Lots of overnight tragedies, no overnight miracles

Lots of overnight tragedies, no overnight miracles
collaborativefund.com

Once you lose, you generally have lost some resources or access to resources, so now you have less resources. Having less resources, you are less likely to be able to take some resources and try to win again?

Winning means you have more resources or greater access to resources, meaning you can try again.

The unfortunate part is in the losing cycle, you can get stuck at zero... you lost and hit zero... now you have no resources and no way to get out of your situation.

But I guess that would be seen as 'inflammatory' -when in fact it goes to exactly the same disjoin between statistics, and experiental sense. Nobody who doubts in AGW thinks the changes represent systemic, across the board, movement in time. They just think "its always been this variable" and miss the year on year accumulating effect.

Of course, knowing this doesn't help much when you're facing catastrophe that damages your own well being, and past performance is an unreliable predictor of future results. It's even possible we could see a reversal of many (or all) of these generally progressive trends if there is an unprecedented, massive collapse in the global economy.

But when the noise in your head of 'all the terrible things happening' is getting too loud, it can ease the stress a bit to remember that the trend is still upward in a lot of really amazing ways. When the chips are down, there's always tomorrow, and your odds of bouncing back better than before usually aren't as poor as it feels like in those moments of loss. And while it may not work for everyone, I personally take some comfort when I'm down thinking about all those out there who've been working a long time for a big win and finally got one today.