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Would it be possible to detect an industrial civilization in geological record?

arxiv.org

51–60 of 181 posts

Re: Would it be possible to detect an industrial civilization in geological record?

#51
post #33
post #20

A highly responsible civilization that achieves space fairing tech could rebuild its environment, leaving a clean planet as a gift for future species to emerge, and move to the stars. Sort of artifical-creationism, but phycally achievable, it's a matter of civilization goals.

Why would they spend resources doing this?

Otherwise you get species popping up later to find the device one of your people left that kills you in the plane of existence you transcended to.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stargate%3A_The_Ark_of_Truth

Re: Would it be possible to detect an industrial civilization in geological record?

#52
post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This argument disproves fossils. E: To be pedantic, it only disproves most fossils.

And, as predicted by the argument, the fossils don't abound, and to find them you have to start digging.

I wonder if that's always been the case. Maybe humans quickly cleaned up all the easily accessible fossils before realizing what they were. Ancient Greeks thought they'd found a giant's bone and other cultures seem to have used dinosaur fossils as inspiration for myths of dragons. Even western researchers a few hundred years ago thought dinosaur bones were just recent animal bones. Imagine how careless every previous civilization was with them.

Maybe the biggest obstacle to archeology is having people around who are interested in explaining what they're seeing. Science is a very rare thing for human cultures to spontaneously do. Even the 1000s of years old Chinese civilization never invented science and had to wait for it to be imported. I tend to think that human societies naturally actively discourage science because they'd quickly think up and memetically spread myths for any unexplained phenomena then anyone challenging the popular myths would have to be a misfit and that would come with punishment because misfits were generally harmful to society in the short term.

Re: Would it be possible to detect an industrial civilization in geological record?

#53
post #14
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Has anyone methodically looked for artificial materials like microplastics in the geological strata?

Yes, in that people try and identify what’s there. No, in that it’s not expected to find evidence of a prior advanced civilization. The prior existence of oil as an easily recoverable resource is a strong indicator that nothing like our civilization existed in the last several million years.

But not finding fossil fuels wouldn't tell you anything, because nobody knows how much there ought to be.

If they discovered better sources of energy a little faster, they would stop pumping almost immediately. But for politics, the US might easily have started the switch to wind power forty years ago, and billions of barrels' worth would still be in the ground.

Re: Would it be possible to detect an industrial civilization in geological record?

#54
post #12

Every time this pops up on HN, people post insisting that it won't all go away, that the skyscrapers will, somehow, still be there. No, they won't. Look at any place in the world where there are mesas. All of the land around the mesa used to be level with the top of the mesa. It has all eroded away, and in only a few million years. So, the metals will corrode, collapse, and wash away. The stone will erode away. The c…

I strongly agree with this take. I've been working on a paper comparing the effects of the Anthropocene to mega catastrophes in the geologically recent past. In addition to the Younger Dryas Impact (12kya), there's the Oruani (26kya) and Mt Toba (77kya) eruptions. From my calculations, it seems the climate change from each of these dwarfs any actions humans are currently capable of, namely petrocarbon burning and als…

Previous catastrophes did not vent the millions of tons of hydrofluorocarbons into the atmosphere that we will, that break down into a greenhouse gas thousands of times as potent as CO2. (We thought switching from CFCs to HFCs would save us. Joke's on us!) The total of HFCs currently in circulation, eventually leaked or vented, will produce as much greenhouse effect as all the CO2 currently in the atmosphere. (A sharp minority of the responsible people collect it for disposal.) So, it's not just CO2.

The US is supposed to switch from HFCs to something else around 2024. A lot of companies are switching to propane refrigerant ahead of time because it's cheaper, and worry about it igniting has dissipated, vs. looming ecological catastrophe.

BTW, to my knowledge the Greenland structure has not been reliably dated, nor even confirmed to be a bolide crater (although it seems like one). YD bolide impact seems pretty secure, though.

