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If pay had kept pace with productivity gains, minimum wage would be $24 an hour

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Re: If pay had kept pace with productivity gains, minimum wage would be $24 an hour

#391

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Median (average) measures are the refuge of the scoundrel. Refuting the (willful) abuse of statistics is like trying to refute numerology with reason.

Refuting numerology with reason works quite well for most people.

Indeed. I eagerly await the day reason reigns supreme. Imagine! No more Reagonomics, anti-vax, flat earthers, birthers, pizza gate, qanon, powerpoint, climate skepticism, creationism, 9/11 truthers, Bell Curve, etc.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brandolini%27s_law

Re: If pay had kept pace with productivity gains, minimum wage would be $24 an hour

#392

Earlier quoted context omitted.

These "laws and regulations" still apply to the agency that hires those workers. You're simply paying for them to carry the risk. You can argue that such agencies are more likely to disregard laws and regulations, but how would you fix that? With laws and regulations?

If Big Publicly Listed Company A contracts with Small Fly-by-Night LLC B to provide workers to vacuum and empty wastebaskets, and it turns out that LLC B is illegally withholding wages, then Company A could be partially liable because they should have done due diligence and picked reputable law-abiding suppliers. I can think of a couple different legal metaphors for this: 1. Something similar to banking's Know-Your-C…

And in practice, it just doesn't happen much.

For instance, how likely are your Fly-by-night employee or sub-sub-contractor to rat out the Fly-by-night? They may get a beating, their checks withheld, the Fly-by-night go under.

If it still happens, Big Publicly Listed company pays for it to go away in a settlement.

If it goes to court, they Big Company can say "we work very diligently to avoid this situation in the future and what happened is in no way indicative of our values".

Etc.

Re: If pay had kept pace with productivity gains, minimum wage would be $24 an hour

#393
post #381

There's a lot of reasons for this but one of the largest is the near invisible (to me) structural shift from direct hire to contractors for jobs at the lower end of the wage/salary spectrum. There is a fantastic long form article that articulates this better than I can at: https://highline.huffingtonpost.com/articles/en/poor-millenn... The portion relevant to this discussion: "Thirty years ago, she says, you could wa…

> let’s be honest, its actual purpose—is that workers get a lot less out of their jobs than they used to. Do you really belive there is a collective of business owners who thought "yeah, let's outsource everything, because f..k employees"? Obviously it's about specialization. Why a software house should hire a cleaning lady? They are not in the business of cleaning, they know nothing about it and they don't want to e…

It is also about the time consuming reality of being an employer. You have to advertise jobs, find applicants and hire someone, cover holidays and sickness, deal with poor performance. All of that takes time.

I honestly think that having people in house to do these kind of jobs can be a benefit. A good receptionist for example can be a real asset. But they are hard to find.

Re: If pay had kept pace with productivity gains, minimum wage would be $24 an hour

#394
post #379

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, and pressure their system and degrade their standards, they've build over years themselves (in 1900 Sweden was not much different than a third world country today). Why do those other people get some automatic raise?

> Why do those other people get some automatic raise? Because other people are constantly told how great Europe/Scandinavia is. So these 'other people' just want to have good life by moving there.

This is understandable (wanting it). Getting it is another thing. I want some of Bezos' money too, but my chances are slim :-)

Re: If pay had kept pace with productivity gains, minimum wage would be $24 an hour

#395
post #333

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The minimum wage does not naturally rise The minimum amount of money you have to pay for someone to show up for any job rises (and falls) alongside demand for labor in the broader economy. > Under our current system that heavily favors returning productivity gains to capital instead of labor... If you look at the profit margins of those companies that employ a lot of low-end labor, you will find that they're genera…

> The minimum amount of money you have to pay for someone to show up for any job rises (and falls) alongside demand for labor in the broader economy. Oh, what that it were so simple. There are far more factors governing "market wages", which you are describing, including labor supply at a given skill level, automation, political representation of laborers vs employers, and how that representation manifests as power i…

> The "minimum wage" specifically is a policy designed to put a floor under the standard of living of people whose market wages in the economy would provide a standard of living below what the society considers humane. Some societies have no such humanity based floor.

Maybe that's the intention, but what a minimum wage actually does is remove the possibility for anyone to work below an arbitrary number of dollars.

If that value is lower than the going market rate for low-skilled labor, minimum wage makes no difference.

