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After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

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Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#251
post #186

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Could you elaborate or link to a source that does? Edit: Another comment[1] says "there's more than enough for couple centuries (and new reactor designs can make one-two orders of magnitude better use of what's available)". Your statement "not enough to make a difference" seems quite different from "enough for centuries". If you think this is wrong, a bit of elaboration beyond the simple statement couldn't hurt... Th…

Consider that rising populations and standards of living, as well as shifts from fossil fuels, mean increasing total electrical generation likely by ~500% in the next 50 years or so. The alternative is a large number of very disappointed people.

True, so we have to divide "centuries" by 5 or more, that's still long enough to help with the transition. Not sure if that's what you meant though? Please correct me if I misunderstood.

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#252
post #239

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Bury nuclear waste underground in an area with no aquifer. The scenarios where this results in contamination are borderline hyperbole, usually entailing the loss of all records of the waste's locations due to some sort of societal collapse followed by a future civilization digging up the waste for an inexplicable reason. By comparison, what is the long term storage plan for fossil fuel emissions?

If we allow similar levels of hand-waving for both problems then: Q: what is the long term storage plan for fossil fuel emissions? A: Trees

Great, now come back to me with a plan to plant the trees required to offset carbon emissions. This is going to be challenging, because you'll need to reforest an area roughly the size of the continental United States to reduce atmospheric CO2 to levels from a century ago [1]. In order to actually do this, you'd need to desalinate massive amounts of water to feed trees in areas without vegetation. Generating the energy for desalination and pumping it inland would release massive amounts of carbon back into the atmosphere, necessitating more tress, necessitating more water, and so on. You'd probably have better chances sequestering carbon through an algae bloom in the oceans, but that too has drawbacks (namely, when the algae dies off it'll just release the carbon again).

By comparison we already have a nuclear waste facility built in the US, though it's use was cancelled by Congress (and it wouldn't make sense to put spent fuel there yet, since we would want it for reprocessing), and another site is under construction in Finland [3].

"Bury it underground, in an area with no aquifer" isn't hand wave. Storing nuclear waste really is that simple. The main concern for uranium is water contamination. It's actually a prevalent due to naturally occurring uranium [4]. Place the waste in an area with no aquifer and there is no risk of contamination even in the event that the containment vessels deteriorate.

1. https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/2019/07/how-t...

2. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yucca_Mountain_nuclear_waste_r...

3. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onkalo_spent_nuclear_fuel_repo...

4. https://www.kqed.org/stateofhealth/120396/uranium-contaminat....

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#253
post #184
post #44

What is the RNC's stance on nuclear? Does nuclear now enjoy bi-partisan support? Or just the Dems?

A bit meta, but as someone from Europe where the countries aren't usually divided into two opposing camps, this seems oddly phrased to me. Could someone from the USA who considers themselves either neutral or a democrat comment on whether "just the Dems" sounds negative to you?

It doesn't sound negative to me at all; just a factual way of stating that the policy is only supported by one party. Perfectly normal figure of speech here in the states.

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#254
I used to be an advocate for nuclear energy but over time I've become it has no future because:

1. Even if it's safer by any objective measure (deaths/kWh for example) the failure modes are much, much worse. A fossil fuel plant just can't make thousands of square miles uninhabitable for decades. This isn't an exaggeration. The Chernobyl absolute exclusion zone is currently 1000mi^2 [1]. This is like how people are afraid to fly but not drive when flying (on.commercial jets at least) is undeniably safer;

2. Processing of fuel creates waste we just don't have a good way of dealing with (eg UF6);

3. Spent fuel creates waste we just don't have a good way of dealing with;

4. Decommissioning nuclear power plants creates waste we just don't have a good way of dealing with;

5. The above three costs seem to be borne by governments. It's still unclear to me if companies who run nuclear power plants are paying the true costs;

5. I just don't trust companies to manage nuclear plants safely long term;

7. I don't trust most governments to manage nuclear plants long term; and

8. Many nuclear power advocates will bring up coal as the counterexample. That's a false dichotomy. Wind and solar costs continue to plummet. Natural gas, while still a fossil fuel, has way less negative externalities than coal.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_Exclusion_Zone

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#255
post #4

For the uninitiated, nuclear power is actually much, much safer than it was in the previous century, and fossil fuel power plants have killed exponentially more people through pollution than all nuclear power accidents combined – it's just not something that happens all at once so it doesn't seem like a big deal to most people. We will not be able to "defeat" climate change and keep this planet inhabitable for future…

Would it still be considered safe in a world where flooding becomes much more commonplace in the next 50 years?

