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This electrical transmission tower has a problem

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Re: This electrical transmission tower has a problem

#161
post #127

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They've been willfully negligent and reckless to the infrastructure they own to service their customers. In this case we're not even talking about tree trimming, we have a 100 year old tower. It's obvious it will fail soon, there should be an internal maintenance program to replace/update it. There are no such programs, PGE operates in a way that there would never be such a program. PGE should be held liable for pred…

Where I live in rural Missouri, we have "rural electric cooperatives." They are customer-owned utilities set up in the 1930s. From my experience and that of everyone I've talked to in the region, the coops are incredibly reliable, take safety and maintenance very seriously, and provide service at very reasonable rates. It seems clear to me that for-profit business is the wrong model for an infrastructure monopoly lik…

PGEs for profit status is kind of derailing tangent in these discussions. There are many successful ownership models for running a utility safely and reliably.

PGE has a long term organizational culture in leadership that creates this environment of negligent behaviours. Essentially all of PGEs problems are due to PGE -climate, environment, geography and company profit motives are secondary causes of these disasters at best.

Re: This electrical transmission tower has a problem

#162
post #93
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Or, you could be responsible and say 'hey, we have no documentation for this power line and it's 90 years old. Our knowledge of materials science say this should have worn out. Let's be proactive and replace things'. You don't need to physically inspect every item to be safe, here. You rely on precaution, standard shelf life, and operational procedures. If that's difficult, so be it. That's the price people pay for c…

The average age of a PG&E tower is 68 years old.

So they better start maintaining them at a rate higher than 100-200 miles per year. They need to do 1000 miles per year to keep up with 100,000 miles of lines that have a 100 year life expectancy.

Re: This electrical transmission tower has a problem

#163

I guess my takeaway from this is if you're a government building some sort of asset you're going to transfer to the private sector, overengineer it. Nobody is ever going to do maintenance, so your thing essentially has to last forever. Imagine that they made the hooks so they only lasted for 10 years -- we'd have 10 times as many billion-dollar fires. But some engineer in 1918 said "you know, let's make it a little b…

Paradoxically though if it failed every 1 year then pretty soon maintenance would have to be performed every few months or days or else there would be so many failures it would be really hard to ignore.

Chaos monkey to the rescue.

Re: This electrical transmission tower has a problem

#164
I feel that we are getting better at recognizing that complex failures can have multiple contributing causes. In this case: superficial maintenance, negligent management, ineffective regulation, forest management, climate change, housing planning, demand for living near trees...

But I feel our approach to assigning blame still relies on finding a singular villain - and we end up with politically oversimplified narratives about cause and effect.

Re: This electrical transmission tower has a problem

#165
post #60

This is definitely a failure on PG&E's part, but I'm still not sure how much sense it makes to assign them blame for this fire. The environment they're operating in is somewhat ridiculous - the forest is so dry and overgrown that pretty much any flame source will start a fire large enough to burn a huge area; this specific tower failure is basically just the thing that revealed a much larger issue. With proper engine…

Take driving as an analogy - there's a non-zero risk of having a crash, but it's significantly higher if you don't follow the rules (drunk, speeding, broken car). This feels like PG&E was betting it wouldn't happen to them.

I think for a utility the risk should be very very close to zero, you can really do a lot of planning around it and make sure that if you're running infrastructure in a dangerous area to take sufficient measures to avoid all likely failures, and if one part breaks it doesn't end in a catastrophe. Maintenance schedules are there for a reason and keeping records helps improve the data for risk models.

But there might also be some blame on the general planning of the area, if it's too dangerous to run a power line, there shouldn't be one there. If other causes are likely, it shouldn't be unreasonable to expect this to be one of the government tasks to make sure that they set up some form of protection.

Re: This electrical transmission tower has a problem

#167

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have no idea what you're talking about. Unless you count "power lines active during dry conditions" which is unavoidable, the only meaningful failure here is repeated lack of maintenance. The design was fine, and it was installed fine; it lasted a hundred years! Lack of maintenance will kill anything eventually, all by itself.

The maintenance was the last thing to fail. There are always other causes and improvements. From how the maintenance is performed and verified, to how the system works and is designed, to the process and culture of the organization. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Five_whys

It's impossible to design a system that won't need maintenance. There is nothing wrong with designing something that needs some parts replaced every 50 years, and that's the only design factor that was involved.

There were multiple failures on PG&E's part, to an extent, but they were all under the maintenance umbrella. Performing maintenance. Verifying maintenance. The culture around maintenance.

Re: This electrical transmission tower has a problem

#168
post #60

This is definitely a failure on PG&E's part, but I'm still not sure how much sense it makes to assign them blame for this fire. The environment they're operating in is somewhat ridiculous - the forest is so dry and overgrown that pretty much any flame source will start a fire large enough to burn a huge area; this specific tower failure is basically just the thing that revealed a much larger issue. With proper engine…

> With proper engineering and maintenance, PG&E could probably reduce the frequency of fires significantly, but there's always going to be a non-zero risk of fire, both from power lines and other sources, and it seems basically inevitable that one of them would have started another fire at some point. I don’t understand. You’re conceding that if PG&E were a competent and responsible company they could significantly r…

1000 fires would actually be probably better than 10 because they help keep flammable material at bay and reduce the size of the fires.

Re: This electrical transmission tower has a problem

#169
post #93
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Or, you could be responsible and say 'hey, we have no documentation for this power line and it's 90 years old. Our knowledge of materials science say this should have worn out. Let's be proactive and replace things'. You don't need to physically inspect every item to be safe, here. You rely on precaution, standard shelf life, and operational procedures. If that's difficult, so be it. That's the price people pay for c…

The average age of a PG&E tower is 68 years old.

I'm sure what your point is. The worse the situation, the greater the responsibility. PG&E does not live up to the responsibility it should carry. If the towers are on average 68 years old that means they are supposed to put even more effort into maintenance than they already do.

Re: This electrical transmission tower has a problem

#170

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> With proper engineering and maintenance, PG&E could probably reduce the frequency of fires significantly, but there's always going to be a non-zero risk of fire, both from power lines and other sources, and it seems basically inevitable that one of them would have started another fire at some point. I don’t understand. You’re conceding that if PG&E were a competent and responsible company they could significantly r…

1000 fires would actually be probably better than 10 because they help keep flammable material at bay and reduce the size of the fires.

So your saying we should introduce chaos monkeys into power grids to improve robustness?
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