Live data from Hacker News

Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

nytimes.com

231–240 of 357 posts

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#231
post #38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am a technician for xfinity in the bay area and NIMBYism a huge part too I would say. Huge portions of Mill Valley especially on and around Mt Tam had such bad poles and vegetation. Only the last 3 fire years did anything. But literally nothing gets approved besides exact replacement. Nothing gets put underground, or rerouted because (as I understand it) mostly NIMBY groups. And I believe ATT ultimately owns most o…

I can't imagine what makes someone object to moving cables underground.

Rocks. Frost.

Not all locations are amenable to underground cables.

Here is a white paper that lays out all the tradeoffs and includes some costs. New construction costs can differ between overhead and underground by 2-10x. Conversion costs aren't negligible either. https://www.eei.org/issuesandpolicy/electricreliability/unde...

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#232

If the state could magically have enough battery capacity in every county to smooth out this curve, what scale of battery installation would that take?

I don't have a lot of information about the scale required; however, I will note that grid-attached energy storage is a big field that is not limited to batteries. Batteries are generally more energy-efficient, but relatively expensive per unit energy and power. Cheaper options tend to use physical phenomena (pumping water up a gravity gradient, compressing air in caves, &c).

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#233
post #89
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My anecdote is the opposite. I lived in Santa Clara from 2002-2010, San Carlos 2010-2011, Belmont 2011-2014, Redwood City 2014-present. Never had AC on the Peninsula. We have heatwaves every year. This summer has been remarkably mild, low 70s most of July and August until now. We got our heatwave. A bit more humid than normal thanks to tropical storm remnants, 70f dewpoint and 95f on Sunday, 65f dewpoint and spiked t…

That's contrary to my experience. I lived in south bay and the peninsula 2004-2010 and needed a/c every summer, for multiple weeks each year. For two of those years I didn't have a/c and had a lot of sleep loss those summers when daytime temperatures would break 90F, and occasionally 100F. Even when we'd "only" get mid-80F temperatures, I'd still want to run the a/c during the day if I was home. Feeling sticky while…

Sorry, I had A/C when I lived in Santa Clara, that was poorly worded. I remember well the heat wave of 2006 where it peaked at 107 for 3 days in a row (and of course was over 100 for longer than that).

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#234
So, not saying this is the main driver here, but just wondering: with a lot of people working from home, rather than an office building, it becomes relevant which is more efficient to cool. I have to think that it is more efficient to cool a single, larger building than many smaller ones? Again, not saying it's the primary reason, just mentioning that it could be a contributing factor.

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#235
post #3

as someone who apprenticed as a lineman briefly, this isnt at all unexpected. Just because you have generating capacity, does not always mean you have capacity in the duty cycle for your transmission infrastructure. Many substations are older, and were never designed to handle high duty and load during climate-change driven weather events. These substations suffer from underreporting as they often dont have remote mo…

> but because NIMBY groups frequently oppose building or augmenting existing substations. Wild claims related to electromagnetism basically kill the project at every level. Can you elaborate? A substation is about to start construction just across the (narrow) street from my child's elementary school.

If you get the chance, watch "Better Call Saul" sometime. Jimmy's brother Chuck feels he is sensitive to electromagnetism and goes to extreme lengths to protect himself from the waves.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTEmqJkCrDQ

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#236
post #47

Every year you hear about horrible heat waves and fires in California but I'm here to tell you from my first-hand experience that This Time It's Different. I've lived on the SF peninsula for 10 years. We bought a brand new spec house. It was built without air conditioning. The developer said we wouldn't need it. We installed it anyway because we came from LA and a house in California without A/C did not fit into our…

I've been here my entire life. This is pretty bad. In my 30 years i've definitely never experienced a hot summer thunderstorm like the other night. It feels very bizarre.

The heatwave of 2006 was much worse than this, longer and hotter, but I admit there were no thunderstorms.

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#237

So, not saying this is the main driver here, but just wondering: with a lot of people working from home, rather than an office building, it becomes relevant which is more efficient to cool. I have to think that it is more efficient to cool a single, larger building than many smaller ones? Again, not saying it's the primary reason, just mentioning that it could be a contributing factor.

That's a good point, and it's probably worth digging into. It's actually going to depend on a few factors, though. Off the top of my head: are office buildings running HVAC systems at significantly higher temps than they would otherwise have been? How many people working from home actually have A/C? How much more efficient are large A/C systems in comparison to home units?

I have a feeling that offices that are "empty" are still running their A/C systems and lighting at some level, and then you have some portion of WFH people also running those things at home, so overall demand is higher than it was when most office workers were actually in the office.

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#238

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think sag means voltage sag.

One of the more impressive things I've seen with electricity is watching a transmission line into a local neighborhood turn orange and stretch to drape itself across a pickup truck parked in the wrong spot. Took a minute to realize what I'd just watched.

You glowing orange from heat?

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#239
post #47

Every year you hear about horrible heat waves and fires in California but I'm here to tell you from my first-hand experience that This Time It's Different. I've lived on the SF peninsula for 10 years. We bought a brand new spec house. It was built without air conditioning. The developer said we wouldn't need it. We installed it anyway because we came from LA and a house in California without A/C did not fit into our…

I live in Gilroy, and we've had 3 days of 105+ weather. When the house I live in was built, they put in a 3-ton unit, which was complete fine for the first 20 years my family lived here. I replaced it a few years ago with a 4-ton unit, and added extra blown-in insulation. It has barely kept up with the heatwave. Next is dual-pane windows, I guess. There are a lot of folks with less who are straight-out suffering. The…

Wait - you don't even have dual-pane glass? That's like leaving a door ajar all day.

You can fake a second pane by putting plastic film over the window frame and taping it securely around the edges so there's no leakage, capturing the air between it and the glass. This will act as an insulating layer. Air leakage = heat transfer.

But you're better off replacing the windows with dual-pane units that have low-e coatings. Maybe the government or your utility has a program to help cover the replacement cost.

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#240

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I live in Gilroy, and we've had 3 days of 105+ weather. When the house I live in was built, they put in a 3-ton unit, which was complete fine for the first 20 years my family lived here. I replaced it a few years ago with a 4-ton unit, and added extra blown-in insulation. It has barely kept up with the heatwave. Next is dual-pane windows, I guess. There are a lot of folks with less who are straight-out suffering. The…

Going from a three to four ton unit was a mistake. One that's easy to make because it's counter-intuitive. And because bigger units are more expensive there's a sales incentive to sell bigger units too. To be effective at cooling people an air conditioner needs to remove latent heat in the form of water vapor. Lowering the air temperature isn't enough. Oversized units short-cycle, lowering the air temperature signifi…

Don't some modern high-end residential HVAC systems have separate air conditioners and dehumidifiers to provide more granularity (and perhaps effectiveness or energy efficiency) between the two effects?
Post reply on HN