On the Chinese research question: Just wait a decade. In all likelihood, I am permanently departing academia in about a month. The underlying reason is structural -- neither our funding agency nor our institution is willing to yield on a fundamental sticking point that is causing all of our young researchers to leave. I am about to join them. There is literally no path forward. In the decade that I have watched my wo…
Patrick Collison's Questions
101–110 of 288 posts
Re: Patrick Collison's Questions
#102Earlier quoted context omitted.
Ethno states with shared culture and little internal division due to racial tensions tend to run quite well. See: China, Korea, Norway, Denmark, Czech republic
Pretty sure China's not an ethnostate, as much as the CPC would want it to be, and pretty sure the lack of internal division is from their atrocious suppression of minority groups.
Re: Patrick Collison's Questions
#103The infrastructure one really stands out to me, and I'm always astounded by it. Adding yet another example - The Golden Gate Bridge was built in 4 years for $1.6 billion (inflation adjusted), under budget and ahead of schedule. 11 workers died during construction, a safety record matching or surpassing most modern projects. In contrast, a project to install suicide nets around the bridge has been under development fo…
We no longer take pride in work. We pay people less and make them compete for the mere privilege of holding a job. Then, we tell them what to do, disrespecting their intelligence and autonomy and ability to make something they can be proud of. For the brilliance of this strategy, we pay leaders ten times more than we did before, and even more when they fail and need to be replaced—surely installing a new CEO is the answer.
It is no surprise at all.
Deming tried to lay it out for us, but no one really listened.
Re: Patrick Collison's Questions
#104"Why are so many things so much nicer in Switzerland and Japan?" Figuring out why this is without fully attributing it to culture has been of great fascination to me. It really is mindblowing just how _good_ things are in Japan, perhaps they're just highly optimized for tourism? The cleanliness, the service, the great care people place in doing things and in their work is just amazing. Anyone here have more insights…
It's simply impossible to detach Japan from their culture.
The main thing that stands out to me is their selflessness.
One anectdata: Tokyo feels pretty much the opposite of NYC. In NYC it feels like people are obstacles to avoid on the way to where you are going. Nobody waits for anybody. At first it seems rude, then you realize "it's not personal" and just assume the same stance. It's ok to quickly walk in front of someone who's not paying attention, it's ok to not say hi and just quickly ask what they want. You end up thinking a city that big and with so many people can only be that way. Then you go to Japan and are completely blown away. Everybody is aware of everyone else on the street, even if it's packed people will give you the right of way, they'll wait for you if you are distracted, they'll stop and try to help you if you seem lost, and seemingly everywhere people will be super polite. To me the difference is that in NY (and maybe the US in general), I'm always first and most important, whereas in Tokyo (and probably Japan in general), everyone is more important than just myself.
Two small stories about Japan: 1) a friend was trying to find a place to exchange some USD and got a bit lost, he asked a random person about it, this person walked my friend for 3 blocks to the currency exchange shop. 2) when going through a bus station in Tokyo, one of the escalators was closed for cleaning, when I walked by, the janitor was laying down flat on the floor, holding a special brush, meticulously cleaning the yellow metal mat at the entrance of the escalator, completely absorbed in what he was doing. I've never seen anyone, anywhere else in the world, put so much care into cleaning a public space.
Re: Patrick Collison's Questions
#105"Why are so many things so much nicer in Switzerland and Japan?" Figuring out why this is without fully attributing it to culture has been of great fascination to me. It really is mindblowing just how _good_ things are in Japan, perhaps they're just highly optimized for tourism? The cleanliness, the service, the great care people place in doing things and in their work is just amazing. Anyone here have more insights…
Continuous improvement, and respect for people.
They are closer to this reality than most societies. It shows.
Yet, they are not without problems, which are inextricably linked to the same culture. There are still tradeoffs.
Re: Patrick Collison's Questions
#106Earlier quoted context omitted.
The National Science Foundation (for good reasons) will not fund more than a month or two of a Principal Investigator's annual salary. They'll fund many other types of position, but not that one. Our University (for good reasons) is reticent to hire into faculty positions, where the state/university would fund a PI's salary. Furthermore, any research professors must fund themselves through grants. NSF is the only ser…
What changed in ~1999 in your Dept? I've heard similar stories too many times and I'd be curious what the solution was before. Also do you have any insight into the NSF's resistance to funding PI's?