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#256
post #230
post #210

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Look at Fukushima for example. Look at Three Mile Island. That is the kind of accident profile with less shitty reactor designs than Chernobyl and Fukushima you should be looking at. Modern PWRs built today are even safer than TMI in accidents. It is the 50 year old or soviet shitty designs that unfortunately caused the bad reputation of nuclear power. Plants which should have never started operating or should have…

These "soviet shitty designs" are also 50-60 years old. So they are as shitty as American PWR/BWR designs used in TMI and Fukushima. Positive void coefficient is certainly a design oversight (same as design errors in the early PWR/BWR reactors), but without intentionally fucking with reactor and with a good control system, it can properly work without issues and 10 operational RBMK reactors demonstrate it in practice…

Fukushima were BWRs, and older and far shittier than the PWR in TMI.

TMI is how such an accident "should" look like. And of course there are improvements on that in newer generations.

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#257
post #199

Not an american here, so it's more of a general comment. I'm all for investing in and investigating nuclear power -- after all, the humanity needed several decades to make electricity itself safe at all; if we manage to make nuclear safer and indeed manageable, that's a fine thing, scientifically speaking. It's good to have options. However, we should be keeping an eye on the costs. Nuclear energy is cheap, but dispo…

I'm not in the energy field, but I do have hopes that we can find a way to make nuclear fuel use more efficient, thereby reducing the amount of waste: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/nuclear-waste-let...

But as long as we have this kind of rhetoric there will be no incentive to solve the current problems with nuclear power.

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#258
post #28
post #4

For the uninitiated, nuclear power is actually much, much safer than it was in the previous century, and fossil fuel power plants have killed exponentially more people through pollution than all nuclear power accidents combined – it's just not something that happens all at once so it doesn't seem like a big deal to most people. We will not be able to "defeat" climate change and keep this planet inhabitable for future…

Partly I think nuclear triggers a cognitive bias where humans will tolerate ongoing low-level shittiness, but really struggle with large catastrophes, even if the catastrophe is far less damaging than the ongoing low-level damage. However, I think the resistance is also because the nature of the catastrophe is different. Have coal or gas plants ever created a Chernobyl-style exclusion zone? I know that mining/drillin…

>> it seems like price is really driving renewable adoption at this point.

Another article fresh from Wired about the aging solar panel mess and the toxic waste they're leaving behind:

Solar panels are an increasingly important source of renewable power that will play an essential role in fighting climate change. They are also complex pieces of technology that become big, bulky sheets of electronic waste at the end of their lives—and right now, most of the world doesn’t have a plan for dealing with that.

But we’ll need to develop one soon, because the solar e-waste glut is coming. By 2050, the International Renewable Energy Agency projects that up to 78 million metric tons of solar panels will have reached the end of their life, and that the world will be generating about 6 million metric tons of new solar e-waste annually. While the latter number is a small fraction of the total e-waste humanity produces each year, standard electronics recycling methods don’t cut it for solar panels. Recovering the most valuable materials from one, including silver and silicon, requires bespoke recycling solutions. And if we fail to develop those solutions along with policies that support their widespread adoption, we already know what will happen.

https://www.wired.com/story/solar-panels-are-starting-to-die...

People seem to think solar and wind and electric power don't come with equally damaging aspects to the environment.

Remember in the 1970's and 80's when people thought plastic was the greatest thing on earth? We can save the trees now!! People started using plastic for everything. People stopped using paper bags at grocery stores. People opted for Tupperware instead of glass bowls and containers and on and on. We all thought we were saving the world by using plastic for everything.

Apparently we were dead wrong about plastic and not look at what we've sown? Huge plastic floating islands in the oceans. Plastic debris washing ashore on distant islands, killing the entire ecosystems.

Price is all good and fine, but the long term ramifications of renewable energy we still don't know about.

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#259
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm all for nuclear but the safety record talk always seems disingenuous or at least obtuse to me when the stats focus on day to day operations but the fears are about worst case scenarios. I also feel like the industry would do better if it rallied behind specific new technologies so politicians could rally behind molten salt reactors (or what have you) and placate fears about "old nuclear" designs.

It's important to distinguish current rates and worst case scenario rates, but the worst case scenario rate for fossil fuels is astronomical as well.

Not just worst case scenario "rates", but the scenarios themselves. What is the worst case scenario from a completely unmitigated core meltdown versus whatever the most extreme failure mode of, say, a coal plant?

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#260
post #28
post #4

For the uninitiated, nuclear power is actually much, much safer than it was in the previous century, and fossil fuel power plants have killed exponentially more people through pollution than all nuclear power accidents combined – it's just not something that happens all at once so it doesn't seem like a big deal to most people. We will not be able to "defeat" climate change and keep this planet inhabitable for future…

Partly I think nuclear triggers a cognitive bias where humans will tolerate ongoing low-level shittiness, but really struggle with large catastrophes, even if the catastrophe is far less damaging than the ongoing low-level damage. However, I think the resistance is also because the nature of the catastrophe is different. Have coal or gas plants ever created a Chernobyl-style exclusion zone? I know that mining/drillin…

>Have coal or gas plants ever created a Chernobyl-style exclusion zone?

Coal extraction has created far more land where you can't drink the well water and probably would be unwise to eat any plants or animals raised on the land.

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