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We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

thebellows.org

111–120 of 397 posts

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#112

I agree, but why set up a false dichotomy? Nuclear energy should be part of a "Green New Deal", which shouldn't just be about energy, but pragmatic environmentalism in all fields.

I always say this whenever nuclear conversations come up: > It isn't nuclear vs renewables, it is nuclear + renewables vs renewables. You use the best technology for the local environment and situations. Why take something off the table? Seems like the author is buying into the common false dichotomy because it is more sensational.

It largely is a dichotomy, because nuclear power largely makes wind and solar redundant. Peak energy demand occurs right around or after sundown. If we're going to fulfill this demand with nuclear, then we could just run the nuclear plants all day long and build no solar or wind.

Solar and wind are a good complement to natural gas. We can dial back the gas when the intermittent sources of energy are producing. This both saves carbon and money, since fuel is a substantial portion of a gas plant', operating cost.

By comparison, a nuclear plant costs just as much to run at maximum capacity all day long as it does at partial capacity. If you have enough nuclear plants to full peak demand, which coincides with the trough of renewables' generation, then just run the plants at full capacity all day and skip building renewables.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#113

I agree, but why set up a false dichotomy? Nuclear energy should be part of a "Green New Deal", which shouldn't just be about energy, but pragmatic environmentalism in all fields.

I always say this whenever nuclear conversations come up: > It isn't nuclear vs renewables, it is nuclear + renewables vs renewables. You use the best technology for the local environment and situations. Why take something off the table? Seems like the author is buying into the common false dichotomy because it is more sensational.

It's not a false dichotomy. Beyond a certain level of renewable penetration, nuclear's business case degrades, as the price of power is depressed too often for the NPPs to earn their keep. Nuclear and renewables are both inflexible sources, in their own ways, and they both use up the grid's capacity to deal with inflexible sources.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#114
post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Define short term; I think by the time a reactor you start today comes online, we are already pretty screwed

I don't know. The science and engineering has quietly moved quite a bit over the last 40 years. These [0] SMRs can, for example - there are several other approaches - can be assembled on a standard assembly line, shipped in a couple of C-Containers, and stood up on a concrete pad (well, not exactly, but close enough that I don't feel like complicating the point. [0]: https://www.nuscalepower.com/

The best time to build nuclear would have been in the 1980s.

However, when we tried to build again back in 2008, it turned to failure. In areas with highly supportive populations that want the nuclear jobs in their community, with an NRC that changed processes to try to make it easier to get approval, we are still 12 years in, way behind schedule, and 2-3x over budget, without a solid feel for when we will star pushing electrons with the new reactors.

Last I heard, NuScale is hoping to hit a cost of $55/MWh. That's about the current cost of wind/solar and the storage to make it dispatchable. Meaning that by the time they finally ship, it will be a more expensive option for firm low-carbon energy than the current options we have.

So not only is NuScale aiming at a not-so-desirable target, by the time it can deliver its first 10GW, it's quite likely that the renewables will be curtailed for much of the year, meaning that we have extra generation capacity that goes unused, which is likely to spur a huge round of economic innovation for that energy.

I would hate to get stuck with the path dependence of nuclear. Renewables are so cheap that they open up a ton more doors for society.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#115
Does anybody know a company or institution that they trust to operate a reactor for decades with the right safety standard? Everywhere safety is being cut back if it reduces profits. We may have the technology for safe nuclear energy but we lack the right society.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#116
post #34

The Green New Deal is at worst nuclear-neutral in favor of stressing wind and solar. Biden's climate plan, which has a bunch of the same stakeholders and says the GND is a great idea, is on top of that more explicitly and vocally in favor of reactor development and a focus on efficiency improvements and waste processing and reclamation. Hell, even greenpeace has been pro-reactor for a while now. I don't see a short-t…

> Hell, even greenpeace has been pro-reactor for a while now. Hrm. Do you have a reference for where you read about Greenpeace's stance on reactor development? Their nuclear energy page[1] currently says: "Nuclear energy has no place in a safe, clean, sustainable future." [1] - https://www.greenpeace.org/usa/global-warming/issues/nuclear...

i think i misremembered. Weird!

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#117
post #77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, it removes ONE funding obstacle because as the OP I replied to says cost increased with the 4th power of the size, but that just means you move to the next limiting factor: the neutron blanket, designing to be able to swap out the shielding, etc. We are still VERY far away from practical fusion. The fact that we know what the current limiting factors are doesn't mean that once we overcome those hurdles that we'l…

I wonder if that General Fusion design has any benefit here? It’s basically a swirling sphere of molten lead that is injected with a bubble of hydrogen plasma and then a bunch of pistons pump the volume down to collapse the bubble to create fusion conditions. It seems that that the lead might provide neutron shielding and is also the carrier fluid for the excess heat. Who knows if it actually works but the simplicity…

I don't think GF has a realistic chance of making a workable reactor. They've already given up on the acoustic compression scheme, and the slow compression scheme they are now following has a metal post down the middle of the chamber, unshielded from average neutron fluxes that will, at the center, be orders of magnitude higher than in more conventional reactors.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#118
We might want new nucelar power plants for industrial centers. But what we certainly shouldn't be doing is using them as an excuse to propagate the idea of a centralized grid of power authorities distributing power nationally or globally.

Centralized grids are incredibly expensive, difficult to manage, and introduce single points of failure in the physical and information domains. We should be doing everything we can to decentralize our grids, promote distributed power generation and storage in urban and commercial installments, and focus on letting the municipal levels of government coordinate bulk storage appropriate to their needs.

Folks get so worked up about highly efficient new nuclear power plants that they forget about transit and storage, or argue that these aspects shouldn't be considered. Both ideas are deleterious to making a modern, resilient power infrastructure that's able to adapt to climate change, changes in the economic environment, and the increasing pace of modern technology in the space of power storage and delivery.

Until these goals can coexist with the call for a "nuclear new deal", we should view them for what they are: short-sighted and misguided attempts to make profit off a need without considering the actual long term goals that society has.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#119
post #107

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's a weird world view. University of Sussex researchers are "biased" but you link to the Nuclear Innovation Alliance?

I think the implication is that the Nuclear Innovation Alliance is biased but still making a good point.

Yes, exactly.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#120

There was an article posted on HN a while back, “Why nuclear power will never supply the world's energy needs”. Not sure if the information is now dated, but I always think about it when I see articles like these. https://phys.org/news/2011-05-nuclear-power-world-energy.htm...

This article makes some good points but forgets this: our knowledge increases constantly. So today's reactors might not be able to scale well, but the more we build the better we are at it.

Some knowledge we gain is negative. We've learned nuclear wasn't as promising as had been claimed.

More generally, in engineering most technologies must fail. That's because there are multiple technologies that can solve any given problem, and only one can come out on top. The number of niches If you think just wait, we'll learn more and nuclear wins, why doesn't that same argument apply to the technologies nuclear is competing against?

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