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After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

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Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#81
post #58
post #39

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Every time I've seen one of these threads on HN asserting that nuclear is safer than the alternatives and I've looked more closely into the claims, I've wound up unconvinced because of omissions like the one you've identified. It's gotten to the point that I tend to tune out pro-nuclear arguments on HN. :( I'm sure there are good arguments in there somewhere, but I don't have the bandwidth to sort them out from the m…

I still haven't heard a convincing protocol for long term storage of spent fuel. That's even worse than a remotely possible nuclear disaster: because unless a solution is found, it's a certainty.

No one is saying underground storage is perfect, but it's sacrificing a small portion of earth's volume for energy instead of our current strategy of dumping all our waste product in the atmosphere causing enormous damage.

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#82
post #29
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm all for nuclear but the safety record talk always seems disingenuous or at least obtuse to me when the stats focus on day to day operations but the fears are about worst case scenarios. I also feel like the industry would do better if it rallied behind specific new technologies so politicians could rally behind molten salt reactors (or what have you) and placate fears about "old nuclear" designs.

I wish one person who mentioned the long game would also mention that nuclear accidents can make a place uninhabitable for thousands of years. If I had a dollar for every time a pro-nuclear person (not that I'm not) ignored that, or peak uranium...

Just look at Japan, most of the region around the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant has actually been reopened to the public already:

> https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/07/20/national/beach-...

> https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/04/05/national/evacue...

Looking at the radiation levels, most places are already back to save levels:

> https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/site/portal-english/en02-01...

You have to keep in mind that nuclear contamination can actually be washed off. And the radiation is actually very useful in the cleaning process because you can easily use a detector to safely determine whether your cleaning operation was successful.

Even Chernobyl is mostly safe these days unless you stay at the hotspots for too long.

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#83
post #21
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I stand corrected then. I wonder why for a cohort that doesn't believe in science.

"Doesn't believe in science" is pretty reductionist here. Most Democrats and Republicans, like everyone else, is operating with heuristics about which risks are especially salient and concerning. Those heuristics are influenced by social biases. Democrats are more likely to be enthusiastic about the practice of science than Republicans, but that doesn't mean that Democrats always carefully and dispassionately weigh r…

Have sources on claims in the last two paragraphs?

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#84
post #4

For the uninitiated, nuclear power is actually much, much safer than it was in the previous century, and fossil fuel power plants have killed exponentially more people through pollution than all nuclear power accidents combined – it's just not something that happens all at once so it doesn't seem like a big deal to most people. We will not be able to "defeat" climate change and keep this planet inhabitable for future…

With a failure rate of 1% for commercial reactors, calling something 'safe' is - frankly - ridiculous.

You wouldn't fly planes if they had that failure rate.

It's not just the death count for which, btw, we still don't even have reliable numbers!

What we do have is: Uninhabitable regions, radioactive boars decades after Chernobyl roaming Bavaria (google it), countless cases of cancer, highly radioactive waste we don't know what to do with, billions and billions of tax payer dollars spent on clean-ups, not just for accidents, but for decommissioning plants, plants on fault lines that are ticking time bombs. Nuclear power plants rank first in the amount of economic damage done.

And you are seriously calling for mass adoption?

The engineers and scientists who built Fukushima and Chernobyl thought: Yup, perfectly safe and clean. It makes me mad hearing younger people falling for the propaganda of nuclear power lobbyists who didn't have to live through these accidents.

We have plenty of space and money to turn our grid into 100% renewables, that are safe and cheap. All it would take is the political will to do so.

The times to propose an outdated, dangerous and hard-to-control technology for commercial power generation are over.

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#85
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Now we just need to make it affordable. Cost overruns seem to be a big problem in the industry. The US recently canceled 2 plants, and we’re struggling to finish the other 2.

Building it makes it affordable. Giant one-off projects have endemic problems with perverse bidding incentives, cost overruns, and engineering problems. Economy of scale production absolutely dominates most industrial supply chains and engineering. The US and other modern economies got the political will together to subsidize solar when it rarely made sense on a MW/$ basis and now it's dropped to by far the cheapest…

What drives nuclear costs is generally rising construction costs. You can’t bring that down with building more nuclear power plants.

PV got so much cheaper because it’s a mass producible product.

