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Antibody tests show what parts of NYC were hit hardest

nytimes.com

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Re: Antibody tests show what parts of NYC were hit hardest

#31

Post by mm89 »

conductr wrote: post #19
otoburb wrote: post #2

NYC's Covid data repository[1] has more data in case anybody wants to play around with it. Happy that NYC committed to Open Data[2] initiatives in previous years[3]. [1] https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page [2] https://opendata.cityofnewyork.us/ [3] https://datasmart.ash.harvard.edu/news/article/new-york-city...

I’m getting a paywall on NYT article. But my first thought is, I bet this correlates strongly to property values/density. I don’t know how to build that viz but if anyone is bored with the know how please post it.

It's a free article but you have to login and click continue without subscribing.

Re: Antibody tests show what parts of NYC were hit hardest

#32

Post by wzsddtc »

williamstein wrote: post #7

As if this wasn't all confusing enough, the worst hit area is named Corona: "The hardest hit ZIP code in the city — 11368 — was the one in Corona, a predominantly Hispanic neighborhood..."

As someone who lived at Corona for a few years I am not surprised as the daily exposure to number of strangers for the residents is probably also one of the highest. The neighborhood is composed of mostly people who cannot work from home (restaurant workers and delivery agents who work in Manhattan). It has a very close proximity to the crowded 7 train and relatively cheap rent in the surrounding area.

Edit: grammar.

Re: Antibody tests show what parts of NYC were hit hardest

#33

Post by bogomipz »

chimeracoder wrote: post #15
Eduard wrote: post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Or a data input mistake.

> Or a data input mistake. It's not - Corona Park and Elmhurst were the two hardest-hit neighborhoods from near the very beginning.

No Corona Park(it's actually Flushing Meadows-Corona Park) is the name of an actual park, named in part after Corona one of the the neighborhoods it's located in.

Re: Antibody tests show what parts of NYC were hit hardest

#34

Post by FanaHOVA »

sod wrote: post #22
collyw wrote: post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You seem skeptical about herd immunity being a thing. This video discusses studies showing that immunity should be long lasting. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D5Z6wdu1eI0&t=270s

> the antibodies might not last for more than three or four months He says a few seconds into your timestamp. Thank you for trying to soothe my thoughts. But now I'm even more concerned. Wouldn't that render a vaccine pretty useless if it's gone after 4 months?

You just take it every 4 months. Why is it useless?

Re: Antibody tests show what parts of NYC were hit hardest

#35

Post by monadic2 »

sod wrote: post #22
collyw wrote: post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You seem skeptical about herd immunity being a thing. This video discusses studies showing that immunity should be long lasting. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D5Z6wdu1eI0&t=270s

> the antibodies might not last for more than three or four months He says a few seconds into your timestamp. Thank you for trying to soothe my thoughts. But now I'm even more concerned. Wouldn't that render a vaccine pretty useless if it's gone after 4 months?

Antibodies simply teach memory cells, which is what gives you the secondary (long-lasting) immune response. See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Memory_B_cell

Still, it's an absolutely brutal way to handle the virus and it's accepting deaths on the order of large wars.

Re: Antibody tests show what parts of NYC were hit hardest

#36

Post by monadic2 »

FanaHOVA wrote: post #34
sod wrote: post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> the antibodies might not last for more than three or four months He says a few seconds into your timestamp. Thank you for trying to soothe my thoughts. But now I'm even more concerned. Wouldn't that render a vaccine pretty useless if it's gone after 4 months?

You just take it every 4 months. Why is it useless?

This is not how antibodies work!

Re: Antibody tests show what parts of NYC were hit hardest

#39

Post by sandworm101 »

raducu wrote: post #38

27% of people have antibodies, thus 2.4 million were infected. 23k deaths, thus a 1% mortality rate. I guess this the final nail in the "this is just a flu" .

>> 27% of people have antibodies, thus 2.4 million were infected.

The immune system isn't just about antibodies. having antibodies, for this disease, means you were exposed relatively recently. People who had the disease months ago are now showing a lack of antibodies. That doesn't mean that their immune system isn't primed for this disease, just that they currently do not display antibodies in their bloodstream. Thus it is likely many more than 2.4million americans have been infected/exposed, potentially drawing down the death rate well below 1%.

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