11–20 of 39 posts
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Some more context around 3% of the world population died in World War 2 which was over 6 years.
I don't think you are talking about the same number. Original mentioned that the number of deaths in 2020 would be 3% more than the number of deaths in 2019, not that 3% of the population had died. That would be 240 Million people!
This seems to assume all of the excess deaths are directly attributable to Covid-19, but shouldn't we consider the possibility that our reaction to Covid-19 could also play a role, things like: generally increased levels of stress, suicide rate, elderly more depressed due to no in-person visitors, less exercise?
This seems to assume all of the excess deaths are directly attributable to Covid-19, but shouldn't we consider the possibility that our reaction to Covid-19 could also play a role, things like: generally increased levels of stress, suicide rate, elderly more depressed due to no in-person visitors, less exercise?
This seems to assume all of the excess deaths are directly attributable to Covid-19, but shouldn't we consider the possibility that our reaction to Covid-19 could also play a role, things like: generally increased levels of stress, suicide rate, elderly more depressed due to no in-person visitors, less exercise?
Pretty much across the board jumps for most major causes of death. Haven't pulled in anything on suicides yet. Interestingly though, deaths from lower respiratory disease are down for all regions of the US. I wondered how much that has to do with less traffic/air pollution which might otherwise aggravate that?
This seems to assume all of the excess deaths are directly attributable to Covid-19, but shouldn't we consider the possibility that our reaction to Covid-19 could also play a role, things like: generally increased levels of stress, suicide rate, elderly more depressed due to no in-person visitors, less exercise?
Meanwhile, the much maligned Sweden is experiencing no uptick in deaths: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/ , and US death counts are dropping as well.
I see that sweden's new deaths have gone down (but their overall deaths are much worse than other scandinavian countries), but the US graphs shows no slowing of the death rate that I can tell.
For some context at 1M deaths so far, and pessimistically if we end 2020 with 1.5M global deaths, this would be https://ourworldindata.org/births-and-deaths ), and with most deaths being of the elderly.
One thing I don't see being taken into account in articles like this one is that the vaccines will not be 100% effective. The US FDA has set the bar at 50% effective. So even people who get the vaccine can still become infected. Maybe with less severe disease and less ability to spread it further, but we don't know that yet. On a whole population level a vaccine will be a major help in reducing the effects of the vir…