Temperature change might be a relatively minor effect of the CO2 concentration peak. Ocean acidification causing a collapse at the base of the food web, as marine animals become unable to fix calcium to make shells, might be more important.

Re: Would it be possible to detect an industrial civilization in geological record?

#55
post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And, as predicted by the argument, the fossils don't abound, and to find them you have to start digging.

I wonder if that's always been the case. Maybe humans quickly cleaned up all the easily accessible fossils before realizing what they were. Ancient Greeks thought they'd found a giant's bone and other cultures seem to have used dinosaur fossils as inspiration for myths of dragons. Even western researchers a few hundred years ago thought dinosaur bones were just recent animal bones. Imagine how careless every previous…

Interesting thought in your second paragraph. Through similar reasoning it would also follow that one of the bigger forces promoting science - or at least applied science - would be war. It's one of those things that keep you grounded in reality - the ship will either sail or it will sink; the shell will either land on target or it will miss. When your invention is going to be put into combat use, you can't get away with nice-sounding stories. You get instant and often visceral feedback.

Re: Would it be possible to detect an industrial civilization in geological record?

#56
post #53
post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, in that people try and identify what’s there. No, in that it’s not expected to find evidence of a prior advanced civilization. The prior existence of oil as an easily recoverable resource is a strong indicator that nothing like our civilization existed in the last several million years.

But not finding fossil fuels wouldn't tell you anything, because nobody knows how much there ought to be. If they discovered better sources of energy a little faster, they would stop pumping almost immediately. But for politics, the US might easily have started the switch to wind power forty years ago, and billions of barrels' worth would still be in the ground.

Oil is useful for a lot more than just burning it. Fertilizers, plastics, and asphalt are the most well known but a host of industrial processes use it as a feedstock. It’s only recently that oil has been hard to find, initially it was seeping up from the ground which still occurs on the sea floor in some areas making it hard to miss.

So some other civilization could exist without using it, but they would look nothing like ours.

Re: Would it be possible to detect an industrial civilization in geological record?

#57
Isn’t a much easier way to look around our planet and search for satellites of past civilizations? Or even on the moon where everything lasts much longer. Long after we and everything of us is gone from this planet moon vehicles and other devices which were left there will likely still be there unless a meteorite hit them.

Re: Would it be possible to detect an industrial civilization in geological record?

#58
post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The oldest known iron artifacts, ca 3200BCE: https://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S03054403130020... https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030544031...

I wonder how it is that the iron in meteorites doesn't just dissolve away. Any thoughts on that?

The meteorites we find fell “recently”? The iron is in a stable oxide?

Re: Would it be possible to detect an industrial civilization in geological record?

#59
post #48
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So a civilization thousands years more advanced than us failed to go to space (evidenced by the fact that they did not leave behind any space junk) but somehow produced energy from crystals?

> evidenced by the fact that they did not leave behind any space junk Whatever space junk we leave behind will be gone 100 years from now. https://www.nasa.gov/news/debris_faq.html

That’s really not what that means. The 4th satellite Vanguard 1 was put into orbit in 1964 and it’s expected to have a 240-year orbital lifetime despite getting to within 657.3 kilometers of earth. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vanguard_1

Geosynchronous satellites 35,786 km (22,236 mi) are going to be up there for a very long time.

PS: If you’re interested https://aiaa.kavi.com/apps/group_public/download.php/3172/IS...'

Re: Would it be possible to detect an industrial civilization in geological record?

#60
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So a civilization thousands years more advanced than us failed to go to space (evidenced by the fact that they did not leave behind any space junk) but somehow produced energy from crystals?

FWIW, space junk wouldn't necessarily survive that long. Things on lower orbits would deorbit themselves quickly without station keeping. Things on higher orbit would get pushed away by solar radiation over long time, and degrade under high-energy radiation (such as UV rays). What remains would be hard to find, because space is big , so it would have to be fairly large and/or fairly reflective for us to notice now.

Wouldn’t any constant force tend to ellipticize the orbit and lead to a return to earth?
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