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Compact nuclear fusion reactor is 'very likely to work,' studies suggest

nytimes.com

231–240 of 373 posts

Re: Compact nuclear fusion reactor is 'very likely to work,' studies suggest

#231
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're correct, that's a good ballpark for the average heat generation rate in the sun. However, 99% of heat generation in the sun occurs in the core (approximately the center 25% by radius) and this area is much more energy dense. Further, fusion reactors could achieve an even higher volumetric heat generation rate then the sun's core does. To collect energy, heat would be transferred to a working fluid (e.g., molte…

There's something that feels so archaic about using a nuclear reactor to... boil water and spin a turbine. It's disappointing that we haven't figured out a better way to convert to electrical energy than what we were using in the 1800s.

Photovoltaics (solar panels) don't rotate turbines.

Re: Compact nuclear fusion reactor is 'very likely to work,' studies suggest

#232
post #131
post #112

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think it’s generally very hard to force technological progress along by just throwing money at it. Let’s suppose this proposal works out, ITER will become a very expensive boondoggle. A technological dead end. But if you’d taken the ‘Manhattan Project’ approach and thrown 10x as much money at fusion research 20 years ago we’d most likely have spent most of it on a super-ITER. It might be operational by now and migh…

Do you think that a better approach, given a lot of resources, would be to push more general/fundamental research without a clear end goal in mind? That approach makes sense to me intuitively given how many surprising breakthroughs there have been throughout history, but I admittedly know very little about actual research.

Most surprising breakthroughs (am not a historian though) were found with a clear goal in mind. It was just that the goal was very different from the breakthrough.

Re: Compact nuclear fusion reactor is 'very likely to work,' studies suggest

#233

I never quite understood the math behind power densities in a fusion reactor. In the sun, isn't energy production occurring at something like 100-1000 W/m3? So, if you want to build a multiple MW fusion plant, shouldn't these plants be ridiculously huge compared to, say, a wind turbine rated at a couple of MW? Is the density of the plasma so much higher in a fusion reactor? Also, something else I never grokked, how d…

>The plasma heats up, but how do you turn that into useful electrical energy? I appreciate that many people are commenting 'you couple the plasma to a working fluid', but I think the original comment was more along the line of how you couple a confined plasma to a working fluid. By definition the plasma is in a hard vacuum, magnetically bottled. What, then, is the coupling method? Thermal photons escaping confinement…

You're right, I was curious about capturing the fusion products in some way and still being able to extract useful energy.

I looked up the effects of neutron radiation on materials[]. Sounds like a hell of an engineering challenge to come up with a robust way of getting that energy out!

Radiation damage to materials occurs as a result of the interaction of a [neutron] with a lattice atom in the material. The collision causes a massive transfer of kinetic energy to the lattice atom, which is displaced from its lattice site, becoming what is known as the primary knock-on atom (PKA). [...] The magnitude of the damage is such that a single 1 MeV neutron creating a PKA in an iron lattice produces approximately 1,100 Frenkel pairs.

[] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neutron_radiation

Re: Compact nuclear fusion reactor is 'very likely to work,' studies suggest

#234

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KkpqA8yG9T4 Here's a video lecture from the MIT Professor (Dennis Whyte) who was leading the research group that provided some of the key designs for the SPARC reactor. As the NYT article explains, that research has been spun out into a startup that raised $200M. The key breakthrough is the advancement of REBCO tape superconductors which allow you to (1) generate record breaking magnet…

Timeline (in case you want to skip over some parts): 00:01:00 - introducing Dennis Whyte, MIT department head for nuclear science 00:04:24 - presentation starts 00:06:00 - identifies breakthrough with REBCO magnets 00:07:25 - explains deuterium-tritium fusion 00:12:30 - basic metrics for reactor performance 00:17:15 - energy output of other previous fusion experiments 00:19:00 - examines ITER and the problems of its…

The hero we don't deserve.

Re: Compact nuclear fusion reactor is 'very likely to work,' studies suggest

#235
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're correct, that's a good ballpark for the average heat generation rate in the sun. However, 99% of heat generation in the sun occurs in the core (approximately the center 25% by radius) and this area is much more energy dense. Further, fusion reactors could achieve an even higher volumetric heat generation rate then the sun's core does. To collect energy, heat would be transferred to a working fluid (e.g., molte…

There's something that feels so archaic about using a nuclear reactor to... boil water and spin a turbine. It's disappointing that we haven't figured out a better way to convert to electrical energy than what we were using in the 1800s.