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#86
post #58
post #39

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Every time I've seen one of these threads on HN asserting that nuclear is safer than the alternatives and I've looked more closely into the claims, I've wound up unconvinced because of omissions like the one you've identified. It's gotten to the point that I tend to tune out pro-nuclear arguments on HN. :( I'm sure there are good arguments in there somewhere, but I don't have the bandwidth to sort them out from the m…

I still haven't heard a convincing protocol for long term storage of spent fuel. That's even worse than a remotely possible nuclear disaster: because unless a solution is found, it's a certainty.

Nuclear waste is actually the best kind of waste because of its very high density and the fact that it's solid.

The density is so high that the US has accumulated just 83,000 tons over several decades operating nuclear power plants:

> https://www.energy.gov/ne/articles/5-fast-facts-about-spent-...

That may sound a lot but compared to coal or, in fact, any other type of power generating plant, the amount is absolutely tiny.

In France, the whole waste of the country's nuclear plant operation fits into one hall:

> https://twitter.com/Orano_usa/status/1182662569619795968

What helps in reducing the waste by large margin is reprocessing the fuel and re-using it in fast reactors as explained here:

> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MlMDDhQ9-pE

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#87
post #79
post #58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I still haven't heard a convincing protocol for long term storage of spent fuel. That's even worse than a remotely possible nuclear disaster: because unless a solution is found, it's a certainty.

The real answer is mostly "don't do that". Spent fuel rods can't be used anymore because about 5% of the uranium has been converted into elements that slow down the reaction. The remaining uranium is still good. Due to a presidential order by Carter, we waste that uranium. The process for recovering the unused uranium (called "reprocessing") is vaguely similar to the process for making bombs. We'd rather not have lot…

France does reprocessing, too, and they're very good at it:

> https://orano.group/en/nuclear-expertise/from-exploration-to...

> https://twitter.com/Orano_usa/status/1182662569619795968

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#88
post #84
post #4

For the uninitiated, nuclear power is actually much, much safer than it was in the previous century, and fossil fuel power plants have killed exponentially more people through pollution than all nuclear power accidents combined – it's just not something that happens all at once so it doesn't seem like a big deal to most people. We will not be able to "defeat" climate change and keep this planet inhabitable for future…

With a failure rate of 1% for commercial reactors, calling something 'safe' is - frankly - ridiculous. You wouldn't fly planes if they had that failure rate. It's not just the death count for which, btw, we still don't even have reliable numbers! What we do have is: Uninhabitable regions, radioactive boars decades after Chernobyl roaming Bavaria (google it), countless cases of cancer, highly radioactive waste we don'…

Source for "1% failure rate"?

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#89
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You may need to get to know more Republicans. Yes, they host a fair bit of anti-climate science sentiment. Democrats host a fair bit of homeopathic sentiment. Both persuasions include competent scientists. Republicans are no more unidimensional than Democrats. In my observation, the conversations between them are far more tribal fueding than epistemological clarification: epistemology is just a prop. It seems to me t…

> It seems to me that when we allow ourselves to be distracted by the category conflicts, we are distracted from the fight between those trying to maximize our well-being and those happy to throw us all under the bus to optimize for their individual circumstance. That's a reasonable point I agree with. But you're just practicing bothsideism here. It is quite obvious that the ones throwing everyone under the bus to op…

It's quite clearly not limited to one party.

Taking coal as an example.. Pro-climate folks would throw the livelihood of coal mining families under the bus, too, to achieve climate policies that pro-climate folks believe will help them long-term.

Re: After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform

#90
post #64

I’m continuously baffled by those that claim that nuclear power is safe. Look at Fukushima for example. It seems hard to imagine a nuclear power plant design, even Gen III or IV that would be immune to any possible natural disaster. Analysis of nuclear power should take into account Black Swan events: no matter how well designed, some fraction of plants will cause INES Level 7 disasters. If the resulting cost (ie $10…

No one likes to talk about it however the Fukushima disaster could have been prevented with current technology but it was cheaper in the short term not to. Even IF you could have a super safe design a huge part of the problem was the lack of maintenance and actually implementing the safety designs they had. [1]

Why would anyone trust these companies to actually do what is right at the cost of the bottom line?

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fukushima_Daiichi_nuclear_disa...

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