what I've seen in recent years.
Re: Tech Workers Take to the Mountains, Bringing Silicon Valley with Them
#133Earlier quoted context omitted.
So right now it's 5pm PST, end of the work day for many. It's 8AM in Saigon. You really think people are going to work from midnight to 8am? And sometimes later in the morning depending on the situation? And this is going to be a massive trend?
If your company can operate on EST, yeah, the hours almost work out. Lines up even better on India Standard Time. For PST, central Europe is perfect. 6pm-2am workday is pretty doable.
6pm-2am is doable if you're a) a very late night person, and b) without kids. I don't think this generalizes to a large percentage of people, and it can easily go well past 2am. It's less unreasonable to think people may still be working or responding to something at 8/9 or even 10pm PST, but if that's now 4/5/6am for someone in Europe, that's pretty rough. You'll also not be able to line up your meals very easily.
Re: Tech Workers Take to the Mountains, Bringing Silicon Valley with Them
#134Earlier quoted context omitted.
That's what makes it appealing to a lot of people who have been living around millions of other people. Soon many of these places will no longer be cheap and far away from other people. It'll be interesting to see how today's cultural conflicts play out when the more left-leaning, urban remote workers move en masse to smaller, more right-leaning, less urban places.
The dispersal of bay area tech workers will be good for the country, if we can avoid breaking down in the immediate future. SV had become a total thought bubble, with the average tech worker having either no conception or a very negative conception of how most of the country lives outside of the large urban areas. Moving into areas with lots of moderates or conservatives will be a good learning experience. I don't ex…
Re: Tech Workers Take to the Mountains, Bringing Silicon Valley with Them
#135Earlier quoted context omitted.
If your company can operate on EST, yeah, the hours almost work out. Lines up even better on India Standard Time. For PST, central Europe is perfect. 6pm-2am workday is pretty doable.
The GP said "Especially in Southeast Asia," not Europe. 6pm-2am is doable if you're a) a very late night person, and b) without kids. I don't think this generalizes to a large percentage of people, and it can easily go well past 2am. It's less unreasonable to think people may still be working or responding to something at 8/9 or even 10pm PST, but if that's now 4/5/6am for someone in Europe, that's pretty rough. You'…
People with kids aren't going to relocate their family internationally unless they already had family roots there.
Anecdotally, the people I personally know that love SE Asia and would seriously consider or already did WFH from there were all in the 20-30s age group and had no problem maintaining US working times. The biggest draw of SE Asia other than the super low COL is that its beautiful outside. The outdoors is best enjoyed during daylight, so the timezone offset is a plus for them.
Re: Tech Workers Take to the Mountains, Bringing Silicon Valley with Them
#136Earlier quoted context omitted.
That's what makes it appealing to a lot of people who have been living around millions of other people. Soon many of these places will no longer be cheap and far away from other people. It'll be interesting to see how today's cultural conflicts play out when the more left-leaning, urban remote workers move en masse to smaller, more right-leaning, less urban places.
It's not about left right. It's about rural vs urban and have money vs not. Everything that's terrible and soul crushing about a tourism economy is about to happen to random places that have thus far been spared that fate.
There's a high correlation between population and political in the US:
> There's a decisive break between Democratic and Republican support at a population density of 800 persons/per square mile.
* https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2013-04-01/how-the-d...
See also Canada:
* https://www.macleans.ca/politics/ottawa/338canada-the-urban-...
Also, in recent years/decades there has been high correlation between education levels and political leanings. Piketty, in his most recent book Capital and Ideology, made an interesting observation: up until the 1980s blue collar works tended to vote for more-Left parties and white collar (more educated?) workers for more-Right parties. Then in the the 1980s and 1990s it swapped to the point that the more educated you are the more Left-ish you are likely to vote. And this phenomenon is true in basically all Western countries.
Re: Tech Workers Take to the Mountains, Bringing Silicon Valley with Them
#137Earlier quoted context omitted.
There's a narrow slice between San Mateo and Santa Clara that has great weather. Anything North or West is cold and foggy. South Bay and East Bay pushes 100F for 3 months a year. And this is before you consider that we now have 1-2 months of smoke season.
For the south bay it's not 3 months of the year, 100F lasts for like 2-3 weeks at most (actually realistically it's more like 95-100). It's the same for socal. Socal has about 2-3 weeks in the summer where the temps become sweltering. Even within LA the temperatures vary, the closer you are to the coastline the better the weather. I know because I grew up in the south bay, I lived in SF for 2 years and lived in LA fo…
Re: Tech Workers Take to the Mountains, Bringing Silicon Valley with Them
#138Re: Tech Workers Take to the Mountains, Bringing Silicon Valley with Them
#139I saw a great quote recently that said something like “Everyone loves work from home until you lose a deal to the competition that turned up to your customer in person.” There’s an element of truth to this. Best advice I’ve heard is to say the draw for living in a city may go away but you need to be close. Living in the middle of nowhere isn’t going to look like such a great idea when people start gathering together…
Re: Tech Workers Take to the Mountains, Bringing Silicon Valley with Them
#140Earlier quoted context omitted.
You can't reduce things to one dimension, I agree, but I disagree that left vs right is unimportant. When largely liberal city people migrate into largely conservative places, there's gonna be some conflict. Not to mention a lot of these tech workers are liberal and have money, so they'll be empowered to support changes that the locals may not be on board with but also may not have the means to combat effectively.
I agree with your first two sentences, then I think you loose your way. SFO is a 'liberal' city, but the idea the tech people are majority liberal as well needs a strong does of supporting evidence. My own observation is that much like the rest of the rest of the populace, it's a spectrum. I have talked to many SFO folks looking to move out of there specifically because they want to be somewhere 'conservative', usual…
Edit: see I'm even being downvoted by them now :D