> It's disappointing that we haven't figured out a better way to convert to electrical energy than what we were using in the 1800s.

We haven't found a better way to convert heat to electrical energy. We've done great things with solar, kinetic, gravity, etc.

I think the better analysis is to chart the efficiency of the conversion over time. I couldn't easily find a chart showing this, but I assume gigawatt scale turbines operating at 50%+ efficiency are modern engineering marvels compared to the earliest 7kW prototype made by Charles Parsons in 1884.

Re: Compact nuclear fusion reactor is 'very likely to work,' studies suggest

#236
post #146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think that's quite an apt comparison. The fundamental physics of an atomic bomb were not well known until the late 1800s. Apparently the Manhattan Project cost about $23 billion in 2007 dollars. ITER apparently had an initial budget of around $5 billion in 2005-6. By now, the construction cost is estimated to be at least $22 billion. It seems plausible that if we throw $15 or 20 billion at it in 2006, we coul…

Yes exactly, this is what Nassim Taleb writes about in Anti fragile. Bets with a known limited downside and the potential of an almost unlimited upside.

The upside is in no way unlimited. Even in the best case scenario, fusion power will be expensive. It might end up being useful for base load but it's unlikely to be cheaper than solar in most areas.

Re: Compact nuclear fusion reactor is 'very likely to work,' studies suggest

#237
post #50

Basic thermodynamics. Particle energy grows as T (because energy = 3/2 kT). Thermal radiation energy grows as T^4. At fusion temperature up to 80% of energy is in radiation. Energy density of radiation in this case is close to energy density of metals. It's impossible to contain such radiation.

The SPARC design uses a combination of extremely high strength magnetic fields to contain charged particles inside the vacuum chamber and a molten-salt blanket (FLiBe) for neutron capture and cooling. They believe this will be a viable containment system.

And what do they do with gamma radiation? As I said at thermonuclear temperatures it contains majority of the energy of the system.

Re: Compact nuclear fusion reactor is 'very likely to work,' studies suggest

#238
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're correct, that's a good ballpark for the average heat generation rate in the sun. However, 99% of heat generation in the sun occurs in the core (approximately the center 25% by radius) and this area is much more energy dense. Further, fusion reactors could achieve an even higher volumetric heat generation rate then the sun's core does. To collect energy, heat would be transferred to a working fluid (e.g., molte…

There's something that feels so archaic about using a nuclear reactor to... boil water and spin a turbine. It's disappointing that we haven't figured out a better way to convert to electrical energy than what we were using in the 1800s.

Water is an amazingly capable working fluid. Just because it's ubiquitous doesn't mean it doesn't have remarkable properties!

Re: Compact nuclear fusion reactor is 'very likely to work,' studies suggest

#239
post #137

Here's the actual summary: "Although many significant challenges remain, the company said construction would be followed by testing and, if successful, building of a power plant that could use fusion energy to generate electricity, beginning in the next decade." In other words, "very likely" in this case means "if several roadblocks are overcome, it might be a net-positive power generator in a decade". Even so, this…

> this is still exciting given how anemic advancement in the fusion space has been for 50+ years. "Nuclear fusion. 30 years away since 1950" Joking aside. I too am glad to see some progress of any kind, and new (seemingly credible) initiatives being funded and pursued

Have you seen this? I'd love to find an updated version, but they've been making exponential progress on it since the 70's.

https://i.imgur.com/BN0pz.png

Re: Compact nuclear fusion reactor is 'very likely to work,' studies suggest

#240

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's a good contribution to the conversation, keeping in mind that Adm. Rickover wrote these words in 1953. Anyone could have said similar things about computers in 1953, and been just as correct. Are nuclear reactors computers? Of course not, and neither have practical reactors kept pace in development with practical computers. But neither is it inevitable that steady progress cannot grind down the latter set of cha…

I guess we can ask Huawei about how easy it is to build computers in 2020...

with stolen blueprints and unlimited govt resources, easy as pie...
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