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New York City thinks up to half of restaurants will close permanently [pdf]

osc.state.ny.us

111–120 of 148 posts

Re: New York City thinks up to half of restaurants will close permanently [pdf]

#111

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't necessarily disagree with the premise that isolation (and support for those in that isolation) should be directed at those at greater risk, especially when Covid has such a divergent risk profile based on age and other factors. That said, my (relatively young) friends are classically trained musicians and ballet dancers. They are still screwed if their audience, which skews older, can't attend. This dynamic e…

I still say, let everyone make the decision for themselves. Many old people (the majority) that get COVID don't die, but recover. They can attend performances. I don't see why we need to destroy everyone's lives for a minority of high risk people. Let everyone make their own decisions rather than use the iron fist of government to decide for us.

It's not only high risk people who get the disease, or even only high risk people who die. And, those same "young and healthy" people you're wanting to let loose still suffer serious aftereffects. You're trivializing it by saying "only old people die," not the least because it's it's not true.

Re: New York City thinks up to half of restaurants will close permanently [pdf]

#112
post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why didn't the landlord offer this "2 years no rent" deal to the existing "favorite coffee places"? I'm not sure replacing established successful businesses with new ones is a fair trade...

I have no clue why not, but a similiar thing has happened in the rental market. Lots of landlords keeping the rates of apt. the same, and forcing people to move out. Then, they find out they can't rent at those prices, they still are hesitant to drop prices and just offer 3-4 months of 'free rent' instead. Many, eventually do capitulate, but this seems to take months or even more (for some, their building contracts h…

> Then, they find out they can't rent at those prices, they still are hesitant to drop prices and just offer 3-4 months of 'free rent' instead.

This one is easy to explain. Commercial real estate (which includes apartment buildings with 5+ units) is valued strictly by the amount of income it can produce, i.e. what the monthly rents are. If you drop the rent from X to 0.67X, you've basically cut your property value by 1/3. If you give a rebate of 4 months free rent, the effect on the property value is basically 0.

Re: New York City thinks up to half of restaurants will close permanently [pdf]

#113

Earlier quoted context omitted.

what's the point of you writing hyperbole? all you give me is something to make a rebuttal about why banning cigarettes wouldn't have prevented hundreds of thousands of deaths instead when you already know that and are just trying to make a point about substituting lives somewhere else, which also doesn't make sense. your position - that position - is unworkable. the same leader helping politicize this non-political…

I believe you are conflating me with another user. I never said any of those things, all I said is 10x flu isn't that bad. Name calling isn't gonna win you any friends and I'll leave it at that. Have a good night

I only replied to you, just checked, and didnt call you any names. This isnt going anywhere. Hope it is helpful for anyone reading this far down.

Re: New York City thinks up to half of restaurants will close permanently [pdf]

#114

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I still say, let everyone make the decision for themselves. Many old people (the majority) that get COVID don't die, but recover. They can attend performances. I don't see why we need to destroy everyone's lives for a minority of high risk people. Let everyone make their own decisions rather than use the iron fist of government to decide for us.

It's not only high risk people who get the disease, or even only high risk people who die. And, those same "young and healthy" people you're wanting to let loose still suffer serious aftereffects. You're trivializing it by saying "only old people die," not the least because it's it's not true.

Disagree - the statistics say the vast majority of those who get COVID when they are young recover. This is why outbreaks at colleges get a lot of attention for the cases, but no follow up because no one dies. You look at the oddball death and panic over it. But this is not the norm!

Re: New York City thinks up to half of restaurants will close permanently [pdf]

#115

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I still say, let everyone make the decision for themselves. Many old people (the majority) that get COVID don't die, but recover. They can attend performances. I don't see why we need to destroy everyone's lives for a minority of high risk people. Let everyone make their own decisions rather than use the iron fist of government to decide for us.

It's not only high risk people who get the disease, or even only high risk people who die. And, those same "young and healthy" people you're wanting to let loose still suffer serious aftereffects. You're trivializing it by saying "only old people die," not the least because it's it's not true.

Further, those young people who don't die still take the disease back out into public with them, spreading it elsewhere. This is why simply saying "let people who think they are invulnerable do whatever" doesn't work, because even if they are in fact unkillable their actions can still result in the deaths of others.