Above that, it removes more and more people from the "eligible to work" pool. There's nothing humane about preventing people from being able to work, especially when you don't have a welfare system to pick up those who are now doomed to unemployment.

Re: If pay had kept pace with productivity gains, minimum wage would be $24 an hour

#396
Offshoring low skill labor will increase gdp per capita without increasing low skill productivity in the home country. How much of the "productivity gains" in USA comes from that? It isn't fair that the money we save by paying a Chinese laborer less should be used to make the wealth gap between Chinese labor and American labor even wider. If anything you should argue that companies should pay their offshore labor more before they pay their American labor more. If there is any money left after we increased all offshore labor to American standards we can pay them more, but not before that. That is what would happen if we apply fair labor rules. The current system is what we get if we use market rates.

Re: If pay had kept pace with productivity gains, minimum wage would be $24 an hour

#397
post #359

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The minimum wage does not naturally rise The minimum amount of money you have to pay for someone to show up for any job rises (and falls) alongside demand for labor in the broader economy. > Under our current system that heavily favors returning productivity gains to capital instead of labor... If you look at the profit margins of those companies that employ a lot of low-end labor, you will find that they're genera…

If everyone has to raise the minimum wage all, everyone has to raise prices accordingly and ROI remains the same.

You disregard the option of simply not doing business. If products and services become more expensive, demand tends to go down, so you end up at square one in terms of income. There is some wiggle room here and not all prices are elastic like that, but it's true in principle.

Re: If pay had kept pace with productivity gains, minimum wage would be $24 an hour

#398

Earlier quoted context omitted.

On the other hand, it's never been easier to start a company and instantly reach a global market.

Not only that, but you can draw collaborators from the entire world, and even get investment capital from the globe (like kickstarter, etc.). I remember when I wanted to sell in France, I had to find a French distributor, make a French version of the product, guess how many would sell there, ship a pile to the distributor, the distributor collects most of the money, and unsold merchandise is scrapped. If I didn't hav…

> Today, I ship all over the world via the internet for $0, have no stock, no scrap, no middlemen, get paid instantly, ship instantly, and the transaction cost is 1% for paypal and 3% for credit cards.

This all true, and empowering for those who have the relevant know-how and opportunities. However, these apparent efficiencies are built on the back of the factors that GP points out. Empowerment for some relies on structures that disempower others. Agency staff live precariously; the companies that use them have ever tighter margins, they are increasingly hollow shells that serve only to generate cash not to provide the security of employment.

The convenience we appear to benefit from is an ever-thinner veneer that disguises deeper problems.

Re: If pay had kept pace with productivity gains, minimum wage would be $24 an hour

#399
Productivity can be used to increase future productivity or to increase current consumption. By giving it to capital they use it to build factories or software to increase future productivity. By giving it to workers we let them consume more and live a better life.

Now, the thing is there is a lot of factories and stuff that needs to be created in order for the entire world to get productive. So until the entire world is productive we need to spend a lot of our current productivity on it.

Btw, the 1% consumes more per capita than the rest but they don't really consume a big fraction of the economy overall, when you give them money they mostly invest it.

So the ultimate result is that in times where there is need to build a lot of factories or equivalent capital will get a bigger share of the pie, and as things stabilize workers will get a bigger share of the pie. Currently thanks to globalism there is need for immense capital investments to increase productivity so of course capital needs to take huge share of our productivity. And personally I'd rather see that another factory gets built in China providing them better productivity and living standard than seeing American workers get another car. This isn't rocket science.

Re: If pay had kept pace with productivity gains, minimum wage would be $24 an hour

#400
Labor is just another commodity. Its pricing (pay) is govern by law of demand and supply. There is no minimum wage. If there is, market will adjust to adapt to it. This is why EU has predominantly high unemployment vs say China or other parts of the world that don't practice minimum wage. You can even observe this is happening in states that practice and don't. Good luck with Cali and NYC. You can see a lot of business exodus there. Market is adjusting. Focus on increasing demand for labor (more jobs), their wage will automatically go up. Retrain the workers to fit into another market, hence reducing the supply of their existing market, those that remain, wage will go up. Build the wall with strong border reducing illegals, wage will go up. Invoke forced minimum wage, market will readjust reducing demand and increasing unemployment to justify wage to go up. All the pro minimum wage studies are flawed. You just have to check how Singapore did it. No minimum wage there.
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