My understanding is that NSF doesn't want PI salaries to be dependent upon grants -- that way, your job isn't (directly) on the line for a specific line of research. It removes at least a little bit of bias toward proposing research just to stay funded.
Moreover, the policy is an incentive for universities to hire faculty, which is generally good for research/teaching.
The hard thing, from the university's perspective, is that a faculty hire is, assuming tenure, very expensive. There is generally a ~$0.5-1M laboratory-startup package, plus a commitment of a professor's salary until ~2055. For this reason, our Department is generally allotted ~1 faculty hire/year. Only exceptional events, like the appearance of a huge and sustained source of money or winning the Nobel Prize (UW Physics: 1989 and 2016) will permit extra hires in targeted fields.
Furthermore, because faculty hires are so rare and each professor gets a vote, each hire has an impact on internal politics. Our department is comparatively friendly, but faculty-hire slots are the most precious commodity in any department.
All of this is to say that it is difficult to find a path that, in this case, would help to retain knowledge and talent in our group. The meeting of the minds that needs to happen is between national funding policy and the status quo among most universities. It is so far above my pay-grade that I've not yet found a reasonable angle from which to attempt to solve the problem.
Re: Patrick Collison's Questions
#107i wonder what pc thinks of https://wtfhappenedin1971.com/ - is this a cherrypicked statistical fluke or is this an actually important long term economic trend worth exploring?
1 Why is a small amount of inflation considered a "good thing"? In just one generation, inflation targets reduce the purchasing power by nearly 50%. What if you knew that assumption lead to all kinds of terrible outcomes, but they only surfaced after 7-8 election cycles?
2 Why is a gold standard considered impractical? After all, today, the technology actually exists to at least make this a worthwhile pursuit (that is, a digital gold standard which doesn't involve the actual movement of physical gold)
3 Why is there so little discussion on the "amount of currency units your central government printed this year"? I find it remarkable, and somewhat amusing frankly, that there could be so many intelligent people on a forum (compared to the average online forum) and how few of these folks have asked themselves this question.
4 Why is there so little discussion on the possibility of currency deflation being a very good thing for the people on the margins of society?
It certainly doesn't help that 99% of the folks who ask these questions happen to be both male and white, which just makes people auto-associate these ideas with racism, privilege etc. I don't think the core ideas themselves have been given sufficient thought for a few decades.
And as for Patrick Collison, I am willing to bet he hasn't read a single book written by Thomas Sowell (whose books will at the very least force you to ask these questions, even if you might come to different conclusions to others who read his books).
Re: Patrick Collison's Questions
#108The infrastructure one really stands out to me, and I'm always astounded by it. Adding yet another example - The Golden Gate Bridge was built in 4 years for $1.6 billion (inflation adjusted), under budget and ahead of schedule. 11 workers died during construction, a safety record matching or surpassing most modern projects. In contrast, a project to install suicide nets around the bridge has been under development fo…
Do you have a source for that? 11 deaths seems like it would be shockingly high for a modern project.
Re: Patrick Collison's Questions
#109The infrastructure one really stands out to me, and I'm always astounded by it. Adding yet another example - The Golden Gate Bridge was built in 4 years for $1.6 billion (inflation adjusted), under budget and ahead of schedule. 11 workers died during construction, a safety record matching or surpassing most modern projects. In contrast, a project to install suicide nets around the bridge has been under development fo…
I would bet it’s tied to the neglect of work in both real wages and respect for workers. We no longer take pride in work. We pay people less and make them compete for the mere privilege of holding a job. Then, we tell them what to do, disrespecting their intelligence and autonomy and ability to make something they can be proud of. For the brilliance of this strategy, we pay leaders ten times more than we did before,…
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baumol's_cost_disease
This can’t be a complete explanation though as other places can still build things.
Re: Patrick Collison's Questions
#110On the Chinese research question: Just wait a decade. In all likelihood, I am permanently departing academia in about a month. The underlying reason is structural -- neither our funding agency nor our institution is willing to yield on a fundamental sticking point that is causing all of our young researchers to leave. I am about to join them. There is literally no path forward. In the decade that I have watched my wo…
Einstein was not a conformist. Could he have survived such an environment? Or would they beat him down, or would he leave?
Consider Li Wenliang, who first noticed covid19, and was interviewed by the police, and investigated after his death for disrupting public order.
OTOH the PRC have been very astute in adopting capitalism. If they can, they will find a way for research. I'm just not sure if it's possible to reconcile thought-control in one sphere, and not in another.