Re: New York City thinks up to half of restaurants will close permanently [pdf]

#116
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, but the point is to not have people get sick and die . Many people die even if they go to the hospital and there's plenty of respirator capacity - respirators are a last-ditch effort for someone who's hardest hit by the disease. This isn't an RPG with inns that always work and take you back to 100% health no matter what. If we want to say the lockdowns have been worse, let's start by answering: 1. What is the va…

10,000 children per month are starving to death due to second and third order effects of the lockdowns. https://www.rt.com/news/496482-study-covid-hunger-children-l... The median life-span of an American is 78. The median age of death from Covid is 82. The more rational statistic is life-years lost than # of deaths. If a toddler dies, they have lost 70+ years of life. If an 80 year old dies, they might have lost just…

The actual study seems to claim that lack of school lunches is what's responsible for those 10,000 deaths per month. I agree that this is a problem worth solving. NYC did specifically solve that problem early because people realized it would be a problem, and school lunches (and summer meals) have been available for pickup without actually going to school. Also, no part of solving this problem requires reopening restaurants.

I'm glad you're willing to nobly sacrifice your life, but what if we could save those 10,000 kids per month without opening back up? What if we could save more lives by keeping essential services operational and non-essential businesses closed with targeted government interventions to keep people fed and housed? Would you be willing to do that?

Re: New York City thinks up to half of restaurants will close permanently [pdf]

#117
post #87

I think people's memories are a bit short regarding just how dire things were in NYC back in April. I think things are a bit more complicated than just blaming the governor for shutting down restaurants. Every resident in or around New York heard ambulances 24/7. Everyone knew someone that got very sick (not that anyone could even prove that they had it since testing was extremely scarce). The virus was still very ne…

> There's very few legal restrictions on offices reopening at this point, but very few have actually come back. The triple of lockdowns, vanishing tourists, and vanishing office workers is just too much for small businesses. I think this is key. For people trying to blame the governor of New York, just look across the political spectrum to Texas. I am not a fan of Greg Abbott in any sense, but I will give credit wher…

People are protecting themselves. Most are avoiding restaurants, bars, and gyms completely. It doesn't matter that they're open.

Trump has the right idea, that people need to be made less afraid of the virus. But his execution is backwards, people aren't idiots.

The priority should have been relaxing laws to allow existing businesses to do delivery. Allowing stores to sell goods outdoors in the parking lot. Getting a couple good masks to every citizen, even though it meant reusing them. Actually useful things, instead of telling everyone not to worry about it.

Re: New York City thinks up to half of restaurants will close permanently [pdf]

#118
post #116

Earlier quoted context omitted.

10,000 children per month are starving to death due to second and third order effects of the lockdowns. https://www.rt.com/news/496482-study-covid-hunger-children-l... The median life-span of an American is 78. The median age of death from Covid is 82. The more rational statistic is life-years lost than # of deaths. If a toddler dies, they have lost 70+ years of life. If an 80 year old dies, they might have lost just…

The actual study seems to claim that lack of school lunches is what's responsible for those 10,000 deaths per month. I agree that this is a problem worth solving. NYC did specifically solve that problem early because people realized it would be a problem, and school lunches (and summer meals) have been available for pickup without actually going to school. Also, no part of solving this problem requires reopening rest…

I understand economics well enough to understand you basically asked me if I would accept Santa is real.

Re: New York City thinks up to half of restaurants will close permanently [pdf]

#119
post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have no clue why not, but a similiar thing has happened in the rental market. Lots of landlords keeping the rates of apt. the same, and forcing people to move out. Then, they find out they can't rent at those prices, they still are hesitant to drop prices and just offer 3-4 months of 'free rent' instead. Many, eventually do capitulate, but this seems to take months or even more (for some, their building contracts h…

> Then, they find out they can't rent at those prices, they still are hesitant to drop prices and just offer 3-4 months of 'free rent' instead. This one is easy to explain. Commercial real estate (which includes apartment buildings with 5+ units) is valued strictly by the amount of income it can produce, i.e. what the monthly rents are. If you drop the rent from X to 0.67X, you've basically cut your property value by…

This also inflates “market rate” and justifies higher prices for rent as well as government subsidized housing (which is just reduced rent because part of the rent is paid for from the market rate). By paying for “free months” themselves the rent prices never go down in the area and the market never corrects itself, leaving prices to either stay the same or rise always.

Re: New York City thinks up to half of restaurants will close permanently [pdf]

#120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I believe you are conflating me with another user. I never said any of those things, all I said is 10x flu isn't that bad. Name calling isn't gonna win you any friends and I'll leave it at that. Have a good night

I only replied to you, just checked, and didnt call you any names. This isnt going anywhere. Hope it is helpful for anyone reading this far down.

I mean you basically called me hyperbolic and goalpost shift-y
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